Guinea - Gambia: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 01/24/2022 - AFRICA: Africa - Cup 2022 - Final round

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Guinea - Gambia: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 01/24/2022 - AFRICA: Africa - Cup 2022 - Final round
 
 
The first elimination match of the knockout stage of the African continental tournament will see two teams who finished second in their group meet. Guinea started the tournament strong and managed to get promoted with 4 points. Opponent Gambia is still undefeated and scored a strong 7 points from 3 games. The winner will be determined on Monday from 5 p.m.
 
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Guinea qualified for the round of 16 after finishing second in Group B behind Senegal. Gambia also finished second in Group F behind Mali. At first it sounds as if this round of 16 in Bafoussam would be a duel on an equal footing. However, the Happybet app sees the Guineans as favorites in this match, albeit slightly easier.
 
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Strong group stage from Guinea
 
The "Elephants" started the tournament in a somewhat minimalist way - but got maximum success in return. In the first group game they celebrated the important opening win against Malawi. Guinea drew against the favorites from Senegal after a compact team performance. These 4 points should already be enough for the second place in the group and promotion. That's why the surprising defeat against Zimbabwe doesn't matter.
 
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The advantage of the Syli National is that you have a lot more international experience and have some stars in the squad who are under contract with top clubs in Europe. Gambia, on the other hand, is still a blank slate on the big football stage. Therefore, in the duel between Guinea and Gambia, our first forecast is for the Kaba Diawara team to win.
 
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What do you think the elephants can do in this tournament?
 
Guinea is certainly to be favored in the round of 16. The Kaba Diawara team is at the Africa Cup for the thirteenth time and therefore has significantly more experience than opponents Gambia. The quality of the team also speaks for the runners-up in Group B. 23 players earn their money abroad, many of them are involved in the top leagues in Europe. Above all, Liverpool player Naby Keita, who pulls the strings in midfield. Ilaix Moriba from RB Leipzig is also known from the Bundesliga.
 
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For Gambia, however, it is an encounter in which you have nothing to lose. Just qualifying for the round of 16 is an enormous success. The Scorpions can therefore go into this duel carefree, but will concentrate primarily on defensive work, as in the preliminary round. Therefore, we consider a tip on under goals between Guinea and Gambia to be very interesting.
 
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Guinea and Gambia in direct comparison
 
The two nations have only met in 5 games to date. The currently weaker Gambia has 2 wins to their credit, while Guinea was only able to celebrate once. A further 2 times there was a division of points. On average, there are exactly 2 hits per game in this duel. The last duel took place in 2019 as part of a test match - Gambia won 1-0.
 
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The previous encounters at a glance
 
07.06.2019: Guinea 0-1 Gambia
03.06.2007: Guinea 2-2 Gambia
24.03.2007: Gambia 0-2 Guinea
01.09.2002: Gambia 1-0 Guinea
19.05.1996: Gambia 1-1 Guinea
 
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Can Gambia keep surprising?
 
In the FIFA world rankings, the Scorpions are only in 150th place and thus 69 positions behind the upcoming opponent. Coach Tom Saintfiet's team will not be intimidated by this. The Belgian coach has set up his team perfectly and is still undefeated at these finals. They are particularly strong on the defensive – in the 3 group games they only conceded a goal in a draw against the strong Mali.
 
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In the preliminary round, however, the Gambians were already the sensation of the tournament. The win against Mauritania was okay, but the draw against Mali and especially the win over Tunisia came very unexpectedly. With an unbelievable seven points and 3:1 goals, the round went on. Two of the Gambian team's three goals came in overtime. This team only admits defeat when the game is over.
 
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Estimated formation of Gambia:
 
Gaye - Modou, Colley, Gomez, Sonko Sundberg - Mbye - Mo. Barrow, Sohna, Bobb, Janko - Ma. Barrow - Coach: Saintfiet
 
At the start Gambia managed the enormously important victory against Mauritania. After just 10 minutes, attacker Ablie Jallow from RFC Seraing (Belgium) made the final score. This was followed by a strong 1-1 draw against secret favorite Mali. Musa Barrow (Bologna FC) saved the Scorpions a point with his penalty in the 90th minute. Against the 3-time Africa Cup finalist and winner of 2004, Tunisia, they added the next victory. Again it was a last second hit. Ablie Jallow scored the 1-0 winner in the 93rd minute from a Barrow cross.
 
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Guinea - Stats & Current Form
 
At the 2019 Africa Cup of Nations, the Syli National was in the round of 16. Therefore, the minimum target should now also have been achieved in Cameroon. After finishing second at the continental championships in 1976, the quarterfinals have been the biggest success so far. The Kaba Diawara team could now also advance into this area in Cameroon.
 
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The Guineans' form curve is definitely pointing downwards. After the opening win over Malawi, the goalless draw against Senegal was a respectable success. In the third game they even managed to win the group, but they even lost 2-1 against the already eliminated team from Zimbabwe. It's a good thing that it was still enough to make it into the round of 16.
 
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Expected formation of Guinea:
 
A. Keita – Camara, Conte, O. Kante – I. Sylla, Kane, Moriba, M. Sylla, Cisse – Kaba, J. Kante – Trainers: Diawara
 
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Guinea – Gambia : Direct comparison
 
Although Guinea and Gambia are not directly neighboring countries, the two nations are not far apart. Perhaps that is the reason why 20 international matches were played between the Syli National and the Scorpios. The direct comparison speaks with 7:3 victories for the Guineans. Nine games ended in a draw.
 
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It is interesting that Guinea has not lost any of the six competitive games against Gambia, all of them in qualifying for the Africa Cup of Nations. The last two duels were also in qualifying for the continental championships. First, Guinea won 2-0 away. In the second leg, Gambia was able to steal a point away from home when it was 2-2.
 
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We can imagine it will be a close game and Guinea will have to be careful that the Gambians do not strike again in the closing stages. Maybe the match will be over by then. However, we have decided to place the betting odds between Guinea and Gambia on a victory for the Guineans.
 
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Our prediction for the game
 
In the duel between the two neighboring countries, Guinea is the slight favorite for bookmakers. This definitely has to do with the quality of the squad, which is certainly higher in the elephants. But anything is possible in a knockout game and Gambia showed with fighting spirit and morale what is possible in this tournament. We are therefore expecting a tight game, which may only be decided after extra time or in a penalty shoot-out. We recommend the tip "less than 2.5 goals", for which the odds are around 1.45. Anyone who believes in a continuation of Gambia's success story could be well advised with the double chance X/2 - odds: 1.65.
 
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