Paraguay - Uruguay: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 01/28/2022 - SOUTH AMERICA: World Cup 2022 - Qualification
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Paraguay - Uruguay: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 01/28/2022 - SOUTH AMERICA: World Cup 2022 - Qualification
Do the Urus still go to Qatar?
Uruguay are slight favorites in Paraguay for World Cup qualifiers. The Cleceste are under a lot of pressure not to miss qualifying for Qatar. The Urus want to score points in the 10th duel in a row and according to our forecast they will do so.
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Will Uruguay remain undefeated in the 10th duel in a row?
Uruguay could miss a World Cup in Germany for the first time since 2006. In the qualification for Qatar 2022, the Celeste is only in 7th place and would therefore only be a spectator. Now the Urus are trying a new coach. Opponents Paraguay aren't in much better shape either, as they are ninth in the group they only have more theoretical chances of a World Cup ticket.
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Paraguay
- 5 internationals without a win
- 2 home games without a win
- no goal in 5 qualifiers
- 2 home duels without a win
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Uruguay
- 4 bankruptcies in a row
- 3 away defeats in a row
- only 1 goal from 5 international matches
- 9 duels without defeat
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Basically, the top motto for both teams is "losing is forbidden", but even a draw could be enough in the fight for the World Cup ticket. The pressure is correspondingly high and the risk chosen by both teams will probably be very manageable. Accordingly, this duel will probably not be a football treat. Despite home advantage, Paraguay vs Uruguay offers the lowest betting odds on Celeste's victory from Uruguay.
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In Paraguay, the question arises as to whether the gate barrier can be broken. The team have not scored in the last five qualifiers, with just nine goals in 14 games, the hosts have the weakest offensive in the South America qualifiers. The game starts on the night from Thursday to Friday at midnight Central European Time.
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Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 7 games in Paraguay. In 4 of the last 5 home games there were less than 2.5 goals to see. In 14 qualifying games, the Paraguayans scored just 9 goals and conceded 18. They remained goalless in 8 qualifying games, most recently 5 times in a row. They were only behind at the break in one of the last 8 qualifying games, in 3 of the last 4 games they had to give up the 2nd half.
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Will Uruguay concede their 5th defeat in a row?
Uruguay's new national coach is Diego Alonso. The 46-year-old, who previously coached Inter Miami in the MLS, among other things, is expected to lead the Celeste to the 2022 World Cup. The Urus threatens to miss a World Cup for the first time in 16 years. From the first 14 qualifying games there were only 4 successes and a draw with 6 defeats. That means currently only rank 7, 1 point behind the playoff place.
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Under Tabarez, Uruguay did not act particularly offensively, despite the outstanding offensive players (Luis Suarez, Edinson Cavani, Darwin Nunez). Also due to his age, the playing style was relatively conservative. In recent years, Uruguay has been overtaken by many competitors and the current World Cup qualification is therefore on shaky ground. After the Celeste suffered two defeats in both the October and November doubles, the end was sealed.
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In view of the existing player material, the guests are certainly to be classified as significantly stronger, both at the top and in width. Although Tabarez has just been adored by the older generation, the new wind is probably overdue. A few small changes can make a big difference, and from a purely qualitative point of view, the tip on the guests in Paraguay against Uruguay seems to be an absolute must.
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Estimated formation of Uruguay:
Rochet - Olivera, Gimenez, Godin, Araujo - Valverde - Torres, Bentancur, Nandez - Cavani, Suarez
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Paraguay - Stats & Current Form
All good things come in threes – in the case of Paraguay this would not be the case, as the national team would then miss a World Cup for the third time in a row. Anything is still possible given the tight starting position, but after just two wins in 14 games it is difficult to imagine that the team could start a winning streak in the final sprint and thus still be able to secure the Qatar ticket at the last moment.
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Paraguay can keep up until the break
At the moment Paraguay is definitely one of the weakest/weakest teams in South America and with the upcoming duel against Brazil next week, the dream of participating in the World Cup could be over after these two international matches. Even a goal would be positive for the home side after the latest results, but in Paraguay against Uruguay there are many indications of a successful tip on "Both teams to score? No."
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Probable formation of Paraguay:
Silva - Alonso, Gomez, Balbuena, Escobar - Villasanti, Lucena, Almiron - Samudio, Gonzalez, Sanabria
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Head-to-head Paraguay - Uruguay
Paraguay haven't beaten Uruguay in 15 years. Since then, the Urus have recorded 5 wins and 4 draws in 9 meetings. In the last two away duels, the Celeste was able to score (1 S, 1 U). Paraguay have not scored in 3 of their last 4 direct duels, most recently 2 in a row.
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Uruguay won their last game in Paraguay 2-1. Both teams have not scored in 6 of the past 10 comparisons, most recently 3 times in 4 games. Therefore, in 7 of the last 10 duels there were fewer than 2.5 goals, most recently 2x in a row.
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Paraguay vs Uruguay Direct Comparison
This duel happened twice in less than a month in June 2021. First of all, the first leg of the current World Cup qualifier was staged, in which the two teams parted without a goal. The second duel at the end of June was a group game at the Copa America in Brazil. Manchester United star Edinson Cavani scored the only goal from the penalty spot. These two games also point to a forecast for the upcoming duel between Paraguay and Uruguay in the direction of "Both teams to meet? No” and place a sub-bet.
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KEY FACTS – PARAGUAY VS. URUGUAY: TIP
- Paraguay have not scored in any of their last five qualifiers
- The two duels in 2021 ended 0-0 and 1-0 (for Uruguay).
- An era is over - debut for Tabarez successor Diego Alonso
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Tips and predictions
Uruguay will also score in the 10th duel in a row. Despite the poor performance of the Celeste, we dare to say that recently. The team will improve under the new coach. It is quite possible that there will be less than 2.5 goals in the game and not both teams can score. Uruguay will win the second half. Risk-taking bet on the away win to zero.
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