Southampton - Brentford: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11.01.2022 - ENGLAND: Premier League

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Southampton - Brentford: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11.01.2022 - ENGLAND: Premier League
 
 
The English Premier League has a very intense spring ahead of it, as countless games have to be added. The few free appointments have to be used because there is a risk of further postponements. Actually, two catch-up games should have been played on Tuesday, but one game had to be postponed again early on. So on Tuesday there is only the duel between Southampton and Brentford at St. Mary’s Stadium.
 
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Both teams have hardly had a run so far. "The Saints" have made the most draws in the Premier League so far and Brentford has been good for the most points away from home. Since "The Bees" decided their most recent guest appearance against Southampton, we tend to bet on a double chance X / 2. However, we also assume that both teams will score.
 
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 Southampton FC and Brentford FC will meet for the first time in the Premier League
 
Newcomer Brentford visits Southampton FC in the supplementary game of the Premier League, matchday 18. These two clubs have never faced each other in the Premier League. In 2020, after 9 years, a direct duel took place again. In Southampton, Brentford was able to win the second round game of the League Cup with 0-2. "The Saints" are the bookmakers' favorites, but the hosts have hardly had a run so far and were only able to convince to a limited extent at home. However, "The Bees" were only average when they were abroad and had to do without some players. Nonetheless, they were a bit stronger for the entire season. With 23 points after 19 matchdays, Brentford is 12th and 14th with 21 points after as many games in Southampton. All in all, we expect an even game.
 
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The duel between Everton and Leicester had to be postponed again. In this duel in the south of England, two teams from the middle of the table face each other. The hosts of the Austrian head coach Ralph Hasenhüttl are currently in 14th place in the table and are two points behind the current best climber, Brentford. Thus, the hosts could climb past the Bees with a win, for this odds of 2.00 are offered in the game Southampton against Brentford.
 
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 Southampton unbeaten in 7th home game in a row?
 
"The Saints” recently scored their third draw in a row in front of their home crowd. Before that, 2 wins and 1 further draw were possible. In total, the team under coach Ralph Hasenhüttl was only able to win 2 games and draw 6 in their home stadium. They admitted defeat once. They only scored 9 goals, but only allowed 8 goals against. In a foreign country they only decided 2 games. 3 draws were also possible and they accepted 5 defeats. 11:21 is the away goal balance.
 
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Southampton FC will probably only have to do without 3 players against Brentford, namely the third-best goalscorer Ché Adams, midfielder Will Smalbone and their keeper Alex McCarthy. The use of defender Valentino Livramento is questionable. Fraser Forster is currently in goal. In 6 missions he allowed 8 goals and was not conceded once.
 
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Southampton - stats & current form
 

 

The win in extra time despite being long outnumbered, however, prolonged the good shape of Southampton Football Club. In the last seven competitive games, Southampton only had to admit defeat to the formally strong Gunners 3-0. However, this good record tarnishes the fact that there are extremely many draws. Five of these seven games (at Swansea it was 1: 1 after 90 minutes) ended in a draw.
 
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Statistics that speak for the home win can also be found. Both in 2020 and 2021, Ralph Hasenhüttl was able to celebrate a victory in the first league game of the new year. Should this also succeed on Tuesday, Southampton would only start three years in a row with a success for the second time in the club's history (1969-1971).
 
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This is supported by the fact that Southampton has the highest win rate in January. In all months in which at least ten PL games were played, there were the most wins in January (34 out of 82 - 41.5 percent).
 
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Expected formation of Southampton:
 
Forster - Bedanrek, Simeu, Valery - Perraud, Stuart Armstrong, Ward-Prowse, Diallo, Walker-Peters - Adam Armstrong, Long
 
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Will Brentford win his 2nd away game in a row?
 
Brentford won 4-1 in the 3rd FA Cup round against Port Vale (4th division). They lost their most recent Premier League away game 2-0 against Brighton & Hove Albion. Before that, a 2-2 win against Leeds was possible.
 
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Brentford - statistics & current form:
 
Brentford was also able to celebrate a sense of achievement in the FA Cup at the weekend. After being substituted on with a three-pack, Joker Bryan Mbeumo was mainly responsible for the clear 4-1 success at the fourth division club FC Port Vale. For the Bees from London, it was the second success in the second competitive game in 2022. After two defeats at the end of 2021, the Frank-Elf started the new calendar year with a 2-1 home win against Aston Villa.
 
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Numbers rule at Brentford and nothing is left to chance. However, it has not been communicated whether the so far very strong 2021/22 season could also be planned to this extent. At the halfway point of the season, Brentford is very strong in the Premier League debut and currently has no relegation worries. With 23 points, the lead on the first relegation place is already a comfortable twelve points.
 
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Expected formation of Brentford:
 
Fernandez - Jansson, Bech Sörensen, Pinnock - Thompson, Jensen, Baptiste, Onyeka, Roerslav Rasmussen - Toney, Wissa
 
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Brentford has won 2 away games and drawn 4. They admitted defeat 3 times. They graduated 11 times abroad and allowed 14 goals. In front of their home crowd, they celebrated 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. 12:12 is the home goal balance.
 
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Thomas Frank had 5 losses against Southampton: Josh Dasilva (midfield), Rico Henry (defender), Julian Jeanvier (defender), Mathias Jensen (midfield) and David Raya (keeper). The use of central defender Charlie Goode is questionable. Instead of Raya, Jonas Lössl is in the gate. In 20 games he allowed 21 goals and kept his box completely clean 6 times.
 
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Southampton - Brentford: Head-to-Head Comparison
 
A first - for the very first time the Saints and the Bees will face each other in the top division. A few duels can still be found in the database. In 2010/11 there was a victory for the visiting team in the third-tier League One. The guest was also able to celebrate at the last duel so far, a league cup game in September 2020. Underdog Brentford prevailed 2-0 at St. Mary’s Stadium. For another guest win, odds of 4.00 will be offered in the catch-up game on Tuesday between Southampton and Brentford.
 
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Our forecast
 
Even if Southampton is the bookmaker's favorite, we tend to trust Brentford to win, but we don't rule out a draw. Thus, a double chance X / 2 bet is an excellent option. There is a high probability that both teams will meet. The offensives and defenses of both indicate few goals. Therefore, we would bet on under 3.5 goals, whereby the odds are no longer particularly lucrative. As an event in a combination bet, this placement could prove to be profitable.
 
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