Greece - Spain: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11.11.2021 - EUROPE: World Cup - Qualification 2022

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Greece - Spain: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11.11.2021 - EUROPE: World Cup - Qualification 2022
 
 
On the 7th match day of the World Cup qualification, the sensational European champions from 2004 will face soccer power Spain. Against the Iberians, the Hellenes are doomed to win in order to keep the theoretical chance of the playoff to the World Cup alive. A success for the Greeks would come as a surprise, after all, the Spaniards are also under pressure. In the following lines we will shed light on how this duel could go
 
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Greece
 
  • Only 2 wins in 6 games
  • 2014 last time at a World Cup
  • Most recently 0-2 in Sweden
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Spain
 
  • 2 points behind leaders Sweden
  • Most recently 1: 2 against France in the NL final
  • World Champion 2010

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Somewhat unfortunate qualification process
 
The team of the Dutch coach John van’t Schip has to score 6 points in the last two games and at the same time hope for help from the Swedes if they want to get 2nd place. This would entitle them to participate in the playoff. Actually, the qualification didn't go that bad, because in the first 5 games you were unbeaten. Important points were left in the games against Georgia and Kosovo when they couldn't get beyond a draw. As a result, the strong games against Spain (1: 1) and Sweden (2: 1 victory) did not help. Annoying, there would have been a lot more in there for Greece.
 
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1974 was the last time a soccer world championship took place without the Spanish national team. Almost 50 years later, the 2010 title holder is in danger of missing out on the field again. The "Furia Roja" still has the successful qualification in their own hands, but it can happen that the team of coach Luis Enrique has to go through the playoffs.
 
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In World Cup qualifying group B, the finalist of the 2020/21 UEFA Nations League season has his back to the wall. You absolutely need two wins on the remaining two match days to still win the direct ticket for Qatar 2022 as group winners. The endeavor will not be easy, especially since a stumbling block may already be waiting on Thursday evening. In the duel between Greece and Spain, however, the odds are clearly in favor of the guests.
 
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The Iberians are certainly not free of any doubts, because the alleged favorite against the Hellenes had to be content with a meager 1-1 draw in the first leg. Now the pressure has increased noticeably again, which is why we can well imagine that a forecast of relatively few goals in the course of the game between Greece and Spain will come true. Especially against the background of the traditionally good defense of the 2004 European champions
 
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Tip-relevant information about Greece
 
There were 4 1-1 draws in 10 games in 2021
In the qualification, 5 out of 6 games ended with less than 2.5 goals
Top scorer Baksetas (5 goals, 3 assists) is questionable for the game
In the first leg they got a strong 1-1 in Spain
 
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Greece and Spain in direct comparison
 
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The two nations have faced each other in 11 games so far. The record speaks clearly for the Spaniards, who went out as winners 7 times and remained undefeated with another 3 draws. The Greeks were only able to surprise the Iberians once - in 2003 they won 1-0 away in the European Championship qualification. On average, 2.80 goals per game are scored in this duel. In 8 of 11 games scored, both teams scored goals - as in the last 4 matches.
 
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A look at the last duel in March 2021:
 
Spain - Greece 1: 1 (1: 0)
Goals: 1-0 Morata (33rd), 1: 1 Bakasetas (56th);
 

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The last 5 encounters at a glance:
 
25.03.2021: Spain 1-1 Greece
06/18/2008: Greece 1-2 Spain
22/08/2007: Greece 2-3 Spain
06/16/2004: Greece 1-1 Spain
07/06/2003: Spain 0-1 Greece
 
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Greece - statistics & current form
 
The Greek national football team will fight for the last chance on Thursday evening to still remain in the raffle for the World Cup tickets. So that Hellas can continue to hope for one of the first two places, a home win against the Spaniards must be achieved. This undertaking is difficult because the "Ethniki" have never been able to win a home game against the former world and European champions in their own international match history.
 
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However, if we look at the recent appearances of the team of the Dutch coach John van’t Schip, it becomes clear that the blue-whites have developed positively in recent years. In 24 international matches under the direction of the 57-year-old football teacher, the Hellenes conceded only five defeats (eleven wins, eight draws). In the current game year there were only two bankruptcies. Both were relatively close against Switzerland (1: 2) and Sweden (0: 2).
 
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The Greek defense knows how to convince
 
The showpiece of the 2004 European champions is undoubtedly the defense. Only in two of the ten international matches in 2021 did the back team have to fish the playground equipment out of the net more than once. In five of the previous six qualifying games, a bet on the under 2.5 would have been crowned with success. More than three goals were last scored in an encounter with Greek participation in summer 2019. As a result, a tip between Greece and Spain on a maximum of two goals in the course of the game is absolutely justifiable.
 
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There is also a statistical encourager, because only one of the last nine compulsory international matches at home was lost. In eight of these nine games, fewer than three goals were scored, so the proverbial "devil” would have to go down if the fans were to see offensive fireworks in the Olympic Stadium in Athens on Thursday evening.
 
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Pantelis Chatzidiakos and Anastasios Bakasetas will not be available due to bans. In particular, the loss of the captain, the most successful goalscorer and the best assists, Bakasetas, is of course extremely heavy and can hardly be compensated for in the game. Not least because of this, we do not trust the home side very much and in the duel between Greece and Spain we do without a prediction in the direction of a surprise.
 
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Expected formation of Greece:
 
Vlachodimos; Androutsos, Goutas, Tzavellas, Tsimikas, Giannoulis; Bouchalakis, Siopis; Mantalos; Pavlidis, Masouras
 
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Spain - statistics & current form
 
The Spanish national team saw their resurrection in this international match year. First the former world and European champion made it to the semi-finals of the European Championship finals and failed there as close as possible on penalties to Italy. Then they made it to the Nations League final, which also ended in defeat against France.
 
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Only in the World Cup qualification does it not go as desired for the men of coach Luis Enrique. Two game days before the end, only the second place in the intermediate ranking is to be booked. The Iberians are two points short of front runner Sweden. In other words: The alleged favorite must not allow himself to slip up in Athens, otherwise the decision in Group B threatens to come before the showdown in the coming week.
 
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Spain cannot afford to slip up
 
The fact that the odds are in favor of the guests before the match between Greece and Spain is anything but surprising, especially since the Enrique-Elf only lost two of the 16 international matches they played in the current calendar year. Time and again, the Spaniards found it difficult to be favorites. The 1-1 draw in the first leg in Greece or the division of points against Sweden and Poland in the preliminary round of the European Championship confirm this thesis.
 
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In addition, it must finally be stated that the own offensive did not always meet the high demands either. Two or more goals are scored in exactly half of all 16 international matches. In seven cases, a bet on the under 2.5 would have paid off. Even if the Furia Roja have to play to win and urgently need it, we are convinced that success, if it should be, will be either 1-0 or 2-0 quite close.
 
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Ferran Torres, Ansu Fati, Gerard Moreno, Mikel Oyarzabal and Yeremi Pino all had to cancel their participation in the international matches due to injury. In midfield, youngster Gavi could therefore get the chance from the start. Otherwise, only a few changes can be expected in the starting XI.
 
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Expected formation of Spain:
 
Simon; Carvajal, P. Torres, Laporte, Alba; Koke, Busquets, Gavi; Sarabia, Morata, Olmo
 
Spain has to win
 
If the team of coach Luis Enrique wants to save the playoff, then a victory in Greece is a must. Because currently they are 2 points behind Sweden - and this would probably also be the case before the last matchday, as a victory for the Scandinavians in Georgia is to be expected. On the last day of the match, you could still pass the Swedes with a home win in a direct duel and thus book your direct ticket for the World Cup in Qatar.
 
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So the previous qualification went for the Iberians
 
2 times you made a slip. Right at the beginning, when they couldn't get over 1: 1 against Greece. The Spaniards certainly didn't expect a defeat against Sweden away either. At 1: 2 they remained pale and gambled away the 1-0 lead. Against Kosovo and Georgia, the expected mandatory victories were celebrated in all encounters. The Spaniards can look back on an eventful year. At the EM the end came in the semi-finals against Italy, in the final of the Nations League they lost 2-1 to France.
 
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Important information about Spain
 
There have been 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 games
Both teams met in 3 of the last 5 games
Vulnerable defense - goals were also conceded against Georgia and Kosovo
In Spain's games in 2021, an average of 2.93 goals were scored
 
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Greece - Spain direct comparison
 
For the twelfth time, the two teams face each other on Thursday evening. With seven wins, three draws and only one defeat, the Spaniards clearly lead the direct comparison. The only bankruptcy, by the way, dates from the European Championship qualification 2002/03, at the end of which the Greeks, as is well known, won the title. Incidentally, the first leg in Spain ended 1-1. It was one of four of the last six encounters in which fewer than three hits were scored.
 
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Betting base forecast & Greece Greece - Spain Spain tip
 
KEY FACTS - GREECE VS. SPAIN TIP
 
  • Under Van’t Schip Greece have only lost five of their 24 international matches
  • Spain "only” scored 13 goals in six qualifying matches, with a maximum of two goals in four of the last six direct duels between these teams
  • We therefore decide in the duel between Greece and Spain for the betting odds that a maximum of two goals are scored during the game.

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This is primarily due to the defensive strength of the home side, who should only have a chance if they manage to stay safe in the back for as long as possible.
 
At Unibet we get an attractive 1.75 for the under 2.5 and play this with a stake of six units. With a little more courage to take risks, it is a conceivable alternative to play Furia Roja's "to zero" victory. We consider a 1-0 or 2-0 success from the point of view of the EM semi-finalist to be a realistic result.
 
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Group B is really exciting two game days before the end. In pole position, however, are not the Spaniards, but the Swedes, who could buy the direct ticket for Qatar in 2022 with four points from the remaining two games. So that the Iberians get their group final in the coming week, the tip on the away win between Greece and Spain has to pay off.
 
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Admittedly, the chances are not that bad, because the quality of coach Luis Enrique's team clearly has the advantages on their side. The favorite should not underestimate the task in the cauldron of Athens, because in the first leg, which ended 1-1, it became clear that the 2004 European champions can be an uncomfortable opponent.
 
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Our prediction for the game
 
Greece has already shown that the Spaniards can be annoyed. The team is basically stronger than you might think - especially with the unfortunate draw against the underdogs Kosovo and Georgia, you lost a better starting position yourself. The Spaniards are and will remain favorites - also because coach Luis Enrique's team will not take this game lightly and will play to win from the start. We therefore expect Spain to win away - odds: 1.45
We can also well imagine that both teams will score goals in this game - the Greeks have to invest in the offensive due to the starting position.

 

 
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