Real Sociedad - PSV Eindhoven: Tips, Prediction & Odds - 09.12.2021 - EUROPA: Europa League - Group stage
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Real Sociedad - PSV Eindhoven: Tips, Prediction & Odds - 09.12.2021 - EUROPA: Europa League - Group stage
We can look forward to a real final in Group B of the UEFA Europa League. In the Spanish Basque Country, Real Sociedad and PSV Eindhoven are two teams fighting for second place in a direct duel. Monaco is the first to be safely through, while the bottom of the pack, Sturm Graz, has long since lost a chance of wintering in Europe.
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The group stage of the Europa League is in its final stages and the respective participants play their 6th group game this week. In Group B, AS Monaco has already secured 1st place. Behind them Real Sociedad and PSV Eindhoven are dueling for position 2. We do not expect a very spectacular game and tend to bet under 2.5 goals.
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Both clubs are fighting for second place. While the hosts from Spain have to win, a draw would be enough for the guests from the Netherlands to advance. The first leg between the two parties ended in a 2-2 draw. The venue for the second leg is now the Real Arena in San Sebastian. All previous home games of the "Txuri-Urdin" this season were low on goals.
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Real Sociedad must win against Eindhoven to advance - analysis
Real Sociedad
- 3 defeats from the last 4 competitive games
- already 3 draws in the Europa League
- over 2.5 goals in no home game this season
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PSV Eindhoven
- unbeaten for 7 competitive games
- 2 draws from the last 3 guest appearances
- conceded only 3 goals in the last 6 games
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Both of Real Sociedad's previous EL home games ended 1-1
Thanks to position 5 in the preseason, Real Sociedad is represented in the Europa League for the second time in a row. Last season the San Sebastian club survived the group stage, but then failed in the second round to Manchester United. At the moment, those responsible and supporters of the club would be happy to even reach this intermediate round. Imanol Alguacil's team is in third place after 5 match days in the Europa League group stage behind AS Monaco and PSV Eindhoven, but ahead of Sturm Graz.
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For the Spaniards, it comes down to position 2 or 3. If they beat PSV Eindhoven, the "Txuri-Urdin" would qualify for the next round and if this is missed, they will be downgraded to the UEFA Conference League. 3 of their previous 5 group games ended with a point sharing, plus a win at Sturm Graz and a defeat in Monaco.
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Nevertheless, the resulting favorite role in favor of the team of coach Imanol Alguacil should be treated with caution, especially since the blue-whites have not won any of their two previous home games in the group stage and recently slipped into a small low in the league. Between Real Sociedad and PSV Eindhoven, a prediction of a point win by the Dutch is therefore a very promising option at first glance.
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Real Sociedad - stats & current form
Real Sociedad are under pressure in their final group game on Thursday evening. Anything else but a win would be tantamount to third place in the final bill and the associated relegation to the Conference League. However, if the Basques get three points in a direct duel with PSV Eindhoven, the UEFA Europa League intermediate round will continue in spring. The starting position is very easy, but the undertaking against the Dutch runner-up is by no means.
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This assessment is based, among other things, on the fact that the Basques recently slipped into a minor crisis of form. For example, if the Alguacil team ranked second in La Liga after 13 matchdays, behind Real Madrid, only one point jumped out of the three most recent league games. At the weekend the top game against Los Blancos was lost 2-0. For the third time in a row, the "Txuri-Urdinak" was without a hit of its own. In addition, they fell back to fifth place in the classification.
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Real Sociedad San Sebastian is currently in bad shape. The club from the Basque Country lost 3 of the last 4 competitive games. "Los Txuri-Urdin" fell in La Liga to 5th place in the table after they had been undefeated there 13 times in a row. If you look at their home games in the recent past, you will notice a lot of draws. To be precise, 4 of their last 6 games in the Reale Arena have ended in a draw. This also applies to their two home games in the Europa League.
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They each ended 1: 1. In addition, there have never been more than 2 hits in a home game this season. This speaks for a safe defense. Real Sociedad conceded only 13 goals in 16 league games.
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In general, the offensive game is certainly the biggest construction site for the blue-whites. In total, only 19 goals were scored in 16 La Liga games. In eight home games at national level, the Basques have only scored five goals. Also in the Europa League, San Sebastian had to be satisfied with a disappointing 1-1 draw at home against AS Monaco and Sturm Graz. In not a single competitive game in front of a home crowd this season, the "Erreala" scored more than one goal.
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In view of the fact that the men around ex-Dortmund's Alexander Isak, who has only been able to score one goal since the end of October and is also in a low form, but are forced to play forward on Thursday evening, there could be spaces for the opponent result. The average home record in connection with the often too harmless offensive and the falling form curve provide sufficient reasons to place a tip on the double chance X2 between Real Sociedad and PSV Eindhoven.
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Expected formation of Real Sociedad:
Remiro; Gorosabel, Elustondo, Le Normand, Munoz; Januzaj, Guevera, Zubimendi, Oyarzabal; Sorloth, Isak
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PSV Eindhoven - statistics & current form
PSV Eindhoven are currently undefeated for 7 competitive games. In their home Eredivisie, the "Boeren" take 3rd place, but are only 2 points behind the leaders Ajax Amsterdam. Away there was last a 1: 1 point division in Heerenveen. Recently, the defensive team of coach Roger Schmidt made a safe impression and conceded only 3 goals in the past 6 competitive games. In 4 of these 6 games there were therefore fewer than 2.5 hits.
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As the reigning Dutch runner-up, PSV Eindhoven were allowed to qualify for the Champions League. There she failed in the last round to Benfica Lisbon. As a result, coach Roger Schmidt's team does not take part in the premier class, but in the Europa League. Before the last matchday she is in second place there.
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To secure this, she needs at least one draw in the last group game against Real Sociedad. The previous results of the "Boeren" in group B are 2 wins, 2 draws and one defeat. Away they won 4-1 at Sturm Graz and then they picked up one point in a goalless draw in Monaco.
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PSV Eindhoven are currently undefeated for 7 competitive games. In their home Eredivisie, the "Boeren" occupy 3rd place, but are only 2 points behind the leaders Ajax Amsterdam. Away there was last a 1: 1 point division in Heerenveen. Recently, the defensive team of coach Roger Schmidt made a safe impression and conceded only 3 goals in the past 6 competitive games. In 4 of these 6 games there were therefore fewer than 2.5 hits.
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Apart from that, the "Boeren” are in pole position before the final group game. A draw is enough to move into the second round in second place. The Dutch can build on their strength away from home on Thursday, as Philips ‘Sport Vereniging picked up four points from their two previous guest appearances in Monaco (0-0) and in Styria at Sturm Graz (4-1). In the league, too, the form is absolutely impressive with 13 points from the last five games.
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The injury-related losses of Max, Zahavi, Teze, Thomas, Ledezma and Romero do not change that. The hopes rest primarily on the former national player Mario Götze and the incredibly nimble and fast attackers Bruma, Vinicius and Gakpo, who are predestined for a game in which one or the other counter-situation will certainly arise.
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Expected formation of PSV Eindhoven:
Drommel; Mwene, Ramalho, Boscagli, Junior; Sangare, Van Ginkel, Götze; Bruma, Vinicius, Gakpo
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Real Sociedad - PSV Eindhoven head-to-head comparison
The first leg in mid-September was the first and only meeting of these two teams so far. The 1-0 lead of Mario Götze was able to turn Real Sociedad in the person of the two ex-Dortmunders Adnan Januzaj and Alexander Isak, before Cody Gakpo, again on preparatory work from Götze, scored 2-2 in the second half. The balance of the Basques against Dutch clubs remains slightly negative even after seven games (2-2-3; 5: 6 goals)
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Bet base forecast & Spain Real Sociedad - PSV Eindhoven Netherlands tip
KEY-FACTS - REAL SOCIEDAD VS. PSV EINDHOVEN TIP:
- San Sebastian never scored more than one goal in a home game in 2021/22
- The Basques have only scored seven goals in ten home games this season
- Eindhoven have not lost a competitive game since October 24th
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We therefore decide in the duel Real Sociedad vs. PSV Eindhoven for the tip on the double chance X2 and play the value-laden 2.10 with a stake of five units. Alternatively, it can even make sense to focus on DNB 2. Here the tested bookmaker Unibet would pay out a 3.35 in the event of an away win.
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Betting tip and forecast
The various bookmakers see Real Sociedad as a relatively clear favorite against PSV Eindhoven on Thursday. However, we expect a duel on equal terms. The hosts from Spain are currently not in good shape and have lost 3 of their last 4 competitive games. In contrast, the guests from the Netherlands have been unbeaten for 7 games. The first leg between the two clubs also ended in a 2-2 draw. A tie is also our risk tip for the coming clash. Our bet on goals under 2.5 offers a little more security. After all, no Real Sociedad home game has ended with more than 2 goals this season.
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