Chelsea - Manchester City: Tips, prognosis & odds - 09/25/2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League

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Chelsea - Manchester City: Tips, prognosis & odds - 09/25/2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League

 

The absolute highlight of the sixth game day in the English Premier League already rises early on Saturday afternoon. Then the Champions League final from four months ago will be relaunched at Stamford Bridge in west London. Chelsea receives Manchester City. According to the odds, the bookmakers find it very difficult to name a favorite. In terms of form, however, the advantages may be more with the home side.

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Coach Thomas Tuchel's team recorded 13 out of a possible 15 points from the previous five games of the season, while the Citizens collected three points less and even had to leave the field as a loser.

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In addition, in the duel Chelsea vs. Manchester City, with regard to the prediction of the game outcome, it should be taken into account that the most recent three direct encounters all went to the Blues, who also just got the upper hand 1-0 in the aforementioned Champions League final .

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The fear that the teams will share the points on Saturday lunchtime can statistically be ruled out relatively well, because none of the last twelve meetings in the Premier League ended in a draw.

Whether the spectators in the English capital get to see many goals, however, can also be critically questioned, after all, the two best defensive rows of the House of Lords face each other. Despite the early timing of this season, we can look forward to a trend-setting duel in the fight for the championship in the Premier League.

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Chelsea stats & current form

Thomas Tuchel has not yet played 30 competitive games on the bench at Chelsea Football Club. Nevertheless, the German coach, who previously coached Mainz, Dortmund and Paris St. Germain, has already left a big mark. In particular, the Champions League victory last year will be forever associated with his name.

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What often takes a back seat, however, is its excellent record at national level. In a total of 24 Premier League games under Tuchel's leadership, the Blues conceded only three defeats. On the other hand, there are 15 wins and six draws. In 15 of the mentioned 24 encounters, the Londoners kept the clean slate and thus more often than any other club on the English floor.

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The defensive remains Chelsea's main asset

In the current season, the capital club achieved a clean sheet in four out of five cases in league operations. Only in the 1-1 draw in Liverpool had keeper Mendy behind him, although this was just a penalty conceded and outnumbered. The outstanding defense is therefore the clear showpiece of the reigning Champions League winner and also one of the main reasons why we prefer a tip on the home team between Chelsea and Manchester City.

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From the home side's point of view, it should also be mentioned positively that the front runners appear very variable offensively. The twelve goals scored so far were actually made by ten (!) Different players. By signing Romelu Lukaku, who is the only blues player in the league to have scored three goals, the Tuchel team has once again gained in quality, which is why we see the current Premier League leader definitely able to do it on Saturday To get a threesome in the stadium.

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During the week, the German coach was able to spare numerous top performers in the EFL Cup. Nevertheless, the Londoners prevailed on penalties in the third round against Aston Villa. Compared to the list on Wednesday, there should be nine to ten changes. In the short term, however, it will only be decided whether the actual goalkeeper Mendy will be fit in time or whether penalty killer Kepa will continue to gain confidence. Even with the strong 3-0 win at Tottenham last week, the Spaniard made a very stable impression.

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Expected formation of Chelsea:

Mendy; Christensen, T Silva, Rudiger; Azpilicueta, Kante, Jorginho, Alonso; Mount, Lukaku, Havertz

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Manchester City stats & current form

Pep Guardiola no longer has the very best reputation in England. More than a month ago, the Catalan was a bit vague about his personal future as coach of Manchester City. Only recently have rumors emerged that Barcelona were planning a return campaign for the "prodigal son”. Even with his indirect criticism of too few spectators at the Champions League opener against RB Leipzig (38,000 were there, 55,000 should have come), the former Bayern coach made no friends in the fan camp.

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Certainly the supporters of the Citizens can overlook these banalities, should the appropriate success set in in the coming weeks, but here too the reigning champions have lost the dominance of the previous season. From the first five Premier League games in 2021/22, the Sky Blues brought "only" three wins. After a defeat at Tottenham on matchday one (0-1), City had to be content with a goalless draw against Southampton the previous week.

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Gripe at a high level or the beginning of a creeping decline?

In two of the five league encounters, the sky blue remained without conceding a goal. For comparison: For the same number of offensive zero numbers, de Bruyne and Co. previously needed 30 matches in the top German division. For the first time since 2006/07, there is now a third game without a goal after six match days. Ironically, against the outstanding defensive of the upcoming opponent, this statistical lull in the attacking game is definitely an argument to check the odds on the home win or on sub-goals between Chelsea and Manchester City.

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To make matters worse, from the point of view of the fifth, who could be distanced to six points in the event of a defeat by the Blues, is added that coach Pep Guardiola has not lost to any other club as often in all competitions as against Chelsea Football Club (eight times). The Londoners could become the first club on Saturday to defeat the multiple world coach of the year four times in a row.

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The tense personnel situation also causes frowns. With John Stones and Aymeric Laporte, for example, two regular central defenders are out. The duo Ake and Dias will line up again by themselves in the defense center. There are also question marks behind the missions of the ailing Zinchenko, Gündogan and Rodri. While his counterpart Thomas Tuchel has been rotating meticulously over the past few weeks, Pep's hands have been somewhat tied. It is quite possible that this between Chelsea and Manchester City will also steer our forecast in the direction of the home team.

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Expected formation of Manchester City:

Ederson; Walker, Dias, Ake, Cancelo; De Bruyne, Fernandinho, Gundogan; Jesus, Torres, Grealish

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Betting base forecast & Chelsea - Manchester City tip

A direct duel in these days, weeks and months can hardly promise much more football quality than the new edition of the Champions League final of 2021. It's that time again on Saturday lunchtime. Although this time it is not a title game, the clash between two of the best European football teams in the Premier League already has a trend-setting character - especially for the guests.

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The Citizens have so far posted three points less than the Blues and are therefore more under pressure. How difficult the endeavor at Stamford Bridge will be, underlines the fact that the last three direct duels all went to the Londoners and Pep Guardiola did not suffer more defeats as a coach against any other club than against the current leaders of the English House of Lords. We are all the more surprised that the top game Chelsea vs. Manchester City offers very high odds on the home win.

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Coach Thomas Tuchel's team is in good shape, has scored 13 out of a possible 15 points and has kept the clean slate in four out of five league games. In terms of personnel, the German trainer - in contrast to his colleague at the City Bank - can virtually draw on unlimited resources.

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The bottom line is that we have come to the decision to play a tip on the home win between Chelsea and Manchester City, but to secure this with the "Draw-No-Bet" addition. In the event of a tie, there is cashback. Nevertheless, we get an attractive 1.94 at the top via the Unibet app, which is worth seven units as a stake. For the risk-conscious tipsters, the home win on the three-way market is also an option. Here a 2.80 is offered as the top rate.

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You can also find an overview of all betting tips in the Premier League from matchday six on the betting base.

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