Seville - Granada: Tip, Prognosis & Odds - 08.04.2022 - SPAIN: La Liga

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Seville - Granada: Tip, Prognosis & Odds - 08.04.2022 - SPAIN: La Liga
 
 
The fight for the runner-up title in the Spanish LaLiga could hardly be more exciting. After 30 match days, places two to four are only separated by the goal difference. Sevilla FC are the first of the trio to take action this weekend. The Andalusian derby is already on Friday evening. Sevilla and Granada face off at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan Stadium.
 
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Sevilla go into the game against Granada as favorites, after all they are fighting for second place in the table and theoretically still have a chance of winning the championship title. Granada has to fear for relegation, but decided the first leg at home. However, El Graná are weak away from home, while Los Blanquirrojos are strong at home and have almost always gone unbeaten in front of their home crowd against Granada.
 
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 Seville is by no means "on fire", but the strong home record and the significantly higher quality are clear arguments that underline the hosts' role as favorites. For a home win of Sevilla FC against Granada, betting odds in the range of just over 1.40 are currently being offered.
 
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THESE RESULTS HAVE BEEN ACHIEVED BY SEVILLA IN THE PAST 5 LA LIGA HOME MATCHES:
 
FC Sevilla vs Real Sociedad: 0-0
FC Sevilla vs. Betis Sevilla: 2:1
FC Sevilla vs. FC Elche: 2-0
FC Sevilla vs. Celta Vigo: 2:2
FC Sevilla vs. FC Getafe: 1-0
 
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Coach Julen Lopetegui will probably have to do without 3 players in the derby. Among them are the 2 midfielders Thomas Delaney and Fernando as well as the "false nine" Papu Gómez. But you could also win without these players.
 
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This is how Sevilla played against the current 5 weakest teams in the league:
 
Granada vs Sevilla FC: 1-0
Cadiz vs Sevilla FC: 0-1
Mallorca vs. FC Sevilla: 1:1
FC Sevilla vs. Deportivo Alavés: 2:2
FC Sevilla vs. UD Levante: 5:3
Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla FC: 0-0
 
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In general, the defense is the absolute showpiece, as Sevilla have conceded only 20 goals this season. The Andalusians have by far the best defense in the league, leaders Real Madrid have already conceded six more goals. A bet on "Sevilla wins to zero” is therefore a legitimate option.
 
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Estimated formation of Seville:
 
Bono - Rekik, Diego Carlos, Kounde, Montiel - Gudelj, Jordan - Ocampos, Rakitic, Lamela - En-Nesyri
 
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Will Granada also win the second leg against Sevilla?
 
Granada have at least decided their last 2 away games, having previously suffered 4 defeats in a row and haven't won in 7 away games. However, among the successes is also 1 test match against Real Jaén, which they decided with 0:5. In general, they could only win 2 games in foreign stadiums and ensure 6 draws. They accepted 7 defeats. They finished 14 times and allowed 24 goals. 4 wins and 5 draws were possible in front of a home crowd. They gave up 6 times. 19:24 is the home goal record.
 
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THESE RESULTS HAVE BEEN ACHIEVED BY GRANADA FC IN THE PAST 5 LA LIGA AWAY MATCHES:
 
Deportivo Alaves vs Granada FC: 2-3
Valencia FC vs Granada FC: 3-1
Real Sociedad vs Granada FC: 2-0
Real Madrid vs Granada FC: 1-0
Getafe vs Granada FC: 4-2
 
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Coach Rubén Torrecilla is likely to be without 3 players against Sevilla, the only defenders being Neyder Lozano, Santiago Arias and Carlos Neva. El Graná could also score without these players.
 
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This is how Granada FC has played against the currently 5 strongest teams in the league so far:
 
Granada FC vs. Real Madrid: 1:4
FC Barcelona vs. FC Granada: 1-1
Granada FC vs Sevilla FC: 1-0
Granada FC vs. Atlético Madrid: 2:1
Granada FC vs. Betis Sevilla: 1:2
Granada FC vs Barcelona FC: 1-1
Real Madrid vs Granada FC: 1-0
 
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Rubén Torrecilla has been appointed interim manager of Granada as of 03/07/2022. He was previously their B and U19 and youth coach. In 3 games under his leadership, 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss were possible as well as a goal balance of 5:5.
 
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Despite four points from their last two games, further gains would come as a surprise to Granada in Friday night's derby. After all, the relegation contender has only won two away games this season and has only managed 14 away goals in 15 games. This weak record coupled with the home strength of the home side underlines the low odds between Seville and Granada when betting on the home side.
 
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Estimated formation of Granada:
 
Luis Maximiano - Escudero, Sanchez, Duarte, Quini - Collado, Petrovic, Milla, Puertes - Luis Suarez, Molina
 
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Seville – Granada: Direct comparison
 
The host club are clearly the favorites in this Andalusian derby. At least that's what a look at the recent duels in La Liga makes clear. In six of the last seven games between Sevilla and Granada, the tip for a home win was the right decision. The only exception was an away win for Sevilla in the 2019/20 season. This also means that Granada won the first leg. A goal from Ruben Rochina gave Granada the derby victory.
 
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Our prognosis
 
We assume that FC Sevilla will not let the victory be taken away. However, the odds for tip 1 are no longer particularly lucrative. Since Sevilla always decided the 1st half in the last two home games against Granada, they were the fifth most frequent break in the league and Granada lost the 1st half of the game most often in La Liga, we tend to tip 1 half 1. We go also from few goals and would bet on under 2.5 goals. We don't dare predict whether both teams will score.
 
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