Sao Paulo vs. Flamengo tip, prognosis & odds 02/25/2021 - Serie A Brazil Free soccer tips
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Sao Paulo - Flamengo tip, prognosis & odds 02/25/2021 - Serie A Brazil
Throughout the season, Flamengo RJ lagged behind the great expectations in the Brazilian Serie A and had almost ticked off the title race. Just in time for the end of the season, the Mengao moved into the fast lane and was able to set the course for defending its title one matchday before the end of the season.
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In the night from Thursday to Friday (CET), the league leaders from Rio de Janeiro will have their last matchday in the Brazilian House of Lords. Flamengo RJ is visiting Sao Paulo FC and is forced to win in order to defend the title on his own. As the odds comparison of the betting base shows, the guests from Rio are seen as favorites in Sao Paulo.
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For an away win at Sao Paulo vs. Flamengo, the highest odds of 1.63 are currently available. Although the role of favorites is understandable, the home side should not be underestimated despite the missed title chance. The fourth in the table is still fighting for a direct right to start the Copa Libertadores.
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If the SPFC loses the home game against Flamengo, the worst-case scenario threatens fifth place in the table and thus "only” the right to start qualifying. In addition to our forecast for the last matchday in the Brazilian House of Lords, further betting tips about international football can be found in the betting base section Football International.
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Sao Paulo - statistics & current form
Last week Sao Paulo FC lost their last chance at the championship. Against Palmeiras, seventh in the Serie A table, there was only one point split last weekend. A few days ago, in the catch-up game against Bragantino, the next setback followed, which now shakes fourth place in the table.
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Pursuit Fluminense sits close to the neck of the SPFC and is waiting for a point loss on the last match day. If the team of head coach Hernán Crespo loses the home game against Flamengo, the worst scenario threatens the right to start the Copa Libertadores qualification.
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According to the performances in this calendar year, there is hardly anything in favor of a prognosis in favor of the home side in Sao Paulo vs. Flamengo. After all, the Tricolor only won one win in the last 14 competitive games, making them one of the weakest teams in Serie A.
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Home advantage in the Morumbi insignificant?
For much of the first half of the season, Sao Paulo was one of the strongest home teams in the league. There was no trace of the home strength in the last few weeks, after all, there has been no home win in Serie A since December 2020. Across all competitions, there was a record of 0-4-2 in the last six home games.
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Among other things, the Tricolor conceded a bitter home defeat against Internacional, where there were five goals conceded for the otherwise stable defense from fourth in the table. In view of the recent form curve in the home stadium, it would be more than surprising if a point could be won against the formally strong guests from Rio.
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Head coach Crespo will have to complain about four failures in the home game against the league leaders, including three players from the back line. If the Tricolor surprisingly prevails against the defending champion from Rio, odds of 5.00 for tip 1 will be paid out in Sao Paulo vs. Flamengo.
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Expected formation of Sao Paulo:
Tiago - Vinicius, Arboleda, Alves, Juanfran - Toro, Luan, Tche Tche, Sara - Gomes, Luciano
Flamengo - Statistics & Current Form
Flamengo RJ is only one step away from defending its Serie A title. After weeks of catching up, the Mengao took the lead in the six-point game against Internacional and can now win the second championship in a row on their own. As expected, the red-blacks are favored by the best bookmakers against the weak opponents from Sao Paulo.
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In Serie A, Flamengo RJ celebrated five wins in the last six competitive games, only in the away game against Bragantino there was a dropout after a weak performance. Nevertheless, the Mengao is currently the strongest away team in the league abroad. In 18 away games, the league leaders have so far had a record of 10-4-4.
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On average, Flamengo scored just under 1.78 goals per away game - the best value in Serie A. In any case, the Red-Blacks from Rio have the best attacking department in the league, which is also thanks to the board of directors. After the strong last season, the team structure was kept stable and a sell-off of top performers was prevented.
Will Barbosa shoot his team to the championship?
Like last season, one of the great success factors was Gabriel Barbosa, the most valuable player in the ranks of the Mengao. With 14 goals and two assists, the 24-year-old leads the internal scorer list, but Barbosa has been sidelined for a while. Most recently, however, the Brazilian was on a redress course and scored six times in a row.
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On the last day of the match, head coach Rogerio Ceni is expected to put his protégé in the lead. Pedro, the second top scorer in the Mengao squad, has to take his wild card on the bench for this. Due to injury, only Maia will be missing from the away game in Sao Paulo. Changes compared to the last starting XI are not expected.
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Expected formation of Flamengo:
Souza - Luis, Gustavo, Caio, Isla - Everton, Diego, Gerson, de Arrascaeta - Bruno, Barbosa
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Direct comparison / H2H
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In the last 47 games between the two clubs, Sao Paulo have a record of 20-16-11 against Flamengo RJ. On average, almost 2.55 goals were scored per game. Since July 2017, the Tricolor has not lost a single competitive game against the Mengao from Rio de Janeiro. The SPFC prevailed in the last three duels, with a total of eleven goals scored between the two clubs.
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In the Estádio do Morumbi there has been no home bankruptcy for the Tricolor since October 2011. If the series is expanded in the upcoming match, attractive betting odds for a tip on a point win for fourth in the table can be tapped at Sao Paulo vs. Flamengo.
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Betting base forecast & Brazil Sao Paulo - Flamengo Brazil tip
In the current constitution, Sao Paulo FC shouldn't be a big hurdle for Flamengo RJ. Although the Mengao could not win in the "Morumbi" from the SPFC for some time, the negative series should not be overrated. After all, there is no "real” home advantage with the spectator restrictions.
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After five wins in the last six games, Flamengo is only one step away from defending their title. As the strongest away team in the league, the Red-Blacks are aiming for the eleventh away win this season, so the Mengao can do without shooting help on the last day of the game.
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After the home win against Internacional, Flamengo shouldn't have too much trouble against the weak home side from Sao Paulo. In Sao Paulo vs. Flamengo, our tip is aimed at an away win. We use six units for this. Interwetten currently offers the best odds for a victory from the leaders in Rio. You can read about the advantages there in the test report for Interwetten.
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