Leverkusen - Celtic Glasgow: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 25.11.2021 - EUROPA: Europa League - group stage
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Leverkusen - Celtic Glasgow: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 25.11.2021 - EUROPA: Europa League - group stage
Will the Werkself fix 1st place?
Leverkusen is clearly favored for a home win in the Europa League against Celtic. The Werkself won the first leg away 4-0. The Rhinelander celebrated 2 home wins without conceding goals, Celtic have already given 2 games in this competition.
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After just four match days, Bayer Leverkusen have practically fixed progress to the intermediate round of the UEFA Europa League. Mathematically, there is still a chance that the Werkself will end up in third place, but this is so small and exclusively theoretical that it will not be mentioned here.
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In the last home game of the group stage, the Bundesliga club is primarily concerned with winning the group perfectly. One win from the remaining two matches is enough. If we look at the odds of the five best bookmakers before the duel between Leverkusen and Celtic Glasgow, the probability is pretty high that the required three-point will be won against the Scots on Thursday evening.
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The bookmakers' optimism is primarily due to the fact that coach Gerardo Seoane's team won the first leg in Scotland 4-0. The other previous performances within the framework of the Europa League preliminary round also provide convincing arguments to again make a forecast of a sovereign success for the Rhinelander between Leverkusen and Celtic Glasgow.
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Will Leverkusen also win the second leg to zero?
Bayer 04 Leverkusen can make everything clear for the round of 16 in their home game against Celtic Glasgow on matchday five of the UEFA Europa League. With a home win, the Werkself could not be ousted from first place before the final group game. The Scots still have a chance of progressing and now want to prove on the Rhine that they are better than they showed in the first leg.
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Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- in 4 group matches without defeat
- 3 competitive games unbeaten
- 2 straight home wins
- First leg clearly won
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Celtic Glasgow
- 9 competitive games without defeat
- 5 away wins in a row
- 2 wins from 4 group matches
- 14 goals in 5 guest appearances
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Will Leverkusen win their third home game in a row?
Bayer Leverkusen could qualify early for the second round of the Europa League. The Werkself remained unbeaten in the first 4 group games with 3 wins and thus lead the group - 3 points ahead of Betis, against whom they won the direct duel, and 4 points ahead of Celtic. The team of Gerardo Seoane remained in the last 3 competitive games with 2 successes without defeat.
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Bayer won the last two home games without conceding a goal - 4-0 in the Europa League against Betis and 1-0 against Bochum in the Bundesliga. In the Europa League there was a 2-1 win against Ferencvaros for the Rhinelander at home. In the Bundesliga, Leverkusen is currently in fourth place in the Champions League, 7 points behind the top of the league.
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The Seoane-Elf was not behind in 4 group games in the Europa League at the break. Twice there was a league lead, two times Bayer won both halves. 3x over 2.5 goals, 2x over 3.5. Leverkusen missed two goals, three times the Werkself scored over 1.5 goals and two times scored 4 goals each. Leverkusen have remained unbeaten at home in all previous preliminary round home games in this competition - 11 wins, 3 draws.
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Can Celtic score in the 10th competitive game in a row?
Celtic Glasgow conceded the highest home defeat in the European Cup in the club's history against Leverkusen in the first leg. Since then, the Bhoys have won 8 of the following 9 games (1 draw). In the Europa League, coach Ange Postecoglou's team has had two wins and two losses so far. Celtic needs a win in Leverkusen to have it in their own hands against betis on the last matchday.
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The Hoops recently celebrated 5 away wins in a row. In the Scottish Premiership, Celtic is chasing arch rivals Rangers 4 points behind. The Postecoglou-Elf scored an impressive 14 goals in the last 5 guest appearances, but the Scots in Leverkusen will not have it that easy. The Bhoys had to admit defeat in the Europa League away at Betis (3: 4) and won at Ferencvaros (3: 2).
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Conference League consolation guaranteed
In 4 of Celtic's last 6 Europa League games, there was at least one own goal. The Scots made it into the second round of the Europa League four times - but never further. This endeavor will be difficult this time, but the hoops are at least already qualified for the knockout phase of the Conference League.
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Leverkusen - statistics & current form
Bayer Leverkusen has had a very good Europa League season so far. If you exclude the 1-1 draw at Betis Sevilla once, the Bundesliga club celebrated only wins in the other three games. Two of these three successes, namely at home in the second leg against the Andalusians and at Celtic Glasgow, even turned out to be 4-0. Ten points from four encounters and an impressive 11-2 goal difference symbolize the Werkself's dominance in Group G. Only Olympique Lyon have scored more goals in the competition than the Rhinelander.
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In view of the convincing performance and the fact that the last five Europa League home games were victorious in the group phase across all seasons, there are many indications that the Bundesliga team will retain the upper hand on Thursday. By the way: if you look back into the past, Bayer has not even lost any of the last 14 home games in the EL group stage.
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Bayer wants to continue the upward trend
The only significant risk that should be taken into account lies in the question of how seriously the Leverkusen team are taking this home game in view of the outstanding starting position in the battle for the first two places? Here, however, it can immediately be argued that the Seoane-Elf would fix the group victory with a win on Thursday. In addition, one would like to gain more self-confidence for the upcoming tasks in the Bundesliga.
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There it was at most average recently. After four games without a win with just two points, VfL Bochum could at least be defeated 1-0 at the weekend. The only headache for coach Gerardo Seoane is the continued tense staffing situation. With Schick, Aranguiz, Bakker, Baumgartlinger and Fosu-Mensah, five actors are definitely out. Alario and Bellarabi's stakes are also questionable. In addition, Demirbay is missing due to his dismissal against Betis Sevilla.
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Expected formation of Leverkusen:
Hradecky; Frimpong, Tah, Tapsoba, Hincapie; Diaby, Andrich, Palacios, Amiri; Wirtz; Adli
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Celtic Glasgow - stats & current form
Celtic Glasgow is already under pressure on Thursday in Leverkusen. Assuming that their direct rival for second place, Betis Sevilla, will win their away game at Ferencvaros, the reigning Scottish champions actually need a win to keep their chances of reaching the next round in the Europa League. If the "Bhoys” lose in the BayArena, this would be the definitive end in the preliminary round if Betis scores three points in Hungary.
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It is therefore quite possible that the Scots' approach, which becomes more offensive as the game progresses, plays into the cards for the very dynamic attackers of Leverkusen. But that is by no means the only reason why we prefer a tip on the host between Leverkusen and Celtic Glasgow.
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Celtic Defensive with problems in the European Cup
The fact that the White-Greens have already conceded ten goals in four Europa League games in 2021/22, six of them away and the other four in the first leg against the upcoming opponent, underlines the Bundesliga club's legitimate role as favorites. Also interesting: Including the matches in the Europa League qualification, keeper Joe Hart had to pull behind him at least twice in all four international games in the current season.
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However, at least the good shape in the domestic league gives hope for a positive result. None of the last seven league games were lost there. The dress rehearsal in Dundee at the weekend also went according to plan, although the 4-2 win again resulted in two goals against.
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So if you prefer to place a bet on the goal market in the duel of the Bundesliga against the current second in the Premiership (four points behind arch rivals Glasgow), you should keep an eye on the over 2.5. An offensive clash seems more likely than a low-goal encounter. Similar to his counterpart, Celtic coach Postecoglou also has to do without some important professionals. Julien, Starfelt, Rogic, Taylor and Dembele are all absent due to injuries.
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Expected formation of Celtic Glasgow:
Hard; Ralston, Welsh, Carter-Vickers, Juranovic; Bitton, McGregor, Turnbull; Forrest, Furuhashi, Iota
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Direct duels Leverkusen vs. Celtic
The first leg was the first direct encounter between the two clubs. Leverkusen were able to assert themselves with 4-0. Hincapié, Wirtz, Alario (penalty) and Adli were the goalscorers for the Werkself. 2 goals came before and 2 goals after the break. Leverkusen was able to win both halves. We got more than 3.5 goals, even though not both teams scored.
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Hincapié, Wirtz, Alario and Adli shot out Leverkusen's 4-0 victory in Glasgow in the first leg. It was the first Bayer victory in the first direct duel between these two teams that would have existed at halftime. After 45 minutes, the Rhinelander were deservedly 2-0 up.
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Celtic has only four wins in 25 games against German clubs. Leverkusen's record reads far more successful with three three-pointers, a draw and a bankruptcy against Scottish representatives.
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Bet base forecast & Germany Leverkusen - Celtic Glasgow Scotland tip
Bayer Leverkusen can already ensure clear conditions in Group G on Thursday evening. If the tip on the home win between Leverkusen and Celtic Glasgow pays off, the Bundesliga club can no longer take first place in the constellation of four. In addition, the Scottish runner-up would have been eliminated if Betis Sevilla scored three points in the parallel game in Budapest, as expected.
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In our eyes there are indeed many indications of the success of the Rhinelander. The Seoane-Elf has already scored eleven goals in the competition so far, won three of four games and already brought the "Bhoys" to their knees 4-0 in the first leg in Scotland. In addition, none of the past 14 home games in the Europa League group stage have been lost. Across the seasons, the former CL finalist even has five home wins in a row.
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KEY-FACTS - LEVERKUSEN VS. CELTIC GLASGOW TIP:
- Leverkusen have scored the second-most goals (eleven) in the Europa League group stage so far
- Celtic conceded at least two goals in four international away games 21/22
- The first leg ended 4-0 for the Bundesliga club in Scotland
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We have therefore decided to allude the odds on the double result HT1 / FT1 in the duel Leverkusen vs. Celtic Glasgow. For the bet that the Seoane-Elf, similar to the first leg, will already lead at halftime and at the end leave the field as the winner, we get a 2.20 at the top, which we play via the Bet365 app with a stake of six units.
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Alternatively, it is conceivable to focus on the Leverkusen handicap victory (-1). At the same time, we would not rule out that Wirtz, Diaby and Co. could score at least three times, especially since Celtic always had to accept two or more goals in four European Cup matches abroad.
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