Finland vs. Russia: Tips, Forecast & Odds - 16.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021

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Finland vs. Russia: Tips, Forecast & Odds - 16.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021

 

The second round of the preliminary round at the EM 2021 will open on Wednesday afternoon at 3 p.m. in the Russian metropolis of Saint Petersburg. In the duel between EM debutants Finland and Russia, the hosts are already under pressure after losing to title favorites Belgium.

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The Finns celebrated a surprising 1-0 win against Denmark in their first football match at a major event and could be the first team to buy the ticket for the knockout phase on Wednesday. However, due to the events surrounding Danish star Christian Eriksen, the Finns did not feel like cheering, at least this evening.

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Should the underdog surprise again and the forecast for the Scandinavians in Finland vs. Russia should be successful, the Kanerva protégés would be the first EM debutant since Croatia to make the first two appearances victorious.

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However, a victory for the Finns would be a big surprise, because the Unibet app has odds of just under 6.00 for this outcome. Russia definitely needs to improve after the clear defeat against number one in the FIFA world rankings, Belgium.

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Should the Cherchesov-Elf appear differently, the favorite victory should not be in question. The three top tips advertised underline this assessment, because Russia is particularly strong with its own fans behind them. The game starts on Wednesday afternoon at 3 p.m.

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Finland - statistics & current form

Football is the most beautiful thing in the world. The anxious minutes around Christian Eriksen in the Parken Stadium in Copenhagen underlined once more that the hunt for the round leather can quickly become insignificant. All actors were exposed to enormous psychological conditions and the performance shown on the pitch is accordingly difficult to assess.

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Only shot on goal ensures debut victory

The number 55 in the FIFA world rankings was clearly on the defensive both before and after the almost two-hour break. In the game forward, the underdog practically did not exist. The eagle owls from Finland were occupied almost exclusively with defensive tasks. Leverkusen goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky was able to save several times in Extremis.

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Completely unexpectedly, the team of head coach Markku Kanerva (in office since December 2016) took a 1-0 lead through Germany legionnaire Joel Pohjanpalo. His header was the only Finnish ball to hit the opponent's goal on this memorable evening. Denmark ran in vain and had to admit defeat despite a 22-1 goal shot ratio. Finland was only the fourth team to win a European Championship game, even though the opponent fired 21 (or more) more shots on goal.

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Series of defeats stopped

The debut victory of the Kanerva-Elf also meant an end to the negative trend. Because the blatant underdog of Group B could not gain confidence in the last few weeks and months. Before the victory in Denmark, the last international win was dated November 15, 2020. As a result, Finland remained without a win six times in a row. Among other things, it set defeats in the three games before the European Championship. In particular, the dress rehearsal against Estonia was absolutely disappointing.

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The opening win certainly gives courage, but the Finns also have to get the terrible scenes out of their heads - which is probably easier said than done. After the footballing performance turned out to be extremely poor, another surprise for the Finnish team is hardly imaginable. The assessment of the bookmakers, who clearly favor the tip on the 2018 World Cup hosts between Finland and Russia, is absolutely justified.

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Expected formation of Finland:

Hradecky - Uronen, Toivio, O’Shauhnessy, Arajuuri, Raitala - Kamara, Lod, Sparv - Pohjanpalo, Pukki

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Russia - statistics & current form

After the Russians acted as hosts at the 2018 World Cup, there are also a number of games scheduled in Russia at these pan-European European championships. No less than seven games are on the program in Saint Petersburg. The second group game of the Sbornaja, however, is the last appearance that the Russians complete in the home stadium, the end of the group denies the Cherchesov-Elf in Copenhagen against the Danes.

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Individual mistakes lead to defeat

The pressure on the Russians' shoulders seems to be enormous in the game against Finland, because despite the home advantage, the Russians did not manage to surprise the tournament favorites from Belgium. However, the Russian team had to chalk this up for themselves on the whole. Both before the goal against the 0: 1 and at the 0: 2, the assist was provided by a Russian - due to a hair-raising mistake. In addition, Russia had to make two changes in the first round due to injuries (Kuzyaev and Zhirkov were unable to continue playing).

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The world number 38 had playful. Quite a few good scenes in the opening minutes, but as the game continued, the dominance of the Red Devils was too pronounced. Russia could no longer access the game, and several tactical changes did not bring the hoped-for success. This means that Russia has been without a win in six European Championship finals (0-2-4 record) and has lost the last three matches.

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A draw can be too little


After Russia had only 33 percent possession of the ball against Belgium, the game against the eagle owls will have a completely different characteristic. This time the Russian team will have to dictate the game as Finland will once again pull back a long way. In addition, the initial situation seems clear, because for the Finns a point win could already open the door for miles to the round of 16, for Russia, on the other hand, a draw should not be enough.

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Accordingly, the Cherchesov-Elf must appear and ideally set the course for victory early on. The high hopes rest on the shoulders of Captain Artem Dzuyba. The 32-year-old was the second best scorer behind Harry Kane in qualifying with 14 points (nine goals, five assists). The bookmaker Bet365, which we tested, offered odds of 1.90 for the bet on your Dzyuba goal in the game Finland vs. Russia. This underlines once again the importance of the routine.

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Another plus point should certainly be the return of Italian legionnaire Aleksey Miranchuk, who survived his minor injury and played almost 30 minutes against Belgium. For the Finland game, Miranchuk will definitely be an option for the starting lineup. The individual quality of the offensive (Dzuyba, Miranchuk, Golovin) could ultimately be the decisive factor in favor of the favorite.

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Expected formation of Russia:

Shunin - Karavaev, Dzhikiya, Semenov, Mario Fernandes - Ozdoev, Barinov - Miranchuk, Golovin, Zobnin - Dzyuba

Direct comparison / H2H

The database contains a total of five duels between the two national teams. However, these clashes are not a yardstick for the Wednesday game. Finland won the first duel at the Olympic Games in 1912, followed by four Russian victories in a row in the course of qualifying for the European Championships in 1996 and the 2010 World Cup. Russia scored at least three goals in all games.

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Betting base forecast & Finland Finland - Russia Russian Federation tip

Basically, it was to be expected that this Group B match would be the "loser duel". The surprising Finnish victory changed the initial situation, because the blatant underdog doesn't have to play for victory. Four points could ultimately be enough for the round of 16.

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A nice, attractive soccer game shouldn't be expected. Rather, there should be a defensive battle on the part of the Finns, while Russia hopes for an early hit and otherwise unpacks the crowbar as the game continues. A peat festival therefore seems unlikely, so at the start of the second day of the European Championship between Finland and Russia, both the forecast of under 2.5 and the "Both teams score - no" are appropriate.

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Russia's performance against Belgium was by no means outstanding and yet everything points to the favorite victory on Wednesday afternoon. The home advantage is extremely valuable to Russia, as the team underlined at the 2018 World Cup. The higher quality in their own ranks is another argument that speaks in favor of the prediction on the favorites in Finland vs. Russia.

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The weak results of the Finns (the match against the Danes should not be overestimated) underline this assessment. Between Finland and Russia, the tip on half-time / final score 2/2, with betting odds in the high 2-point range, also appears to be quite lucrative.

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