Elche - Real Madrid: tips, prognosis & odds - 01/20/2022 - SPAIN: Copa del Rey
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Elche - Real Madrid: tips, prognosis & odds - 01/20/2022 - SPAIN: Copa del Rey
The Royals are the clear favourites, as they secured the Spanish Supercup just a few days ago. Elche, on the other hand, is fighting for relegation in the league
The main focus of the hosts is certainly to ensure relegation. The green-whites are currently just above the line. An upset against the La Liga leaders would give them confidence in their fight against relegation, but the home side have never been able to prevail against the 'white ballet'. Elche is still undefeated this year.
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FC Elche last reached the final of the Copa del Rey in the 1868/69 season. Since then, a round of 16 was the highest of emotions. Also this year they are the clear outsiders in the round of 16 against Real Madrid. While you are fighting to stay up in the league yourself, the guests are the big favorites for the title. They already secured the Spanish Supercup last week. Now they want to win the mandatory win against FC Elche. Anything less than an away win would be a huge surprise, especially as Los Blancos are the best away team in Spain this year.
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FC Elche – staying up in the league has priority
The team is currently in its second year in the Spanish Primera Division. After narrowly securing their place in the league with 17th place last year, they want to fight their way up a bit this year. The big goal is still relegation. They are currently in 15th place in the table with 22 points. After all, the lead over the first relegation zone is 5 points. Reaching the round of 16 in the Copa del Rey is already a success. You are not under pressure and can play freely.
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Estimated lineup of moose:
Badia - Palacios, Roco, Verdu, Mojica - Milla, Gumbau, Mascarell, Tete Morente - Perez, Carrillo
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Elche's strengths this season
With a goal ratio of 21:28 goals, it quickly becomes apparent that they primarily provide a decent defense. On the other hand, they are only the 6th worst in the league. At home they even have a balanced goal difference of 10:10. The once again good defense is mainly responsible for the fact that they only lost 2 out of 10 home games. 5th time a game ended with a draw and 3rd time you could win. They have been unbeaten for at least 3 home games, the last one was won 1-0 against Villarreal. It was the 3rd league game in a row that you didn't lose.
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In these last 3 league games they conceded just one goal. 6 of Elche's 10 home games ended with less than 2.5 goals due to the good defense. Goals were scored on both sides only 5 times. Elche missed marking a goal himself 3rd time.
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Real Madrid – big favorite in the round of 16
Los Blancos have had a strong season so far. In the last week they secured their first title in the Supercup, in the league they are 5 points ahead in the table and in the Champions League they are in the round of 16. Now they meet FC Elche in the Copa del Rey. Anything less than a win would be a huge disappointment. However, the Copa is not Real Madrid's favorite competition either. They have not made it to the final since 2013/14, last year they were eliminated in the 3rd round.
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This means that the guests are rightly among the biggest contenders for the title in all competitions. With 45 goals scored, the Madrilenians have by far the best offensive in La Liga. Karim Benzema and Vinicius Junior are two of their own top scorers. With just eighteen goals conceded, Real has the second-best defense in Spain's top flight after Sevilla FC (13 goals conceded).
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Estimated line-up of Real Madrid:
Courtois - Mendy, Alaba, Fernandez, Vazquez - Kroos, Casemiro, Modric - Viniciius Junior, Benzema, Asensio
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Outstanding record under Carlo Ancelotti
The Italian only took over as coach at Real Madrid before the season. After 30 competitive games, he and his team have a record of 23 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats. In addition to losing to Sheriff in the Champions League, they lost 2 away games in the league. With 15 wins from 21 league games, they are still at the top of the table. With 45 goals, they also provide by far the best offensive in Spain.
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They also take first place in the away table. She won 8 of 11 away games. 23 goals were scored and thus more than 2.00 goals per game. In addition, there is a good defense with only 12 goals conceded. However, the last away game in the league so far was lost 1-0 against Getafe. It was the only defeat in the past 20 competitive games. It was also the only away game this year where you couldn't score.
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KEY FACTS – MOOSE VS. REAL MADRID TIP
- Elche is undefeated this year
- Madrid lost just one of their last 20 competitive games
- The hosts have conceded just one goal in their last three league games
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We are also sure that the Madrilenians will advance to the next round. But the hosts' defense has proven to be very stable in the last few games, so we trust them to keep the zero for a long time. Our recommendation in the Elche vs. Real Madrid game is therefore to allude to the fact that the royals score more goals in the second half than in the first half. The odds for this are at 2.20 at the top.
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We do not expect a goal spectacle, so that in the game Elche vs. Real Madrid at betting odds of 2.02, a bet on a duel with less than 2.5 goals is a promising alternative.
Tip and prognosis
Elche is the clear outsider in the round of 16 duel against Real Madrid. The Royals are the best away team in the league this year and only a few days ago they won their first title. In our opinion, odds of over 1.50 for Tip 2 should definitely be played. Elche, however, regularly manages to mark a hit in the game. This was also the case in the last direct duels. As a slightly riskier variant, we therefore recommend "Both teams score YES.
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