Saragossa - Sevilla: Tips, prognosis & odds - 01/06/2022 - SPAIN: Copa del Rey
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Saragossa - Sevilla: Tips, prognosis & odds - 01/06/2022 - SPAIN: Copa del Rey
Different omens in a duel between two ex-cup winners
The home side have already won the Copa del Rey six times in their very successful club history and also have a lot of top division experience. However, it is doubtful whether this will be enough to eliminate the La Liga title contender from the cup competition. Judging by the Zaragoza versus Sevilla odds, there is not much evidence of a surprise coup for the underdog from Aragon.
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In the third round of the Spanish Royal Cup, there are primarily duels between David and Goliath. Often it is third division clubs who challenge the clubs from the House of Lords. One of the most interesting encounters is ahead of us on Thursday evening. Then Real Zaragoza and Seville clash in the north-east of the country.
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This assessment is based primarily on the so far disappointing season that the "Blanquillos" have played in the Spanish Segunda División so far. Apart from that, the Andalusians are now a highly decorated opponent who not only has the qualitative advantages on his side, but has also proven several times in the past that the national cup has a certain value. Against this background, a forecast on the hosts is almost impossible between Zaragoza and Seville.
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Zaragoza - statistics & current form:
Real Zaragoza has already won the Spanish Royal Cup six times. Most recently, the Aragon club won the title in 2004. In the exciting final against the star ensemble from Real Madrid, led by well-known names such as David Villa or Gabriel Milito, they prevailed after the extension and did not even allow themselves to be disturbed by a half-hour shortfall.
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However, such heyday days are out of the question at the moment. The club, which was founded in 1932 and even won the European Cup Winners' Cup in 1995, is in a persistent crisis. Since 2013, Zaragoza has been more at home in the Spanish second division. In 2018 and 2020 they only just failed to rise again, but recently the development has tended to decline.
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After completing 22 match days, there are only a meager 26 points. Only five games could be made victorious. Instead, there have already been eleven point-sharing, which is the highest in the league. 16th place with only six points ahead of the relegation zone is at least as worrying as the fact that coach Juan Ignacio Martinez's team have only won one of the last six league games and have lost out in the last three games.
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The main problem is the far too harmless offensive, which has only brought two gates on the chain since mid-November. Only the relegation candidates Alcorcon and Fuenlabrada have scored less often than the northern Spaniards, who have remained clean in both previous Copa del Rey games. Admittedly, the level of difficulty against Mensajero and Burgos was also limited.
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Now a completely different caliber is waiting and we do not assume that the ailing and insecure-looking outsider can land a surprise coup. Therefore, between Zaragoza and Seville, a tip on the guest victory is more recommendable. We don't even trust the home team to score a goal. No wonder, after all, only six goals have been scored in eleven second division home games this season.
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Expected formation of Zaragoza:
Raton; A Lopez, L Lopez, Clemente, Nieto; Zapater, Eguaras, Adrian; Yanis, Azon, Sainz
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Seville - statistics & current form:
In the Spanish La Liga, the Sevilla Fútbol Club is currently one of the teams that is most likely to benefit from the fact that other top teams like FC Barcelona or Atletico Madrid just don't get off the ground. However, this should by no means diminish the good and above all constant performance of the Andalusians in the current season at national level.
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Twelve wins from 19 games and only two defeats underline the remarkable record of the season, thanks to which the Nervionenses can even dream of their first championship title since 1946. Thanks to Real Madrid's defeat at Getafe at the beginning of the year and Seville's away win at relegation candidate Cadiz, the gap to Los Blancos, who are known to lead the rankings, has shrunk to two points.
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Seville likes the cup competitions
In any case, we do not doubt the Blanquirrojos' progress, especially since the five-time cup winner (most recently in 2010) has not been kicked out of the third round of the Copa del Rey for almost 20 years. Since 2015 it has always made it to at least the last sixteen, twice even to the final.
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The showpiece of coach Julen Lopetegui's team is undoubtedly the defense. With only 13 goals conceded, there is no other Spanish back team that is more stable. In more than half of all La Liga games (ten out of 19) the bet on a clean sheet would have been crowned with success. Not least because of this, it seems anything but impossible that on Thursday evening in the duel Zaragoza against Seville, the forecast of a "to zero” victory for the favorites will come true. A corresponding tip with top odds of up to 2.75 can be played via the Bet365 app.
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This in turn coincides with our thesis that the southern Spaniards function very well in cup competitions, be it nationally or internationally. The "Do-or-Die” mode, which has now been introduced, also suits the title contender, which is why we believe in a success of the Lopetegui team based on their greater experience in such games. The fact that the coach will probably start the rotary press doesn't change that.
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Expected formation of Sevilla:
Dmitrovic; Juanlu, Gudelj, Rekik, Augustinsson; Rakitic, Jordan, Torres; El Haddadi, Romero, Idrissi
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Zaragoza - Seville Direct Comparison:
In the Spanish La Liga, the duel Zaragoza against Seville is something of a classic. Overall, the clubs faced each other in 102 games at the highest national level. With 46 wins against 35 defeats and 21 draws, the Andalusians lead the direct comparison.
In four cup games, however, the record is absolutely balanced with one success each for both teams and two draws. However, the H2H shouldn't have a significant influence on the game Zaragoza against Sevilla and the odds, especially since the last direct duel was dated from the 2012/13 season.
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Betting base forecast & Spain Saragossa - Sevilla Spain: Tip
Although two multiple cup winners face each other in a direct duel with Real Zaragoza and Sevilla in the third round of the Spanish Royal Cup on Thursday evening, the starting position is quickly explained. While the hosts, who spent many decades in the upper house, have now slipped into the table cellar of the Segunda División, the guests from Andalusia can even hope for the championship in La Liga in 2021/22.
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It is all the more surprising that before the game Zaragoza against Seville, quite high odds are offered on the away win after regular time. This can probably be explained by the fact that Julen Lopetegui will carry out a total rotation and take some top performers from the starting XI. Nevertheless, we believe that the experienced Nervionenses are of sufficient quality to continue their impressive series in the Copa del Rey.
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KEY-FACTS - SARAGOSSA VS. SEVILLE: TIP
- Zaragoza only scored six goals in eleven home games in the second division in 2021/22
- Sevilla are one of the best-form teams in La Liga and currently runner-up in the table
- The Andalusians have not been kicked out of the cup in round three or earlier since 2002
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In addition, the current shape curves must of course also be taken into account. Saragossa have recently suffered three defeats in a row and always remained without a goal of their own. Sevilla, on the other hand, won four of the last five matches, reducing the gap to Real Madrid to two points.
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We therefore believe that the most promising value between Zaragoza and Seville is hidden in the tip on the away win after 90 minutes. The 1.95 at the tested bookmaker Betway is worth a stake of six units. Even "to zero" success is possible. For a little less risk, a 1.44 can be dusted off for the advancement of the favorite.
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