Real Madrid vs PSG: Tips, Prognosis & Odds – 03/09/2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round
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Real Madrid vs PSG: Tips, Prognosis & Odds – 03/09/2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round
Los Blancos have not lost a home game against PSG since 2015. A 2-2 win was possible in 2019 and a 3-1 win in 2018, just to mention the last 2 games at the Santiago Bernabéu. The French already have one foot in the quarter-finals of the Champions League after winning 1-0 in the first leg. The record winners of the premier class therefore need 1 win, with a difference of 2 goals, to advance in the Champions League. This venture could be a difficult one, although a home win for Real is not excluded.
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With the last-minute win in the first leg, when Kylian Mbappé made it 1-0 in the fourth minute of added time, Paris Saint-Germain pushed the goal well into the quarter-finals. The aim of the Rouge-et-Bleu is now very simple for the home-strong Blancos: avoid defeat at all costs. After the away goals rule was abolished, however, even a 0-1 or 1-2 at the Santiago Bernabéu would mean extra time.
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Paris failed to confirm their first-leg win in the French league. Coach Mauricio Pochettino's side have only managed one win since February 15. PSG lost two of the last three games. Among other things, the Paris lost the dress rehearsal for the second leg on Sunday against Nice. So, with defeat behind them, the French will face a hot white ballet in Spain. You can find out in our Real Madrid – PSG betting tip whether PSG could be eliminated from the premier class again despite being in the lead.
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Real Madrid: Form & Record Check
Real Madrid were able to shake off the first-leg loss to PSG and focus on day-to-day business. Despite the defeat, Los Blancos have won all three competitive games in a row since then. Deportivo Alaves were defeated 3-0 and then Rayo Vallecano 1-0 away. On Saturday evening, the duel against Real Sociedad was a difficult dress rehearsal for the second leg against PSG. But Madrid was able to win this game as well. After falling behind, the Madrilenians won 4-1.
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If coach Ancelotti's side fail to advance in the premier class, Real Madrid will only be able to hope for a title in La Liga. The Spanish Cup has also been without Los Blancos since losing to Bilbao in the quarterfinals. Thus, the Spanish league title would be the only title Real could win this season. Given the current eight-point lead over second-placed Sevilla, there is hardly anything to prevent the Madrilenians from becoming Spanish champions.
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Real Madrid: Facts & Analysis
Real Madrid are unbeaten in La Liga for 7 games.
Since the 1-0 loss in the first leg against PSG, Real have won every game.
In the last 3 competitive games, Madrid have conceded only one goal.
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After finishing runners-up in the 2020/21 season, things are going much better for Real Madrid this year. In La Liga, the Blancos are walking almost undisturbed towards their 35th championship. Eleven games before the end of the season, the lead over Sevilla is already eight points.
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In addition, there is the Supercopa de Espana won in January and the opportunity to further expand the status as record winner in the Champions League. For this undertaking, however, the white ballet now has to turn the game at home.
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Real achieved these results at home in the Champions League:
Real Madrid vs Sheriff Tiraspol: 1-2
Real Madrid vs Shakhtior Donetsk: 2-1
Real Madrid vs Inter Milan: 2-0
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Estimated line-up of Real Madrid:
Courtois - Marcelo - Militao - Alaba - Carvajal - Valverde - Camavinga - Junior - Modric - Rodrygo - Benzema
PSG: form & record check
Every kid knows that PSG is the leading force in French football. But the Paris have been resting on this status since the first leg win over Real Madrid. The victory over Madrid was followed by a 1:3 defeat against Nantes in Ligue 1. Since this was hard to beat in terms of embarrassment, coach Pochettino's team had to show a reaction against Saint-Etienne. This succeeded with a 3:1 victory. But the capitals fell behind in this game as well. The same applies to the game against Nice on Saturday. But this time PSG didn't manage the turnaround. Paris lost 1-0 and therefore go into the important second leg against Real Madrid with a defeat behind them.
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Before the first leg against Real Madrid, PSG won 1-0 against Stade Rennes. But since then, the Parisians have not been able to close their defense. In three competitive games in a row, Paris conceded at least one goal. With three more goals conceded than Nice, PSG has only the second best defense in the French league.
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Most recently two away bankruptcies in a row in Ligue 1
Meanwhile, however, there were several setbacks for the Parisiens. The Trophée des Champions was lost to Lille right at the start of the season, while in the Coupe de France it is no longer possible to defend the title after losing to Nice on penalties in the quarter-finals.
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Accordingly, the premier class is now important for the Rouge-et-Bleu, to which the recent success in league operations was clearly subordinated. Two of the three league games since the first leg against Los Blancos have been lost. Most recently, the Parisiens failed the dress rehearsal on Saturday in a 1-0 defeat in Nice.
PSG: Facts & Analysis
PSG have lost 2 out of 3 competitive games since the first leg.
In 3 games in a row, Paris conceded at least one goal.
Paris couldn't win the last 3 games in Madrid.
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PSG have struggled a bit in recent away games. In the premier class they are without a win abroad because of 2 draws and 1 defeat. Your 4 Champions League victories were won at home.
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PSG have achieved these results away from home in the Champions League:
Brugge vs PSG: 1-1
RB Leipzig vs. PSG. 2:2
Manchester City vs PSG: 2-1
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Estimated formation of PSG:
Donnarumma - Mendes - Kimpembe - Marquinhos - Dagba - Verratti - Pereira - Gueye - Di María - Mbappé - Messi
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Real Madrid vs PSG: head-to-head & stats
Real Madrid and PSG have already met 11 times. In this duel, neither of the two teams worked out the more positive balance. Both teams won 4 games each. Another 3 fixtures ended in a draw. The last meeting was whistled at 1-0 for Paris.
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Real haven't won any of the last 3 games against PSG.
The last duel in Madrid ended 2:2.
out of 5 games in Madrid, PSG could only win one. (1994)
Real's last win over PSG in Madrid was in the round of 16 in 2018. (3:1)
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Real Madrid and Paris Saint Germain in direct comparison
Each team won 4 games and drew 3 times. Both were particularly convincing at home against the other. Both met in 2018 in the round of 16 of the premier class. Real won these games 1:2 and 3:1. However, Los Blancos have been winless against PSG since then. They only drew 2:2 at home and the French won 3:0 and 1:0 in the Prinzenpark.
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In their last duel in a knockout round (Champions League Round of 16 2017/18), Real Madrid first won the first leg 3-1 at home and then celebrated a 2-1 victory in Paris.
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Real haven't won any of the last 3 games against PSG.
The last duel in Madrid ended 2:2.
out of 5 games in Madrid, PSG could only win one. (1994)
Real's last win over PSG in Madrid was in the round of 16 in 2018. (3:1)
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Our prognosis
For Tip 1, Real Madrid vs PSG have betting odds of 2.63, which we allude to with four units at bookmaker Unibet, which was tested by Wettbasis.
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We suspect that Real Madrid will win the home game or ensure a draw, but in the end it is not enough for a progression. Therefore we would place a Double Chance 1/X bet. There is a high probability that both teams will score and probably more than 2.5 goals will be scored. For us, a placement below 3.5 goals is also an option.
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