Malmö vs. HJK: Tipp, Prognosis & Odd - 07/21/2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - qualification

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Malmö vs. HJK: Tipp, Prognosis & Odd - 07/21/2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - qualification
 
Are the Swedes laying the groundwork for progress at home?
 
While most European leagues are currently preparing for the season, more than ten match days have already been played in both the Swedish and Finnish leagues. This is now enough for the reigning national champions and current table leaders to qualify for the Champions League. After all, both Malmö and HJK Helsinki are already fully established.
 
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A correspondingly hot dance can be expected in the second qualifying round from the Champions Way, if neither team wants to risk getting into a bad starting position in the first leg. A mutual focus on the defensive is to be expected, which favors a tip of under 2.5 goals at Malmö against HJK.
 
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Experience speaks clearly for the Swedes, who last successfully qualified for the premier class in the 2014/15 and 2015/16 seasons. The representative from the Finnish capital only played once in the Champions League group stage in the 1998/99 season and since then has failed to qualify ten times in a row.
 
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Accordingly, in the run-up to the match between Malmö and HJK, the betting odds in the direction of the home side, which can be checked at any time on the go - for example with the help of the practical Interwetten app.
 
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Malmö - statistics & current form
 
The Malmö Fotbollförening, or Malmö FF for short, is the clear number one in Sweden. The Himmelsblått (in German: the sky blue) celebrated their 21st national championship last November, with which they were able to further expand their status as record champions.
 
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After two missed championships in a row, the kickers from the Swedish southwest can fight for a place in the Champions League for the first time. There Jon Dahl Tomasson's team eliminated the Latvian national champions Riga in the first qualifying round.
 
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Last four competitive games in a row without defeat
 
In general, things are going well for Himmelsblått at the moment. In the Allsvenskan, Malmö leads the table after playing twelve games, but could theoretically be overtaken by Djurgardens IF, who still has a catch-up game up their sleeves. The southwest Swedes have finally lost two of the previous twelve games in the league - including the direct duel with Djurgardens (1: 3).
 
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At least the current momentum is extremely consistent. After the game break in June due to EURO 2020, the Tomasson-Elf started with a 2-3 defeat at Norrköping in July, but remained undefeated in the subsequent four competitive games with 11-1 goals.
 
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Already 16 goals conceded from the twelve league games
 
Under a correspondingly good star at Malmö against HJK is the tip on the progress of the Swedes, who last reached the group stage of the Champions League in the 2015/16 season.
 
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However, the Himmelsblått have to get a grip on their susceptibility to goals against. Not only have they conceded 16 goals from twelve games in the league, but also in the first qualifying round the Tomasson troops only kept their clean slate in the 1-0 home win in the first leg against Riga.
 
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Expected formation of Malmö:
 
Dahlin - Knudsen - Nielsen - Ahmedhozic - Larsson - Rakip - Nanasi - Lewicki - Rieks - Berget - Colak
 
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HJK - statistics & current form
 
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi, better known as HJK Helsinki, are also the record champions in the country. The "Klubi” has secured the Finnish championship 30 times so far, which has been wrapped up three more times in the last four years alone.
 
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The capitals are also currently leading the Veikkausliiga with a six point lead over their rival Kuopion Palloseura. Toni Koskela's team has only lost one of the twelve league games so far.
 
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Big exclamation mark in the second qualifying round
 
Despite all the resounding national successes, HJK Helsinki is still an absolutely blank slate at the international level. Due to its role as record and series champion, the club is a permanent guest in the qualifying rounds for the Champions League. The capital city failed ten times in a row at the latest in the third qualifying round.
 
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HJK mastered at least the first hurdle extremely impressively. Against the Montenegrin national champions Podgorica, the Finns celebrated a 3-1 home win before a 4-0 win away from home. Two games with which an interim winning streak grew to eleven competitive games in a row.
 
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On Saturday in Oulu, the long winning streak broke
 
Last weekend of all times, however, this series broke. Helsinki lost 2-1 in Veikkausliiga in Oulu on Saturday and had to admit defeat in a league game for the first time since September 2020. Also because of this small setback shortly before the third qualifying round for the Champions League, the Finns are now in the outsider role.
 
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The bookmaker Unibet, tested by Wettbasis, offers odds of 9.00 for the away win of the Koskela-Elf at Malmö against HJK. Although the club is the absolute measure of all things at national level with only seven goals conceded from twelve games. Nevertheless, the budget of the Finnish record champions only corresponds to the budget of an average German third division club, which also says a lot about the international competitiveness.
 
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Expected formation of HJK:
 
Tannander - O’Shaughnessy - Tenho - Moren - Saksela - Lingman - Jair - Valencic - Tanaka - Browne - Riski
 
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Direct comparison / H2H
 
Never before have the two record champions from Sweden and Finland faced each other in an international competitive game. There is therefore no "head to head” data that could be included in the forecast for Malmö against HJK.
 
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Bet base forecast & Sweden Malmö - HJK Finland tip
 
In view of the fact that Malmö made the leap into the Champions League group stage twice in the last decade, while Helsinki mostly failed in the third qualifying round at the latest, the tendency is clearly towards the Himmelsblått.
 
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While HJK suffered their first defeat in the league since September 2020 at the weekend, Malmö has been undefeated in four competitive games with 11-1 goals. The momentum is also on the side of the Swedes.
 
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We expect the Finns, who only conceded seven goals from twelve games in the league, to come to the Swedish southwest with a focus on the defensive in order to secure the best possible starting position for the second leg. So there is much to be said for a low-goal first leg.
 
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We therefore bet on under 2.5 goals, for which odds of 1.90 are available at Malmö against HJK, which we play with five units at Bet3000. If you have a smartphone or tablet, you can also use the Bet3000 app, which impresses with top features (e.g. access to the Bet3000 live streaming offer) to place bets.
 
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