Manchester City - Leeds: Tips, prognosis & odds - 14.12.2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League
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Manchester City - Leeds: Tips, prognosis & odds - 14.12.2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League
The champions Manchester City get a visit from the north by the kickers from Leeds. The home side defeated Wolverhampton 1-0 last Saturday. Thanks to the win, the team of coach Pep Guardiola maintained the championship lead. In addition, the sixth victory in a row in the league was achieved!
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In the upcoming match, the Spanish trainer can now also hope for the 500th goal of his team in the league under his direction. If this succeeds, he would undercut Jürgen Klopp's previous record with the Reds in terms of the number of encounters required with only 207.
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In 6 of the last 7 City games, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored. The Guardiola squad scored 13 goals in the last 6 league games. In 10 games of the season they have over 1.5 goals, in 9 games they did not allow a goal - 6 of them at home. Manchester played to zero in 7 of their last 9 home appearances. City did not concede a goal in the first 45 minutes of the last 6 games and led 5 times. The first goal was achieved in 12 of the 16 season games, and the Skyblues took a lead in the break in 9 games.
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Manchester City stats & current form
The Citizens prevailed against the Wanderers as described, but the victory should actually have been significantly higher. The guests weakened themselves when their Mexican striker Raul Jimenez was sent off in the first half and acted harmlessly on the offensive as usual. However, Manchester failed to exploit a large number of its chances.
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It was significant that the winning goal came from the penalty spot. The goal was marked by Raheem Sterling, who is currently the most efficient on the offensive. The striker scored in the last two league games and is now playing harder again after a weaker start to the season.
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He scored three of his four goals this season in the Premier League looking back on the last five game days. Against this background, the odds on his next goal celebration in the duel between Manchester City and Leeds are also interesting.
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Will ManCity win the 7th league game in a row?
Manchester City's winning streak in the Premier League continues. Pep Guradiola's team won the last 6 league games, 1-0 at home against the Wolves at the weekend. That was the 12th success of the season with 2 draws and 2 defeats. This means that the Skyblues continue to lead 1 point ahead of Liverpool. The Citizens have won 8 of their last 9 league games (1 loss).
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Manchester also won the last 3 home games in the Premier League. This season they have achieved 6 successes in their own stadium in the league, with 1 draw and 1 loss each, making City the best home team in England. The Guardiola-Elf has the best defense in the league with only 9 goals, at home they only allowed 3 goals. In the last 6 league games there were only 3 goals against.
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As a rule, Manchester sets the course for a home win in the first leg of the game: only in the last of six home games won, the hosts did not take the break with a lead that had already taken place.
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In light of this, the Manchester City match against Leeds offers tips on a goal for the home side in both halves of the game.
Expected formation of Manchester City:
Ederson - Cancelo - Dias - Laporte - Zinchenko - Silva - Rodri - Gündogan - Sterling - Gabriel Jesus - Grealish
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Leeds - Statistics & Current Form
Will Leeds score in the 3rd duel in a row?
For the 16th matchday of the English Premier League, Manchester City are favored against Leeds United. The Skyblues won the last 3 home games, while the Whites could not win the last 3 away games. In the preseason, the then promoted Leeds remained without defeat in both seasonal duels and even prevailed in Manchester. The start of this game is on Tuesday, December 14th, 2021, at 9 p.m. our time.
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The kickers from the "Steel City” stood up to Chelsea last Saturday, but in the end were left empty-handed: At Stamford Bridge they had to admit defeat 2: 3 due to a goal in stoppage time.
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In the offensive, however, an important player is missing in Patrick Bamford. The striker made his comeback with a goal after a break from injury on the penultimate matchday, but it seems that United's top scorer has not yet completely recovered from his injury over the past two seasons.
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In the defeat against Chelsea he had to pass again and against Manchester it should not be enough for an appearance. His failure explains why the team of coach Marcelo Bielsa only scored 17 goals in 16 league games - only five teams in the Premier League act more harmless in attack.
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At least Rafinha is convincing in the offensive of the second division champions of 2020: Around 41 percent of all Leeds goals go to his account and he has already topped his yield from the previous season with seven goals. In his second year with the country's three-time champions, the Brazilian has apparently completely arrived.
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United is also not playing well abroad: The West Yorkshire footballers have only finished one of their eight guest appearances with a win (1-3-4). The three of the ninth of the previous year only succeeded at bottom of the table, Norwich.
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Expected formation of Leeds:
Meslier - Ayling - Llorente - Firpo - Shackleton - Forshaw - Dallas - Roberts - Harrison - Rafinha - James
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Manchester City - Leeds head-to-head comparison
Leeds haven't been one of City's favorite opponents in the recent past. The champion has not won against the Elland Road team in four league games in the last 18 years (0-2-2). In the last sixteen of the FA Cup in 2013 alone, the home side were able to land a clear 4-0 victory in front of their own crowd.
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Bet base forecast & Manchester City - Leeds tip
Manchester recently defended the championship lead with a home win against Wolverhampton. The success succeeded without conceding a goal and this course of the game was almost the rule in the home games of the champions: The Citizens only conceded a goal in two of their eight home games!
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For the duel between Manchester City and Leeds, the tip is therefore aimed at a home win, including a clean sheet. The home side have the best home defense and the visiting FA Cup winner from 1972 is on the offensive with manageable successes this season.
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8 OPTA FACTS - MANCHESTER CITY VS. LEEDS TIP:
- City hasn't won against Leeds since January 2003 (0-2-2)
- United have only won two of their 20 games against their leaders (2-9-9)
- Manchester have been unbeaten in 14 home games on a Tuesday (10-4-0) - the last bankruptcy was in August 1993 against Blackburn Rovers
- Since getting promoted last year, the guests have won six of their seven PL games during the week (6-0-1)
- The guests have recently scored twice but never won - in the previous 14 rounds, the Bielsa-Elf only managed more than one goal per league game
- Leeds striker Rafinha has scored four of his five appearances on Tuesday
- City have conceded eight of their nine goals so far in the second half of the game - this corresponds to a rate of 89 percent and Leeds follows directly behind with 72 percent
- The home side have the best pass rate in the Premier League (89.8 percent)
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With around one goal per league game, United's attacking row takes a lower position in a league-wide comparison. The prediction is supported by the fact that the best striker of the guests of the past two seasons in the person of Patrick Bamford will probably have to pass again due to an injury.
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Tips and forecasts
Based on our analysis, we assume a sovereign home success for City. The Skyblues will not allow a goal in the game. Leeds could keep up in the first 45 minutes, but City win the second half. We will see less than 3.5 hits. That speaks for a 2.0 or a 3-0 for the home team.
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