Dortmund vs. Sevilla tip, prognosis & odds - 9.03.2021 Champions League 2021 Free soccer tips
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Dortmund - Sevilla tip, prognosis and odds - Champions League 2021
For Borussia Dortmund, Tuesday evening will be about making it to the quarter-finals of the Champions League. The last time BVB made it into the round of the last eight in 2016/2017 under Thomas Tuchel. The odds of the best bookmakers between Dortmund and Seville underline that the chances of advancement for the black and yellow are anything but bad. On the to qualify market, the peak does not even reach 1.15.
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This assessment is based, among other things, on the fact that the guests from Andalusia in the European Cup have actually never made it to the next round if they had lost the first leg. In the first match three weeks ago, Borussia surprisingly retained the upper hand 3-2 at the Nervionenses and thus achieved an excellent starting position. Even a 0: 1 or a 1: 2 bankruptcy in your own stadium would be enough for promotion to the quarter-finals.
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Logically, however, the team of coach Edin Terzic has a completely different claim and wants to leave no doubt right from the start as to who will be promoted to the elite circle of the eight remaining clubs in the most important European club competition. For the home side, the decent international home record speaks for itself, which will be discussed in more detail in the following analysis.
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In addition, the forecast between Dortmund and Seville should take into account that coach Julen Lopetegui's team fell into a small hole after the aforementioned defeat in the first leg and lost three of the last four matches across all competitions. Nevertheless, the reigning Europa League winner will of course leave no stone unturned and seek salvation on the offensive.
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Direct comparison / H2H
In the first leg at the end of February, the two teams faced each other for the third time at competitive level, but for the first time in the Champions League. Thanks to an outstanding first half and a brilliant double packer Erling Haaland, BVB prevailed 3-2 in Spain and have all the trumps in their own hands for the second leg on Tuesday.
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The only home game to date against the Blanquirrojos was lost 1-0 in the 2010/11 Europa League group stage. Thus, in the previous three matches there were all game outcomes exactly once. The winner on Tuesday therefore also takes the lead in a direct comparison.
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Dortmund - statistics & current form
After four competitive games in a row, Borussia Dortmund suffered another setback last weekend. Although the black and yellow started their top game at Bayern very well and were already in the lead after ten minutes thanks to two goals from Haaland, only the record champions actually played afterwards. The logical consequence was an ultimately not undeserved 2: 4 bankruptcy, which caused BVB to drop back to sixth in the Bundesliga table.
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Before the home game against Hertha in Berlin continues next Saturday, however, the move into the quarter-finals of the Champions League should first be fixed.
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This is supported by the fact that Borussia has not lost for seven home games in the premier class. Looking back on the past eleven matches in their own stadium in the most important European club competition, BVB only went bankrupt - 2018/19 against the eventual finalist Tottenham.
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Dortmund must not let themselves be pushed in behind
From the point of view of Edin Terzic's team, who could only win his first two Champions League games as the main responsible person as the fourth German coach after Heynckes, Toppmöller and Flick, it will be important to actively move forward and not focus solely on defending to concentrate.
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But since it is in the DNA of the club and the coaching team to stay active anyway, we don't worry about this. At the same time, however, this increases the likelihood that a tip on three or more goals in the course of the game will pay off on Tuesday evening between Dortmund and Seville.
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Offensively, in the absence of the injured Sancho and Reyna, hopes rest on the broad shoulders of Haaland, who has scored an impressive 18 goals in his 13 Champions League games. In the last three matches in this competition, the Norwegian always celebrated a double. In addition to the mentioned Sancho and Reyna, Witsel, Akanji, Schmelzer and possibly Guerreiro are also not available.
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Expected formation of Dortmund:
Heat; Morey, Can, Hummels, Guerreiro; Delaney, Bellingham, Dahoud; Reus, Hazard; Haaland
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Seville - statistics & current form
The Sevilla Fútbol Club have their backs to the wall ahead of the second leg at Signal Iduna Park. As already indicated in the introduction, the Andalusians never managed to move into the next round after a defeat in the first leg. Admittedly, the reigning Europa League champion has only lost three corresponding first legs in its long international history, the last time against FC Bayern in 2017/18.
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Speaking of FC Bayern: The experience of Nervionenses coach Julen Lopetegui against German clubs is limited to a single duel with the record champions, who were lost 6-1 in the Allianz Arena in 2014/15. At that time, the former Spanish national coach was still in the service of FC Porto. In general, the balance of the Blanquirrojos against representatives from the Bundesliga is not particularly positive. Three of the four competitive games played in Europe were lost.
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Seville's shape leaves a lot to be desired
To make matters worse, from the perspective of the White-Reds, the team is also experiencing a decline at national level after the 2: 3 about three weeks ago. In the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey, the Sevillistas were eliminated despite a 2-0 first leg win against FC Barcelona and La Liga recently suffered two major defeats against the Catalans and the underdog from Elche.
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However, these disappointing results will not prevent the Lopetegui-Elf from starting confidently and courageously at Borussia. In the last five Champions League games alone, Ocampos and Co. have scored ten goals. However, there were also eleven goals conceded.
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A bet on over 2.5 would always have been crowned with success, which in turn confirms our Dortmund vs. Sevilla forecast for one or the other hit on Tuesday evening. With the exception of Aleix Vidal, everyone is on board.
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Expected formation of Sevilla:
Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Acuna; Jordan, Fernando, Rakitic; Suso, En-Nesyri, Ocampos
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Betting base forecast & Germany Dortmund - Sevilla Spain tip
With BVB, the first of four remaining German clubs can move into the quarter-finals of the Champions League on Tuesday evening. Before the second leg between Dortmund and Seville, the odds are not only on the "To-Qualify" - but also on the three-way market in the direction of the Bundesliga club, who won the first leg in Spain 3-2 and for the first time since 2016 / 17 pushes back into the round of the last eight in the premier class.
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Due to the bad luck with injuries, the recent defeat against FC Bayern and the fact that the Black and Yellows are already playing their fifth competitive game within 18 days, we would refrain from betting on the home win. The odds on over-goals between Dortmund and Seville are more interesting.
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In the last five Champions League games with the participation of the Lopetegui-Elf over 20 goals were scored, i.e. more than four on average per encounter. Borussia has also been able to convince offensively with 15 goals in this CL season so far. Coupled with the assumption that the Andalusians have to run regardless of losses, there are a few arguments for many goals.
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We therefore decide between BVB and Seville for a tip on the over 2.5 and receive a 1.60 at the top from the tested bookmaker Betway, which we allude with a stake of seven units. You can also find other quotes for this match or other Champions League tips from the betting base odds comparison.
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