Northern Ireland - Italy: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11/15/2021 - EUROPE: World Cup - Qualification 2022
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Northern Ireland - Italy: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11/15/2021 - EUROPE: World Cup - Qualification 2022
Will Italy win again against Northern Ireland?
The Squadra Azzurra won the first leg 2-0 and wore a clean slate in the World Cup qualifiers away because of two to zero wins and one 0-0. Northern Ireland can no longer qualify for the World Cup, but are still goalless and winless at home. 1 game is still pending, namely against Lithuania, the bottom of the group. Italy is the favorite in the "final". Another to zero victory is to be expected.
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Some European teams have already bought tickets for the World Cup in Qatar. The European champions have to tremble until the last day of the match. Even a win on Monday in Northern Ireland is not enough for sure. There is even the possibility that the group win in this pool will be determined by direct comparison or even by away goals.
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Italy is currently 15 points ahead of the Swiss with the same number of points. The European champion has the goal difference two goals better. For example, if the Italians win 1-0 in Northern Ireland and the Swiss win 3-0 at home against Bulgaria, then both teams are tied on points and goals. Then the Swiss would take the lead due to an away goal in an otherwise balanced direct comparison.
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The Squadra Azzura will therefore also have one ear at the Swiss match in Lucerne. The Italians have a better starting position and if things get tight Roberto Mancini will have to pull out all the offensive stops. Nevertheless, before the duel between Northern Ireland and Italy, the prognosis is that the European champion will also be at the start of the World Cup.
Italy in the "final" against Northern Ireland
The last World Cup qualifying game for the Italians is eagerly awaited. This will kick off on November 15, 2021, at 8.45 p.m., in Windsor Park, because Northern Ireland will receive the reigning European champions. While the Squadra Azzurra is fighting for 1st place in Group C, in the worst case can slip to 2nd place and then play in the playoff for a starting place at the World Cup, such participation is already history for the Northern Irish. The question therefore arises as to whether the hosts will go all out or whether they see this game as a test game. Predictions for this game are therefore difficult to make.
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Northern Ireland
- Home advantage
- Have nothing left to lose
- Italy are grappling with injury concerns
- Made a 0-0 win against Italy in the last home game (2010)
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Italy
- Are under pressure to act
- Play for 1st or 2nd place
- Are unbeaten in the World Cup qualifiers
- Are clearly superior to Northern Ireland offensively and defensively
- Have not yet conceded a goal away from home
- Have already won the first leg
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Is Northern Ireland saying goodbye to World Cup qualification?
A victory against Italy is difficult to imagine and probably achievable. They have been without a win for 9 home games. They only got 4 draws, recently 2 in a row, and 5 times they admitted defeat. So far they have only celebrated 1 victory in the World Cup qualifying and were good for 2 draws. They lost 3 times. The game against Lithuania, which will take place on November 12th, 2021, is still pending. This is played in Northern Ireland. The Northern Irish are the bookmakers' favorite. If they win against Lithuania (bottom of the group), then at least they would be unbeaten at home, because the following results have been possible in front of a home crowd so far:
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0-0 against Bulgaria
0-0 against Switzerland
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De facto they are still winless and goalless after 2 home games. In total, they scored 5 goals and allowed 7 goals against. By the way, they already celebrated a 1: 4 win against Lithuania in the first leg.
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For Northern Ireland it is no longer about anything. The Green and White Army is currently in third place with eight points and is fighting with the Bulgarians tied for this position, which, however, will be meaningless in the end. The British will still put everything into this game in order not to have to listen to possible accusations from Switzerland afterwards. Nevertheless, in the duel between Northern Ireland and Italy, there must be no alternative to a tip for an away win in the Happybet app.
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Northern Ireland and Italy in direct comparison
These two teams faced each other only 10 times, with the first leg being the first after 10 years. Thus, only the first leg is actually relevant for the direct comparison. The Italians won it 2-0. This score was already set at the break. Dominico Berardi and Ciro Immobile scored in the 14th and 38th minute after assists from Alessandro Florenzi and Lorenzo Insigne.
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The starting point of the Squadra Azzurra
The starting position is a bit precarious, because before Italy meets Northern Ireland, they will have to deal with their direct pursuers, Switzerland, on November 12th, 2021. Both the Squadra Azzurra and the Nati have 14 points in their account. Italy has a goal difference of 11 after 6 games and Switzerland, after just as many games, one of 9. If there is a tie in points, the goal difference is to be borne. These two make up places 1 and 2, that much is already certain.
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Northern Ireland statistics & current form
The European Championship with 24 participants is a realistic goal for the Northern Irish. However, the first World Cup participation since 1986 was missed again. However, the Green and White Army was just a big outsider in this group. Ian Baraclough's team was not expected to be more than third from the start.
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Unpleasant Northern Irish
So one can speak of a proper qualification. As a rule, the Northern Irish, as is their way, presented themselves as an unpleasant opponent, but not always successfully. There was only one win from the last four games and for this reason we tend not to look at the odds for a home win between Northern Ireland and Italy.
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However, Switzerland also struggled with the 0-0 win at Windsor Park. Maybe a little surprise is possible on Monday. On Friday, the Northern Irish hosted the outsider from Lithuania. In an expected low-goal game, the encounter was decided after a quarter of an hour by an own goal by the Lithuanians.
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Quite possible that coach Ian Baraclough is doing a load management. However, we assume that he will send his best possible team into the race and make life as difficult as possible for the European champions. Not part of the game are goalscorer Kyle Lafferty, Ryan McLaughlin, Conor McLaughlin and Michael Smith.
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Expected formation of Northern Ireland:
Peacock-Farrell - Evans, Cathcart, McNair - Ferguson, Saville, McCann, Davis, Dallas - Washington, Magennis - Trainer: Baraclough
Italy - statistics & current form
After the Italians missed the 2018 World Cup in Russia, the Squadra Azzura is again struggling to qualify for the title fights. After the missed World Cup in Russia, the team rose from the ashes like Phoenix and secured the European Championship title with enthusiastic football in the summer.
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Azzuri mega-series
Although the Italians have only lost one of their last 40 international matches and are unbeaten in the ongoing qualification, they are still threatened with the unpopular playoffs. In the long-distance duel with the Swiss, the Azzuri are doomed to victory. At least we think that the prognosis for an away win between Northern Ireland and Italy is not too far-fetched.
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The Squadra Azzura could have taken a big step towards Qatar on Friday. The Swiss were guests in Rome and the Italians almost won with a home win. First, however, the Confederates took the lead. Giovanni Di Lorenzo managed to equalize. In the final minute, Jorginho missed the chance to bag the Italian victory with a penalty.
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So it will now depend on the match on Monday in Belfast. Robert Mancini is not exactly considered to be a Freud great rotation. So we expect a similar starting XI as against Switzerland. Alessandro Bastoni, Cristiano Biraghi and Davide Calabria have to pass at short notice. In addition, Giorgio Chiellini, Marco Verratti, Stefano Sensi or Ciro Immobile are missing.
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Expected formation of Italy:
Donnarumma - Emerson, Acerbi, Bonucci, Di Lorenzo - Jorginho, Barella, Locatelli - Insigne, Chiesa, Belotti - Trainer: Mancini
Should Italy win against Switzerland, that's enough
European champions have a draw against Northern Ireland and they are sure to continue, regardless of whether the national team wins or loses in the parallel game against Bulgaria or ensures that points are divided. In the event of a defeat against the Northern Irish, the result of the parallel game decides who is 1st or 2nd. Should Italy lose against Switzerland, however, then losing one way or another against Northern Ireland is forbidden, although the result of the game Switzerland against Bulgaria will still have to be considered. So it remains exciting.
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Italy is once again worried about participating in the World Cup
Italy is trembling before these two games, as we were allowed to learn, because several top performers are missing. Ciro Immobile has injured his calf and Marco Verratti is absent from midfield. In addition, the missions of captain Giorgio Chiellini and Nicolo Barella are questionable, because both are ailing. Tuttosport calls this a drama for Italy:
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The high-altitude flight after the European Championships has flown a bit with the Squadra Azzurra. In October, the record series of 37 games ended without defeat by the 1: 2 defeats in the semi-finals of the Nations League. Since the European Championship, the Italians have only had 2 wins in 5 games, including 3 World Cup qualifiers:
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1: 1 at home against Bulgaria
0-0 away against Switzerland
5-0 win against Lithuania in the home stadium
According to Corriere dello Sport: The coach must now show courage to find solutions.
Before that, they celebrated three 2-0 wins against Northern Ireland, Bulgaria and Lithuania. All in all, the Italians have won 4 games and drawn 2 in the World Cup qualifiers. The second leg against Switzerland is still pending. They marked 12 goals and only allowed 1 goal. Away they wear a white vest because of two 0: 2 wins and one 0: 0.
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Betting base forecast & Northern Ireland - Italy Italy tip
The direct comparison speaks clearly in favor of the Italians, but the Squadra Azzura never won the three guest appearances in Northern Ireland. Whether this is a bad omen for the match on Monday, everyone has to judge for themselves. After all, the Italians travel to Belfast as the reigning European champions and there have been no goals against the British since 1961.
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In addition, the Italians have been extremely strong for three years and have only lost one of their last 40 international matches. In addition, the Squadra Azzura has a very solid defense. Therefore, there is much to suggest that in the match between Northern Ireland and Italy, a tip with a sports betting bonus on a guest victory is the better choice.
KEY FACTS - NORTHERN IRELAND VS. ITALY TIP
- Northern Ireland won only one of their last four internationals.
- Italy have only suffered one defeat in their last 40 international matches.
- The Northern Irish have been waiting for a win against Italy for 65 years.
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The Northern Irish are known for their fighting spirit and we assume that they will not give anything to the European champions. Whether it will be enough for Roberto Mancini's eleven to qualify directly for the World Cup also depends on the parallel game, but in the duel between Northern Ireland and Italy we put the odds on a zero victory for the Squadra Azzura.
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Our forecast
Nothing should stand in the way of a victory for the Italians, even if they are struggling with personnel concerns. We don't expect both teams to score, which is why we tend to tip 2 wins to zero. The current form of both also suggests that there will probably be fewer goals, so a placement below 2.5 goals is an option.
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