Lugano vs. Lausanne tip, prognosis & odds 23.12.2020 - Super League
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Lugano vs. Lausanne tip, prognosis & odds 23.12.2020 - Super League
FC Lugano remained undefeated at the start of the league for eight games in a row. Then, however, the Bianconeri lost 0-1 at home to FC Zurich, which put a spanner in the works. There are currently three games in a row without a win. Now, Lausanne-Sport is a guest in Ticino who won his last two league games and was able to close the gap to the top half of the table.
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Nevertheless, in the run-up to the clash between Lugano and Lausanne, the odds of the bookmakers turned towards the Ticino, as the odds comparison of the betting base shows.
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The Bianconeri are favorites because of their overall strong home record. After all, Maurizio Jacobacci's team won three of their five home games and only conceded four goals at home. Lugano has the best home defense in the Super League and one day before Christmas welcomes a guest who could only win one of his six league away games.
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However, the goal bet seems a bit more sustainable than the three-way system. With an average of only two goal participations per Lugano game, it makes the most sense to suggest under 2.5 goals at Lugano against Lausanne. There were no more hits in the last two duels between the two clubs.
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Lugano - statistics & current form
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FC Lugano finished the 2019/20 season in fifth place in the Super League. The position that the Ticino are in before their last competitive game before the winter break. Maurizio Jacobacci's squad still has two catch-up games up their sleeves and could climb to second place with three two points from these games.
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That shows how well things have gone so far for the Bianconeri, who have only lost one of their eleven league games. Only the enormous number of draws - six out of eleven games ended in a draw - prevented the three-time Swiss champions from re-entering the title race.
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The great strength lies in the defensive
The Ticino's recipe for success is once again very simple: build up the game from a bombproof defense and force the "lucky punch" through switching moments or standards.
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In this way, the defensively extremely strong FC Lugano is extremely difficult to beat.
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For football aesthetes, however, the Bianconeri games are usually difficult in this style of play. After all, a result like the 2-2 away draw at the BSC Young Boys last Saturday is almost a goal festival. There are seldom more than two goals in games with Lugano participation, which is why we clearly favor the tip on a low-goal game at Lugano against Lausanne.
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The best home defense in the Super League
In particular, at home in the Stadio di Cornaredo, very little has happened so far this season. Six goals are here against four goals conceded. This corresponds to an average of exactly two hits per game, with the Ticino on the one hand providing the second worst home offensive, but on the other hand the best home defense in the entire Super League.
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Incidentally, there was no goal in the first round between the two clubs. On November 7, 2020, the Bianconeri won 1-0 away at Lausanne. Mijat Maric marked the golden goal of the evening early with a penalty.
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Expected formation of Lugano:
Baumann - Facchinetti - Maric - Kecskes - Custodio - Guerrero - Lovric - Macek - Sabbatini - Bottani - Ardaiz
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Lausanne - statistics & current form
FC Lausanne-Sport is already seven times Swiss champions, although the last title win was 55 years ago. Most recently, "Les bleu et blanc” had to fight hard for membership in the Super League.
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It was not until the summer of 2018 that LS was relegated to the bottom of the Challenge League, from which Giorgio Contini's squad was able to break free again this summer as second division champions.
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After a dream start back on the ground of reality
The kickers from the canton of Vaud initially celebrated a dream debut in their comeback in the Super League. The blue-whites got seven out of nine possible points with 8: 3 goals from the first three league games, which meant that they even greeted from the top of the table for a matchday.
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It was not until November that the players from French-speaking Switzerland increasingly ran out of breath. Between November 25, 2020 and December 13, 2020, four of the five league games were lost. In three of these defeats they even remained without their own goal.
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Only an away win from the six games in the distance
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With two wins over Vaduz and Lucerne, however, Giorgio Contini's men have now freed themselves from the table cellar and caught up with today's opponent Lugano in points. Although the Ticino still have two catch-up games up their sleeves, the blue-whites could climb into the top half of the table with an away win today.
At least the betting providers do not really trust "Les bleu et blanc” with this away win. The bookmaker Unibet, tested by Wettbasis, offers odds of 3.15 for tip 2 at Lugano against Lausanne. Accordingly, the players from French-speaking Switzerland travel to Ticino as outsiders, which is also due to the fact that only one of the six away games in the Super League has so far ended with a win.
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Direct comparison / H2H balance
Head to head: 52-30-70
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A total of 152 clashes are recorded between the two teams and Lausanne leads the direct comparison with 70 wins. The last two duels in a row so far went to Lugano. The Bianconeri also won 1-0 away in the canton of Vaud in the first quarter of the current season.
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Betting base forecast & Switzerland Lugano - Lausanne Switzerland tip
At Lugano against Lausanne, our forecast is largely shaped by the defensive compactness of the Ticino. It is incredibly difficult to win against the Bianconeri's concrete defense. Usually this results in very poor and sometimes tough games.
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That is exactly what we expect today for the last competitive game of both teams in the 2020 calendar year, in which there is much to be said for another low-goal match with a maximum of two goals. We therefore prefer the goal bet to the three-way system.
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For less than 2.5 goals, betting odds of 1.82 are available at Lugano versus Lausanne, which we play with five units at bookmaker 888sport, which was tested by betting base.
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