Chelsea - Real Madrid: tip, prognosis & odds - 06.04.2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round

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Chelsea - Real Madrid: tip, prognosis & odds - 06.04.2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round
 
 
The Blues are the defending champions of the UEFA Champions League. In the quarterfinals they meet record winners Real Madrid. The royals are showing strong performances in both the league and the Champions League this year. Chelsea, on the other hand, lags behind a bit in the league and also suffered a defeat on the last matchday.
 
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When people talk of a "bestia negra” in the context of Real Madrid, they usually mean FC Bayern. In fact, Chelsea are a far bigger nemesis of Los Blancos. In five competitive games to date, the royals have never managed to win against the Londoners, on whom the Champions League record winner failed in the semi-finals just a year ago.
 
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 Chelsea: Form & Record Check
 
The Blues botched their dress rehearsal ahead of the crucial first leg against Real Madrid. They lost 4-1 to Brentford FC in the Premier League on Saturday. After Antonio Rüdiger (48′) gave Chelsea a remarkable lead at the beginning of the second half, the Bees really turned things around and put in a brace from Vitaly Janelt (50′, 60′) and a goal from Christian Eriksen (54′). the 60th minute of the game to 1: 3 from the point of view of the Londoners.
 
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For Chelsea FC it was the first home defeat after 90 minutes since the 0-1 draw against Manchester City in September 2021. The Blues last conceded four goals about a year ago. Back then they lost 5-2 to West Bromwich Albion, also at Stamford Bridge.
 
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In the premier class, on the other hand, the Blues have an impeccable home record. They won every home game that season and didn't concede a goal. Among other things, they defeated Juventus 4-0 and OSC Lille 2-0. The Londoners conceded just one goal in six CL home games last season. In the last group game, which was no longer decisive, they drew 1-1 from FK Krasnodar. In the knockout stages, they beat Atletico Madrid (2-0), FC Porto (1-0) and Real Madrid (2-0) at Stamford Bridge.
 
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Chelsea: Facts & Analysis
 
  • Won 7 CL home games in a row
  • only 1 goal conceded in the last 10 CL home games
  • scored at least twice in four CL games in a row
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Chelsea surprisingly clinched the UEFA Champions League title last season. In the current season they only made it to second place behind Juventus Turin in the group stage. In the second round, however, they showed good performances again and prevailed with 2 wins against Lille. The guests from Madrid, on the other hand, won the group and met Paris St. Germain in the round of 16. In the top game, they won 3-1 at home and thus secured entry into the quarter-finals. They are probably the slight favorites there. In the first leg, however, it's about creating a good starting position for the first time.
 
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After winning six competitive games in a row, the Blues lost 4-1 to city rivals Brentford at their own stadium on Saturday. It was only the second home defeat in the 14th Premier League home game of the current season.
 
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Estimated line-up of Chelsea:
 
Mendy - Alonso - Rüdiger - Silva - Christensen - Azpilicueta - Kanté - Kovacic - Pulisic - Ziyech - Havertz
 
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Real Madrid: Form & Record Check
 
The Madrilenians only recently experienced a home debacle. Before the international break, they lost 4-0 to FC Barcelona in the Clásico. While this defeat has little impact on the Spanish championship race, it is also one of almost historic proportions. After the last five wins in a row, Real lost again against the Catalans. They last conceded four goals in a home game against Barca in 2015. The royal team lost 4-0 then too.
 
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But they made their dress rehearsal before the Chelsea game more or less successful. They won 2-1 at Celta Vigo at the weekend.
 
 
In Madrid everything stands and falls with Karim Benzema. It was only with his hat-trick in the second leg against Paris Saint-Germain (3-1) that the French shot the Madrilenians into the quarter-finals of the Champions League. The 34-year-old missed EL Clásico with a calf injury. Karim Benzema is currently the best striker in the world alongside Robert Lewandowski. This season he has 34 goals and 13 assists in 35 competitive games. In his last six games alone, he contributed 14 points (10 goals & 4 assists).
 
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Real Madrid: Facts & Analysis
 
  • lost the last CL away game 0-1 in Paris
  • only 1 goal conceded in 4 CL away games this season
  • Benzema has scored 7 of Real's last 8 goals
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Last year, the royals lost their quarterfinals against Chelsea of ​​all places.
 
 
The last away game against Chelsea was lost 2-0
So this year you have the perfect opportunity for revenge. Real is certainly in a better starting position this year, after all they showed good performances in the Champions League as well as in the domestic league. There they lead the table with a 12-point lead over FC Barcelona. With Paris St. Germain they also eliminated an absolute top team in the round of 16.
 
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Real Madrid is not only the Spanish record champion, but also the undisputed record winner of the Champions League with 13 overall wins. In the last 26 years, the Merengues have always participated in the premier class without exception and each time survived the preliminary round unscathed.
 
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Last season, the run only ended in the semifinals and was stopped by today's opponent from England, of all people, against whom the white ballet is still completely without a win in five international competitive games.
 
 
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Nevertheless, the Galactics have always had a hard time, especially in England. The Blancos have not won any of the last five competitive international games on the island (two draws, three defeats), which is why the tip for a win at Stamford Bridge in Chelsea against Real Madrid is not under the very best of omens.
 
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Estimated line-up of Real Madrid:
 
Courtois - Fernandez - Alaba - Militao - Carvajal - Modric - Kroos - Valverde - Junior - Asensio - Benzema
 
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Chelsea vs Real Madrid head-to-head & stats
 
Chelsea have gone unbeaten in four meetings with Real Madrid so far. Last season, the Londoners drew 1-1 in the first leg of the semifinals in Madrid. In the second leg, they secured a place in the final with an unchallenged 2-0 victory. In 1971, the two heavyweights of European football met for the first time. In the final of the European Cup Winners' Cup, they initially played 1-1 after extra time. Chelsea won the replay 2-1. At that time, there was no penalty shoot-out in the final.
 
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Chelsea FC has never lost to Real Madrid
Chelsea FC has won the Champions League twice
Real Madrid have won the premier class 13 times
 
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In the Spanish Primera Divison they are at the top of the table with a comfortable lead. Apart from the El Clasico defeat against Barcelona, ​​Real have won all of their last 5 league games. 3rd time you remained without conceding a goal. They are also the best away team with 11 wins from 15 away games. Only 13 goals were caught. The offensive is responsible for almost 2.00 goals per game.
 
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In addition to a defensive tactic by Blancos, the defensive strength of the Londoners also speaks for a game that is not too high in goals. Under Thomas Tuchel, the Blues kept ten of their 15 Champions League games to zero.
 
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Tip and prognosis
 
Chelsea may not have lost a few games lately, but they don't look as solid this year as they did last year. They often lose out this season, especially in important games. Due to the good odds, we would therefore settle on a double chance bet X/2. Both teams clearly have their strengths on the defensive. In addition, no team will risk life and limb in the first leg. We therefore assume less than 2.5 goal
 
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