PSV Eindhoven vs. Benfica Lisbon: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 08/24/2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification
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PSV Eindhoven vs. Benfica Lisbon: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 08/24/2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification
Is PSV celebrating a return to the Champions League?
The first matchday of the UEFA Champions League group stage will take place in mid-September. However, before the draw can even take place, the remaining six participants must be determined in the playoffs on Tuesday and Wednesday. From a German point of view, there are still a few hot irons in the fire. For example, coach Roger Schmidt and his protégés Phillip Max and Mario Götze are aiming for a place in the premier class with PSV Eindhoven.
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But there is still a lot of work ahead of the Dutch runner-up, who lost the first leg in the previous week at the Portuguese counterpart in Lisbon just 2-1. Before the second leg between PSV Eindhoven and Benfica Lisbon, lower odds are therefore offered on the CL entry of the southern Europeans. However, these should be enjoyed with caution, because the "Boeren" have shown their enormous offensive potential not just once in the current season.
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On the side of the guests, Julian Weigl is also a German in the squad. In the first leg, the former Dortmund was even able to score one of the two goals for the "Águias". For the match on Tuesday evening between PSV Eindhoven and Benfica Lisbon, a prognosis for one or the other goal is also obvious, as the already aggressive Dutch have to play forward anyway due to the first-leg mortgage. Three hits in the course of the game seem absolutely plausible at first glance.
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PSV Eindhoven - statistics & current form
In 2018/19 PSV Eindhoven was allowed to take part in the big concert for the last time, i.e. in the Champions League group stage. At that time, the Dutch failed with only two points from six games and conceded 13 goals as the bottom of the table. Almost exactly three years later, the "Boeren” (in German: the farmers) have once again set themselves the goal of being one of the 32 elite clubs in the most important European club competition.
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On the way there, the team of German trainer Roger Schmidt was able to set off some fireworks. In the second qualifying round, Galatasaray not only scored two wins in two legs, but also scored seven goals (5: 1, 2: 1). FC Midtjylland also didn't have the slightest chance in the third round and conceded a total of 0: 4.
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PSV games promise spectacle this season
The winning streak on the international stage broke last week when Benfica Lisbon went bankrupt 2: 2. Nevertheless, the white-reds were again able to mark at least one goal of their own. In four of the five European Cup games, the mark of 2.5 goals was cracked. Across all competitions, fewer than three goals were scored in only two of the eight competitive games played. With this in mind, it is definitely worth considering placing a tip on the over 2.5 between PSV Eindhoven and Benfica Lisbon.
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Last but not least, the starting position speaks for this, because the Dutch runner-up has to play for victory and will therefore look for his chances on the offensive. There should also be no lack of self-confidence, because the dress rehearsal at the weekend was victorious 4-1 against Cambuur. In general, twelve goals scored in just three home games are an impressive figure, which should give PSV fans hope in terms of Champions League participation in 2021/22.
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In terms of personnel, the German coach will in all likelihood rotate backwards. At the weekend, various key players sat on the bench or were only substituted on late. On Tuesday, however, the ex-Leverkusen will build on his best formation. The former Bundesliga professionals Götze, Max, Mwene and Ramalho also currently belong to them. There is also a special focus on Israeli Zahavi, who has scored six points in five games in the previous qualification (three goals, three assists).
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Expected formation of PSV Eindhoven:
Drommel; Mwene, Ramalho, Boscagli, Max; Van Ginkel, Sangare; Madueke, Gotze, Gakpo; Zahavi
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Benfica Lisbon - stats & current form
In contrast to the Dutch rivals, who, looking back on the past ten years, were only allowed to take part in the group stage of the Champions League three times, Benfica Lisbon is almost a permanent fixture in the premier class. After all, in the same period of time they played more than three times as often in the concert of the greats.
These experience advantages were certainly one of the reasons why PSV Eindhoven against Benfica Lisbon was already treated as a wafer-thin outsider according to the odds before the first leg. The Portuguese were able to live up to their role and achieve a 2-1 victory in front of their home crowd.
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Benfica has been flawless so far
The goal shortly after half-time hurt for two reasons. Because the away goals rule has been abolished in Europe, a win with a goal difference on Tuesday evening is enough for the "Boeren" to get into extra time. On the other hand, even when the score is 0-0, the southern Europeans are forced not only to manage the result, but also to set accents themselves.
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The top priority, however, is the defense, which has worked very well in the previous competitive game operation in 2021/22. Keeper Vlachodimos only had to get behind him in two out of six games. Also interesting: all six completed matches were won. The eagles always marked exactly two goals.
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If this series were to be continued during the week, this would be synonymous with the financially and sportingly lucrative group stage and would also increase the likelihood that in the second leg between PSV Eindhoven and Benfica Lisbon a prediction of more than two goals in the course of the game would pay off. With Vertonghen, Seferovic and Ferro, three well-known players are still not available.
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Expected formation of Benfica Lisbon:
Vlachodimos; Lucas, Otamendi, Morato; Goncalves, Weigl, Mario, Grimaldo; Pizzi, Yaremchuk, R Silva
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PSV Eindhoven - Benfica Lisbon Direct Comparison / H2H
Compared to many other pairings in the Champions League playoffs 21/22, the duel between PSV Eindhoven and Benfica Lisbon is almost an evergreen. The teams have faced each other eight times in the past and Benfica leads the way with three wins. However, the majority of all matches ended in a draw (four games). The Dutch only prevailed once. Also interesting: In the new edition of the final in the 88/89 European Cup, the mark of 2.5 goals was cracked five times in a row. Will there be a lot of hits again on Tuesday?
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Bet base forecast & Netherlands PSV Eindhoven - Benfica Lisbon Portugal tip
Two well-known and equally ambitious clubs will duel on Tuesday evening for one of the remaining six tickets for the CL group stage. Benfica Lisbon holds the better starting position after the Portuguese won the first leg 2-1 a week ago.
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Before the second leg, however, the odds between PSV Eindhoven and Benfica Lisbon tend to favor the home side, who have already offered one or two offensive fireworks in the course of the season. Five goals against Galatasaray, three goals against Midtjylland and four stalls each against Ajax Amsterdam and FC Cambuur. Mario Götze and Co. should not lack quality and self-confidence.
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Exactly for this reason it is also the best choice in our opinion to tip between PSV Eindhoven and Benfica Lisbon that the spectators present in the Philips Stadium will see at least three goals.
A corresponding bet would have gone through in six of the eight PSV competitive games this season. In addition, the Eagles from Lisbon scored exactly two hits in all six games, so a lot could happen in connection with the starting position. We can play the top odds of 1.85 via the Bet365 app with a stake of six units. If you want to take a little more risk, you can bet that the Schmidt-Elf will advance. Here a 2.45 is offered at the top.
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