Brighton - Manchester City: Tips, prognosis & odds - 23.10.2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League

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Brighton - Manchester City: Tips, prognosis & odds - 23.10.2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League

 

Are the Sky Blues cracking the Seagulls' tough defense?

When Brighton & Hove Albion welcomes reigning champions Manchester City, it sounds like a very straightforward affair. In fact, there are two direct neighbors facing each other on Saturday. The Seagulls occupy fourth place and could theoretically even overtake the current third from Manchester with a home win.

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Albion also won the last home game to date against the Sky Blues on May 18, 2021 3-2. Nevertheless, the betting providers see the southern English in the Falmer Stadium as blatant outsiders. In the run-up to the game between Brighton and Manchester City, the odds are clearly pointing towards the Citizens.

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In each case, a very close matter must be assumed. While Manchester City have only conceded three goals from eight league games, the Seagulls have the third best defense with only five goals. Correspondingly much value can be found in the tip for a low-goal match at Brighton against Manchester City.

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We decide to bet on the home side with a handicap of +2. In addition to every point win by the surprise team, this also covers every city win with a goal difference.

Brighton - Statistics & Current Form

Brighton & Hove Albion played in third-tier League One in the 2010/11 season, but has been an integral part of the Premier League since summer 2017. The Seagulls are now firmly established there and seem to be facing a completely carefree season for the fifth consecutive year of membership in the top English division.

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At least the men from the English south coast surprisingly hold a starting place for the UEFA Champions League after eight games. As fourth in the table, they are also just four points behind first place.

The third best defense in the Premier League

The reason for this momentary soaring, which could have been higher with a view to the last two points left behind in the bottom line Norwich City (final score: 0-0), is the unbelievable defensive compactness of the southern English.

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Graham Potter's selection allowed just five goals against in eight league games and goes into the top game against the Citizens with the third-best defensive in the Premier League, against whom there was also a surprising 3-2 home win in the last home game so far in May this year gave.

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On average only one hit per league game

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The offensive in the south of England can certainly be expanded.

Conversely, with eight goals in eight games, Brighton also has the seventh weakest offensive in the Premier League. Ultimately, however, only Everton FC have managed to score more than one goal against the Seagulls and kidnap the three points from the English seaside resort.

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Albion can therefore go into this home game full of self-confidence, in which at least the bookmakers have little confidence in the supposed underdog. The bookmaker Bet365, tested by Wettbasis, offers odds of 8.00 for tip 1 at Brighton against Manchester City.

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Expected formation of Brighton:

Sánchez - Cucurella - Burn - Dunk - Duffy - Veltman - Moder - Lallana - Groß - Maupay - Trossard

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Manchester City stats & current form

Manchester City won the seventh championship in the club's history at the end of the 2020/21 season and was also able to secure the EFL Cup for the fourth time in a row. Because in the end the Champions League final, which was reached for the first time, was lost 1-0 to Chelsea, there was still a somewhat bland aftertaste from the previous season.

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However, the Sky Blues have not been deterred so far and are fully attacking again in all competitions. However, they have already suffered the first setbacks.

Already three defeats in the first 13 competitive games


City initially lost 1-0 to the FA Cup winners Leicester City in the Community Shield, before they lost another 0-1 defeat to Tottenham on the first day of the Premier League.

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Added to this is the 2-0 away defeat at Paris Saint-Germain on the second day of the Champions League group stage. In total, there are already three defeats in the first 13 competitive games of the 2021/22 season (two draws, eight wins). In league operations, there are currently two points missing from front runner Chelsea.

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The best defense in the Premier League

Nevertheless, the interplay of a resounding offensive (16 goals in eight league games) and outstanding defensive (only three goals conceded), which was perfected under Pep Guardiola, can still be seen.

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However, the away balance of the Sky Blues has to increase again. In the distance, City only took seven out of twelve possible points and consequently only ranks seventh on the away table. Against this background, the point win by the defensive Seagulls should not be categorically excluded at Brighton against Manchester City in the tip.

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Expected formation of Manchester City:

Ederson - Aké - Laporte - Stones - Cancelo - De Bruyne - Rodri - B. Silva - Foden - Mahrez - Sterling

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Brighton v Manchester City head-to-head comparison

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Head to head: 6 - 4 - 16

There have been a total of 26 clashes between the two teams so far and with 16 wins the balance clearly points in the direction of the Citizens, who, however, lost their last guest appearance in Brighton despite 2-0 lead (final score: 2: 3).

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Betting base forecast & England Brighton - Manchester City England tip

At Brighton against Manchester City, our forecast is shaped by the defensive compactness of both teams. The Seagulls only conceded five goals, while the Sky Blues even provided the best defense in the Premier League with only three goals conceded. It should be correspondingly close in a duel between two direct neighbors in the table.

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It is true that the City Offensive can be trusted to crack Albion. In view of the fact that the Seagulls also like to unnerve their opponents with unfair means - no team has received more yellow cards so far (22) - a point win for the southern English is not categorically excluded.

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Most eventualities are covered by the tip on Brighton with a handicap of +2. For this purpose, odds of 1.70 are available at Brighton against Manchester City, which we play with six units at the bookmaker Bet3000, which was tested by Wettbasis.

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