Cagliari - Salernitana: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11/26/2021 - ITALY: Serie A
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Cagliari - Salernitana: Tips, prognosis & odds - 11/26/2021 - ITALY: Serie A
The top teams were in action in international competitions this week and that is why, for example, the league game day in Italy on Friday evening will not open with a football treat, but with a relegation cracker. More relegation battle is not possible, because in the duel Cagliari against Salernitana, the two bottom of the table face each other. Accordingly, this is an absolutely trend-setting game so as not to lose sight of the connection to the saving bank at an early stage.
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After playing 13 games, both teams currently only have a meager seven points. After all, the competition doesn't really score consistently either and so the gap between the first non-relegation place is only four points. A success against a direct competitor would therefore be of great importance. The bookmakers see Cagliari against Salernitana as a clear favorite according to current odds. In the case of a home win, double the stake, and in the case of the success of the guests almost fourfold.
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Cagliari is favored in Serie A against the last Salernitana because the Sardinians have won the last 3 direct duels. As a promoted team, Salerno was only able to win 1 away game in 5 bankruptcies, the last 3 league games were lost to zero
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Can Cagliari win after 5 games without a win?
The people in charge at Cagliari Calcio tried some time ago to give the ailing team an impulse in the form of a coach change. However, this has not yet worked as expected. The Sardinians have been looked after by Walter Mazzari since September. In 10 games there was only 1 win with 3 draws and 6 defeats. In the Serie A table, Cagliari is still on the penultimate place in the table, 4 points behind the saving bank.
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Series of defeats stopped
Walter Mazzarri, former coach of Naples and Inter Milan, took over the club after the third match day and was able to make a remarkable 2-2 draw against Lazio Rome on the debut. The upswing under "the prodigal son" (Mazzarri went through the youth teams at Cagliari) was short-lived and six defeats in ten league games are a disappointing result.
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After Cagliari had slipped to the bottom of the table with four defeats en suite, this series of defeats was at least stopped last weekend at lunchtime on Sunday. At Sassuolo Calcio, the relegation candidate showed great morale and was able to equalize a deficit twice. By winning the point, Cagliari jumped past promoted Salernitana due to the better goal difference.
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The islanders remained without a win in the last 5 league games with 4 defeats, and only on the last day of the match Cagliari was finally able to score again in Sassuolo. In 13 games of the season there was only 1 win in 4 draws and 8 defeats, in the last 15 league games there was only one complete success. The team under Mazzari shoots 1.0 per game with an average of 1.90 goals against
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Life Insurance Joao Pedro
A large part of the poor results is undoubtedly due to the bad luck with injuries, because Cagliari has never been able to play with the best line-up this season. There are still serious failures to cope with on Friday evening (Godin, Rog, Walukiewicz). The hopes rest once again on the captain - striker Joao Pedro. The 30-year-old Brazilian deserves the title "life insurance” absolutely. He was involved in two thirds of all Cagliari goals (eight goals, two assists). The prognosis of a new goal by the captain is therefore interesting at Cagliari against Salernitana, here the bookmaker Bet365, which we tested, attracts a 2.05.
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Expected formation of Cagliari:
Cragno - Lykogiannis, Carboni, Ceppitelli, Zappa - Bellanova, Marin, Grassi, Nandez - Joao Pedro, Balde
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Will Salernitana get the 4th defeat in a row?
US Salernitana also recently tried a change of coach, and here too it only worked to a limited extent. The newcomer has been trained by Stefano Colantuono since October. 4 of the first 5 league games under the 59-year-old were lost, only one won. The southern Italians adorn the bottom of the table, tied with Cagliari. Salernitana won only 2 of the first 13 games of the season with 1 draw and 10 losses.
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Defense excessively overwhelmed
With 19 wins, twelve draws and only seven defeats, head coach Fabirzio Castori managed to gain direct promotion last season. The strong defense was largely responsible for this, as the Reds had to accept just 34 goals in 38 league games.
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But one floor up there is no longer any sign of this stability in the defensive network. Promotion coach Castori is now history and for a few weeks, ex-trainer Stefano Colantuono has been back in the coaching bench at Salernitana. Between December 2017 and December 2018 he already worked for Salernitana for a year. However, he was also unable to stabilize the defensive in his first five Serie A games. After 13 match days, the promoted team conceded 28 goals, which means an average of more than two goals per game.
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The hosts from Sardinia also have big problems on the defensive and therefore it would not be surprising that in this relegation crash between Cagliari and Salernitana, the tip on over 2.5 turns out to be the right choice.
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Three straight defeats to zero
While Cagliari was able to stop the negative trend a little last weekend, it continued with the new bottom light. The home game against Sampdoria Genoa was also a relegation cracker and Salernitana had to admit defeat 2-0. Despite 18 shots and a goal scoring ratio of 9: 4, the Colantuono-Elf remained for the third time in a row without a goal of their own.
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The guests always play a pleasant football and develop many chances, but with only ten goals this season Salernitana has the weakest offensive in the league. Although 38-year-old Frank Ribery has experience, he has rarely appeared with only two assists.
Expected formation of Salernitana:
Belec - Ranieri, Gagliolo, Gyomber, Zortea - Coulibaly, Di Tacchio, Kastanos - Ribery - Djuric, Gondo
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Most recently there were 3 defeats to zero for the promoted team
behind each other. In the past 6 league games, there was only 1 success out of 5 bankruptcies. The Granata also had to give up 5 of the first 6 away games. There were goals against in all 6 away games, 14 of them in total with only 5 goals. The total goal difference is 10 goals scored and 28 conceded goals.
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Under Colantuono there have been 4 goals and 11 goals conceded in 5 games so far. The club from Salerno have remained goalless in 7 games of the season, 3 of them away. In 8 games, the newcomer conceded more than 1.5 goals. As a result, over 2.5 goals are scored in 83% of away games. Salernitana didn't score in the last 5 games before the break and was four times behind after 45 minutes.
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Cagliari - Salernitana Direct comparison
In the 1998/99 season, the two teams faced each other for the only time so far in the Italian upper house of football. At that time, the Sardinians were able to win both the home and away game 3-1. Across all competitions, a total of 15 games can be found in the database, of which Cagliari is just ahead with seven wins versus five defeats in a direct comparison. The cellar duel on Friday evening will be the first duel since the 2015/16 second division season - even then, Cagliari celebrated two wins against Salernitana.
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Cagliari have won the last 3 meetings, the last two without conceding a goal. Salernitana won only 3 of the last 10 direct duels, with 2 draws and 5 defeats. Cagliari have won 5 of the last 6 games.
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The last success of Salerno in Sardinia was 33 years ago. Both teams met in 6 of the last 10 matches. This resulted in over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 8 duels.
Bet base forecast & Italy Cagliari - Salernitana Italy tip
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KEY FACTS - CAGLIARI VS. SALERNITANA TIP:
- Negative run stopped - after four defeats Cagliari was able to achieve a draw against Sassuolo
- First duel since 2015/16 - at that time Cagliari won both games of the season
- Salernitana lost the last three games without a goal of their own
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Viewed objectively, the home side have more individual quality to offer in their own ranks. The home advantage also speaks for the Sardinians, Cagliari won the last duels against the Elf from Campania and the appearance last weekend also gives the home side an advantage.
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Cagliari was able to equalize a two-time deficit, while Salernitana had to cope with the third defeat in a row without their own goal in another relegation crash against Sampdoria Genoa. In this respect, the prognosis for the tip "home win” is interesting for Cagliari vs. Salernitana.
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