Juventus - Chelsea: Tips, prognosis & odds - 09/29/2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - Group stage
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Juventus - Chelsea: Tips, prognosis & odds - 09/29/2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - Group stage
First final in group H
On the second match day of the 30th season of the UEFA Champions League, Group H will be the top match in the battle for group victory at the Juventus Stadium between Juventus and Chelsea. According to the odds, Chelsea FC are favorites to win. Both teams won their games on matchday one and now want to set the course for group victory with a victory in the duel of the group favorites in order to avoid any cracks in the round of 16 for the time being.
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The omens differ a little for the two teams. While the Turin team have been disappointing so far and, after Ronaldo's departure in the summer, are still looking for a real scorer at the front and groaning for stability at the back, the Blues were able to convince overall despite their defeat in the last game and build on their strong form from last season . Because of this, the role of favorite is attributed to the Londoners.
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What seems like an even duel on paper due to the club names and histories, is in reality to be seen in favor of the Londoners. The upheaval that Allegri is supposed to drive forward seems too big to be able to beat top teams in international football.
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Juventus - statistics & current form
The former Juve, which stood for a stable defensive row, is currently not to be found. After six match days in the domestic Serie A, they already conceded ten goals. This already corresponds to a third of the total number of goals conceded by Massimiliano Allegri 18/19 last season. At that time, they conceded only 30 goals after 38 match days. The new old coach, who should push ahead with the restart without Cristiano Ronaldo before this season, has to see to it that he keeps the store closed from now on. Noteworthy was the inclusion of substitute goalkeeper Mattia Perin, who was preferred to Wojciech Szczesny, who had been seeded to date. A hint of the coach's dissatisfaction or an act of desperation? The ravages of time do not seem to have left its mark on this team either. Legends like Chiellini are no longer set. Buffon left the club before the season for home Parma.
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As big as the problems in the defensive network are, it is currently difficult for Juve to create and exploit opportunities. The negative highlight so far has been the 0: 1 in the home stadium against Empoli FC. You deservedly lost direct duels against leaders Napoli. It doesn't seem to be an easy season for series champions Juventus Turin. Nevertheless, the old lady can look back on a good Champions League record recently. Across the seasons, they won eleven of the last twelve games in the Champions League. The last defeat dates back to October 2020 when they lost to Barcelona. Another source of encouragement is that Juventus, with seven wins after Real Madrid, had the most wins against reigning Champions League winners.
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Question mark behind Dybala and Morata
As if the problems weren't big enough, they also lost the storm duo of Paulo Dybala, who left the pitch in tears, and Alvaro Morata in the course of the last home game last Saturday. Both are expected to be out for the upcoming Champions League game. Should Alvaro Morata get fit in time, he can show remarkable statistics. The former Chelsea striker has already scored three goals against reigning Champions League winners and is in second place behind Didier Drogba in this statistic. At Juventus vs. Chelsea, the bookmakers' prognosis goes remarkably clearly in the direction of the English.
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Self-image is missing
The old lady hadn't seen such a turbulent start to the season for a long time. The balanced statistics with two wins, two defeats and two draws make the club bosses very worried. Another year without a championship title in Turin is like a worst-case scenario. None of the games this season was reminiscent of days gone by, when the opponents were clearly defeated in a row. At least the start of the Champions League could be won in the old style with 3-0 against the outsider Malmö FF.
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Successful dress rehearsal
Despite everything, the performance curve in the last two games, which one admittedly won 3-2 with choking and breaking, showed up again. Across the league, they have been unbeaten in four games with three wins and one draw. The upcoming home game against Chelsea could therefore point the way.
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Expected formation of Juventus:
Perin - Cuadrado, Bonucci, de Ligt, Alex Sandro - Chiesa, Locatelli, Bentancur, Bernardeschi - Kulusevski, Kean
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Chelsea stats & current form
At Chelsea FC, you go into this Champions League evening with mixed feelings from the last few weeks. The recent defeat at the home stadium against Pep Guardiola and Manchester City means that Chelsea fans, so spoiled for success, can look to the future with a little more caution in view of this harmless appearance. Because of this defeat, the pressure on the upcoming Champions League duel with Juventus is growing immensely. So far, there have only been two defeats in a row under Thomas Tuchel, when Arsenal and Leicester were each narrowly defeated in mid-May.
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The last game against City was played with extremely defensive tactics. Again and again the Skyblues were allowed to run. Dangerous counterattacks on the part of the blues were in short supply, which is why they ultimately deserved to be defeated. Thomas Tuchel stated after the game "a lack of faith and no connection”.
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Mason Mount back on board?
The lack of penetration in the last game could mainly be explained by the lack of initiator Mason Mount. Neither Kante, Kovacic nor Jorginho could put the storm duo Werner and Lukaku dangerous in scene. It is quite possible that Tuchel "sacrifices” one of these three more defensively oriented midfielders and replaces him with Kai Havertz or Mount in order to have a real creative player in the midfield again. Romelu Lukaku, who is the only player besides Mario Balotelli to score for two different English clubs in his Champions League debut, could catch up with Didier Drogba and Michi Batshuayi with a goal in his second appearance for the Blues on an international level.
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Given the strong start of the season for the Blues, who suffered their first defeat against City after scoring 13 points from five previous games, the Londoners are marked as favorites at Juventus vs. Chelsea. The defending champion wants to cause an international sensation again this season. A good starting position in the first duel for group victory would be worth gold.
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Expected formation of Chelsea:
Mendy - Azplicueta, Silva, Rüdiger - James, Kante, Jorginho, Havertz, Alonso - Lukaku, Werner
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Juventus v Chelsea head-to-head comparison
Based on the direct comparison of these two European heavyweights, no favorite can be identified. In four duels so far there has been one victory for each of them with two further draws. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the last encounters in 2012 were nine years ago. At that time, the Italians prevailed in two clashes as part of the knockout round.
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Betting base forecast & Italy Juventus - Chelsea tip
On paper, the roles in Group H of the Champions League are distributed. In all likelihood, Chelsea FC and Juventus Turin will hibernate in the Champions League, leaving Malmö FF and Zenit St. Petersburg behind. The direct duels between the English and Italians are all the more important in order to win the group at the end of the group stage.
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5 OPTA-FACTS - JUVENTUS VS. CHELSEA TIP
- Since last season, Chelsea have only conceded four goals in 14 games at Champions League level and never more than one in one game
- Chelsea were able to remain clean in ten of these 14 games - Mendy is the goalkeeper who, after Keylor Navas, was the second fastest to reach ten clean sheets
- Chelsea have only lost three of their last 32 Champions League group games
- Juventus won eleven of their last twelve group games in the Champions League
- Juventus lost their last Champions League home game to an English representative (then Manchester United under coach Jose Mourinho)
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The people of Turin in particular, who want to score the points in front of their home crowd, will be under pressure. The Tuchel protégés could therefore use their preferred wait-and-see tactics with a compact defensive around Toni Rüdiger to repeatedly launch raid-like attacks on the massive Lukaku and the fast Werner. Chelsea still want to avoid suffering two defeats in a row and will therefore be no less motivated.
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Should Dybala and Morata actually fail next Wednesday, it remains to be seen who will take care of the dangerous scenes at the top at Juve. We consider a game with relatively few goals to be realistic due to the defensive strength of Chelsea and the lack of penetration by Juventus. The quotes at Juventus vs. Chelsea for a tip on under 2.5 goals in the game are around 1.70. We see it similarly and set 5 units.
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