Mexico vs. Japan: Tipps, Prognosis & Odds - 08/06/2021 - WELT: Olympic Games - final round 2021
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Mexico vs. Japan: Tipps, Prognosis & Odds - 08/06/2021 - WELT: Olympic Games - final round 2021
Attack again after disappointment
The Olympic final was within reach. In football in particular, you probably only get this chance once in your life. The disappointment of having missed the final, however, has to be ticked off quickly, especially at the Olympic Games, because the game for third place, which makes little sense in other competitions, still gives the winner the bronze medal in Tokyo.
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The teams from Mexico and Japan will once again mobilize all their strength to be present at the award ceremony. As hosts, the games have a very special meaning for the Japanese. Perhaps that is why the Blue Samurai will remember this last task a little faster, which is still to be done on Friday.
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Generally one can assume that the Mexicans should have the higher quality in their ranks in this bronze game. Both teams faced each other a little more than a week ago in the group stage. The Japanese won this match 2: 1 and nevertheless the betting company Happybet, among others, is having a hard time making a prediction of a winner between Mexico and Japan.
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Both teams will meet at eye level in the small final. It wouldn't be surprising if the battle for bronze wasn't decided in regular time. The Mexicans will probably do everything they can to avoid having to go to a penalty shoot-out again. We think it is conceivable, however, to do well between Mexico and Japan with a tip on a draw.
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Mexico - statistics & current form
There isn't much that one can blame the Mexicans for. All in all, El Tri made a great impression at the Olympics in Japan and scored the most goals in this tournament. Jaime Lozano's team was an excellent ambassador for the Central Americans. With this in mind, it would be particularly bitter to leave Japan without a medal.
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Mexico in shock
After the defeat of the A-team in the final of the Gold Cup, that would be the next setback for a football-mad nation. But something is still possible at least at the Olympics. It will be important to have coped with the shock from the semi-finals, because the El Tri was absolutely on par against the defending champion from Brazil.
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Basically, it was logical that no goal was scored either in regular time or in extra time. The penalty shoot-out had to bring the decision and the Mexicans just couldn't get their nerves under control. Eduardo Aguirre and Johan Vasquez missed their penalties. The Brazilians did not miss this chance, met four times in a row and made it to the final.
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The Mexicans were naturally heartbroken after that penalty shoot-out. All the hardships that were accepted could now have been in vain. The mood among the Central Americans is absolutely in the basement, which is why we think that between Mexico and Japan, the odds on an El Tri win should be used with caution.
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Expected formation of Mexico:
Ochoa - Angulo, Vasquez, Montes, Lorona - Romo, Esquivel - Vega, Cordova, Antuna - Martin - Trainer: Lozano
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Japan - Statistics & Current Form
The Japanese also made a great impression at the Olympic Games in their own country. The Blue Samurai had the advantage of not having to adapt to climatic conditions and, above all, of being able to prepare for a long time. There were also no problems in terms of relocating and assembling the squad.
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Japan without a goal in the playoffs
If you can prepare meticulously for a tournament, then in the end the results will be right. The Japanese won four of their five games at the Olympics and only played against Spain in the semi-finals after extra time. In the playoffs, the hosts have not yet scored a single goal, because in the quarter-finals against New Zealand it was only after penalties for a place in the semifinals.
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The Japanese did not hide in the match against the favorite from Spain and had their chances. It was clear that a team as talented as Furia Roja would also create scoring opportunities. The only bitter thing from the Japanese point of view is that Spain took advantage of one of these chances in the 115th minute to score the game's golden goal.
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Defeat or not. It is not the Japanese mentality to mourn this missed opportunity. The Blue Samurai will do everything in their power to get another medal, because coach Hajime Moriyasu makes it very clear that the Olympic motto "It's everything” does not apply to him. He really wants to win the bronze medal.
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Expected formation of Japan:
Tani - Nakayama, Itakura, Yoshida, Sakai - Endo, Tanaka - Doan, Hatate, Kubo - Hayashi - Trainer: Moriyasu
Direct comparison / H2H
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The Mexican and Japanese Olympic selections have actually faced each other a few times. In contrast to Europe, the qualification in North and Central America and Asia is much easier. Mexico and Japan have met a total of three times at the Olympic Games. The direct comparison speaks with 2: 1 wins for the Japanese.
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In 1968 in Mexico, the Blue Samurai won 2-0, at that time also once in the game for bronze. In 2012 the Mexicans retaliated in the semi-finals in London. The last encounter was just a few days ago. In the preliminary round, Japan won 2-1 after goals from Takefuso Kubo and Ritsu Doan and a goal from Roberto Alvarado. Johan Vasquez saw the red card on El Tri's side.
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Betting base forecast & Mexico Mexico - Japan Japan tip
Both teams performed very well at the games in Tokyo and the surrounding area and both teams deserved a place in the final. However, one of them will end up empty-handed. In terms of quality, there are no major differences in either team. So it will depend more on the mentality. This begs the question of who digested the bankruptcy better in the semifinals and who is more likely to get involved in the bronze game.
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We think the Japanese have a better chance there. You play in your own country and have the support of an entire nation, even if that won't be noticeable in the stadium. Nevertheless, we tend to place a tip on a victory for the hosts between Mexico and Japan.
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The problem with the Japanese is that they didn't score in the playoffs. However, coach Hajime Moriyasu has recognized this danger and will be more offensive in the game for third place or choose a more offensive tactic. Little things will decide, but we are playing the odds between Mexico and Japan on a Japanese win.
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