Granada - Cadiz: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 02/28/2022 - SPAIN: La Liga
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Granada - Cadiz: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 02/28/2022 - SPAIN: La Liga
Matchday 26 is on the agenda in the Spanish LaLiga this weekend. The end is a derby late on Monday evening, which is also an absolute relegation hit. In Andalusia there is a duel between Granada and Cadiz, in which the hosts could get a little breathing space in the fight to stay in the league with a home win.
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The hosts are currently in 17th position and are therefore right above the ominous line, while Cadiz is second to bottom in the table and, as things stand at the moment, should go into LaLiga 2. The two teams are currently separated by four points, making this neighborhood duel quite trend-setting. According to current betting odds, Granada is the surprisingly clear favorite against Cadiz. For a home win, twice the stake is tempting, while the guests get four times the stake back if they are successful
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Granada : Stats & Current Form
Diego Martinez marked an era at Granada, taking the club back to the top flight and claiming two consecutive single-digit finishes. Differences of opinion brought the success story to an abrupt end and many Granada fans already want the 41-year-old tactical fox back.
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Compared to the last two years, the team under successor Robert Moreno is clearly weaker. Compared to last year, Granada currently has nine points less, two years ago Granada even had a dozen more points after 25 match days than this season.
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Head coach Robert Moreno made a name for himself as interim manager of the Spanish national team during Luis Enrique's hiatus. But his club engagement with Monaco was disappointing (December 2019 to July 2020) and in Andalusia it seems to be only a matter of time before he has to pack his suitcase. It's quite possible that the derby against Cadiz is his last chance, because recently he wasn't able to gather many arguments for staying on as Granada coach.
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Last weekend, the team slid into a 4-1 debacle at home against the yellow Villarreal submarine. This was Granada's fifth league defeat in a row, after three goalless games they managed to score again. Before that crisis, the side seemed to have finally embraced the Moreno philosophy, scoring six times in a row. The last point in LaLiga came on January 8th against the great FC Barcelona. Since then, defeat has followed defeat and accordingly, in the case of Granada against Cadiz, it is not advisable to tip on a home win if the odds are significantly too low.
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Estimated formation of Granada:
Luis Maximiano - Neva, Sanchez, Diaz, Quini - Milla, Gonalons, Montoro - Suarez, Molina, Puertas
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Cadiz : Stats & Current Form
Even with local rivals Cadiz, the long-time successful coach is now history. Alvaro Cervera has been responsible for the yellow and blues since 2014 and led the club from the third division back to the Spanish top flight. However, a 2-0 away defeat at Osasuna in mid-January sealed his end after 258 competitive games (exactly 100 wins!). Former Valladolid coach Sergio was introduced as his successor.
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The 45-year-old has been on the bench seven times and currently has a balanced 2-3-2 record. The fact that only one of the six games in LaLiga was lost (away to Mallorca) is certainly positive. Three draws make Cadiz a bit on the spot, but gradually the non-relegation places for the team in the city of almost 115,000 inhabitants are in sight again. The momentum therefore speaks absolutely for the guests and the high betting odds on a win for the guests are all the more surprising.
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With 20 points from 25 games, it's understandable that Cadiz aren't viewed as favourites. However, recent performances and results are significantly stronger than at Granada. An interesting aspect is also the fact that Cadiz celebrated all season wins in the 2021/22 season abroad. The home Nuevo Mirandilla stadium is not a good place for the relegation contender, averaging just 0.62 points per game. In foreign countries, on the other hand, the average is exactly one point per game.
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Estimated formation of Cadiz:
Ledesma - Fali, Chust, Hernandez - Espino, San Emeterio, Alcaraz, Akapo - Lozano - Perez, Negredo
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Granada – Cadiz: direct comparison
This Andalusian derby will take place on Monday evening for the 40th time. The very few away wins are particularly striking when looking at the direct statistics. In 39 games, the visitors have only been able to return home with a win six times (four times in Cadiz, two times in Granada).
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One of those four away wins came last season for Cadiz when they won 1-0 in Granada. In general, Cadiz is still undefeated by their local rivals in the Spanish top flight after three games. The two home games ended in a 1-1 draw, although Granada only managed to equalize in the 88th minute of the first leg of the current season.
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Betting Base Prediction : Granada – Cadiz and Tipp
A neighborhood duel always has a lot to offer anyway, if it's also about staying in the league, the playful aspect will hardly come first. The conclusion of the current LaLiga match day will be accompanied by a lot of struggle and cramp.
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The pressure on the shoulders of both teams is enormous, because with their sixth defeat in a row, Granada would definitely be in the middle of it instead of only being in the relegation battle. But the guests also have their backs to the wall, because a defeat on their part would mean that a direct competitor could pull away a good bit. So excitement is guaranteed in any case.
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The assessment of the bookmakers is not entirely understandable. Granada is certainly stronger at home than abroad, but after five defeats in a row the odds for a home win are far too low. Cadiz has also celebrated all three wins of the season abroad, with moderate effort in Granada against Cadiz the tip on the Draw-No-Bet 2 is alluded to. For this, too, more than three times the stake is tempting.
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