Atletico Madrid - Bayern tip, prognosis & odds - Champions League 2020 Free soccer tips
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Atletico Madrid vs. Bayern tip, prognosis & odds - Champions League 2020
Some are already through, for others it's about a lot, namely getting ahead. The starting positions of the two teams could hardly be more different.
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The top game in Group A between Atletico Madrid and FC Bayern Munich loses so much of its tension and explosiveness, as Bayern not only qualify for the round of 16, but also place first in the table, given that they are seven points ahead of second-placed Atletico.
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While the German record champions go into the top game relaxed and without any pressure - and possibly even with a B-Elf - the Rojiblancos have the pressure on their side. In the event of a defeat, there is even a risk of losing second place if Lokomotiv Moscow should defeat RB Salzburg in the parallel game or vice versa.
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Given this starting position, it is not surprising that Atletico Madrid vs. Bavaria, the odds of the best betting providers are generally high and balanced, but the Spaniards are slightly favored.
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You can find more tips, predictions and previews for the premier class on the betting base in the Champions League category.
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Direct comparison / H2H balance
Atletico and Bayern Munich dueled seven times on the international stage. The Munich team won four games, two Atletico, in a draw.
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Statistical abnormality: In five of the seven games only one team scored, so they won to zero. This was also the case in the 'first leg' in Munich in October, when Bayern shot the Rojiblancos 4-0 out of the Allianz Arena.
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For Atletico's coach Diego Simeone, Bayern is the opponent in the Champions League against whom he - together with Real Madrid - has the worst record. Simeone lost three of his five games as a coach to the German record champions.
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Atletico Madrid - statistics & current form
Atletico Madrid have an impressive run - at least in Spain's La Liga. Here the Colchoneros are still unbeaten in nine games, recently lined up six wins in a row - five of them to zero!
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At the weekend there was a deserved 1-0 win in Valencia. Atletico is in second place in La Liga with 23 points, but in two games less than leaders Real Sociedad (24 points). With the same number of games played, one could rightly say that the two leaders of their leagues will meet on Tuesday.
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Convincing in La Liga, shaky in the Champions League
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A real top game, even if the table of Group A does not allow it - because in the premier class, the Rojiblancos strangely have a lot of problems. The Simeone team was only able to score one victory, in the turbulent 3-2 home win against RB Salzburg. Most recently, the team from the Spanish capital struggled twice against Lokomotiv Moscow and could not win either in the guest game (1: 1) or in the home game (0: 0).
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That is precisely why Atletico is worried about making it into the round of 16 - and is now under pressure and pressure against the overpowering Bayern. If Atletico does not win on Tuesday, there is a risk of an absolute final for 2nd place in the group on the last matchday in Salzburg.
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The Rojiblancos are encouraged by their strong home record in the premier class, because they have only lost one of their last 24 home games (18 wins, five draws)
So if you believe in three points at Atletico, you will find the game Atletico Madrid vs. Bayern betting odds of 2.05 on the tip home win.
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Expected formation of Atletico Madrid:
Oblak - Savic, Hermoso, Gimenez - Trippier, Saul, Koke, Lodi, Felix, Llorente - Correa
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Bayern Munich - statistics & current form
Bayern continue to win hard, but they seem vulnerable these days - especially in defense. The 3-1 win in Stuttgart made this clear again, because VfB had a number of good chances and could have scored more goals and ultimately taken at least one point.
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The defense has been Bayern's problem area in recent weeks, as illustrated by the many goals conceded by the record champions: In each of the last seven competitive games, they conceded at least one goal. Bayern Munich conceded 19 goals in their 15 competitive games in the Bundesliga and Champions League - that's astonishingly high for the Munich team, who are spoiled for success.
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Boateng, Hernandez and Martinez posted
It is all the more worrying that coach Hansi Flick now has to complain about more injured and injured people in the fragile part of the team. In the entertaining 3-1 in Stuttgart, four Bayern players had to leave the pitch prematurely, including defenders Jerome Boateng, Javi Martinez and Lucas Hernandez.
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It is not yet clear whether the trio are fit enough to play against Atletico. It is quite possible that Flick will not risk anything in view of the qualification for the next round that has already been bagged, after all Bayern can no longer lose first place in Group A.
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As a result, Munich's game at Atletico is no longer about anything - with a view to the important big game at the weekend in the Bundesliga against RB Leipzig, Flick could also send a better B-Elf onto the field and spare some regular players, not just the ailing ones Actors.
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That should also explain why before Atletico vs. Bayern have the odds on a Bayern win with a whopping 3.40 on average - and FC Bayern is an outsider in the game, at least with the bookmakers.
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Expected formation of Bayern Munich:
Neuer - Pavard, Süle, Alaba, Hernandez - Goretzka, Roca - L. Sané, T. Müller, Douglas Costa - Lewandowski
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Betting base forecast & Spain Atletico Madrid - Bayern Germany tip
It could have been an absolutely decisive big game for Group A for group victory - at least that would have been what a neutral football fan would have hoped for at the group draw.
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But the game doesn’t show much tension beforehand - simply because Bayern qualified long ago and have already won the group. The only exciting question is whether Atletico will reach second place. The Rojiblancos really have to win the game.
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But for Bayern, the game isn't really about anything, just a little prestige. It would therefore not be surprising if coach Hansi Flick should start the rotary press and spare various players. "I know that the team is at the limit right now," Flick said after the Stuttgart game.
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In view of this, as well as Atletico's strength at home, we consider a Bayern win to be unlikely. At the same time, the Munich team are of course extremely difficult to beat, even if they shouldn't have many regular players on the field.
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The bottom line is that we expect a close game that could be a draw for some time. Therefore, at Atletico Madrid vs. Bayern from the tip that it goes into the dressing room with a draw.
Atletico Madrid want to secure 2nd place
The Rojiblancos are in 2nd place in Group A after the 4th match days. However, they only have 5 points and thus only 2 points ahead of Lokomotiv Moscow. Bayern, however, have already secured group victory with 12 points. We are therefore more inclined towards a home win for Atletico.
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Atletico Madrid challenges FC Bayern Munich at home
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Second place in the group is almost mandatory for Atletico Madrid, because you should be clearly superior to both Lokomotiv Moscow and Red Bull Salzburg. After 4 games they are in second place, but the lead is only 2 points. You therefore need at least one more victory to secure entry into the knockout phase.
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Bayern, however, have already secured group victory. They could win all 4 games. There is therefore the possibility that Hansi Flick will spare some regular players. Tip 1 is therefore possible, but other lucrative betting options could now also pay off. You can find these in the betting tip analysis below. Kick-off is on Tuesday at 9:00 p.m.
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ATLETICO MADRID
- 5 points after 4 games
- unbeaten in 3 CL games
- conceded only one goal at home in the league
- not yet lost against Bayern at home
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FC BAYERN MUNICH
- Group victory already fixed
- recently 12 CL victories in a row
- 15 goals in 4 games
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Atletico Madrid - important game just around the corner
Last season, Atletico Madrid made it to the quarter-finals. They would welcome a similar result this year, but for that they have to survive the difficult group stage first. In this they are actually seen as the clear number 2 behind FC Bayern Munich. These are already group winners with 12 points.
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Atletico is in second place with 5 points, but is only 2 points ahead of Lokomotiv Moscow. Your balance after 4 games is one win, two draws and one defeat. The goal difference is in the negative area and stands at 4: 7 goals. But they owe this mainly to the 4-0 away defeat against Bayern. They have been unbeaten for at least 3 Champions League games. You can see the results of the previous games here:
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1st matchday: Bayern Munich - Atletico Madrid 4-0
2nd matchday: Atletico Madrid 3-2 Red Bull Salzburg
3rd matchday: Lokomotiv Moscow - Atletico Madrid 1: 1
4th matchday: Atletico Madrid - Lokomotiv Moscow 0: 0
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Top results in the Spanish league
Things are going much better for Diego Simeone's club in the Spanish Primera Division than in the Champions League. There they are in 2nd place in the table with 23 points, just one point behind leaders Real Sociedad. As the only team in the league they are still unbeaten and have a record of 7 wins and 2 draws.
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With a goal difference of 19-2 goals, they are once again the best defense in the league. In their own stadium they were able to win 4 out of 5 games and only conceded a single goal. The last 4 home games could even be finished without conceding a goal. In general, Atletico conceded only one goal in the last 8 games. They also celebrated 6 wins in a row.
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Will Atletico win over Bayern? Then get the best odds at Bet365.
TO BET365
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FC Bayern Munich - recently won 12 CL games in a row
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Under coach Hansi Flick, FC Bayern Munich haven't lost a single one of the last 12 Champions League games. Each of these games could even be won and with the 0: 1 win in the final against Paris St. Germain they are the current defending champions. They lived up to this role in the group stage so far, because there they are in 1st place with 4 wins from 4 games. Nobody can take away the group victory, because the lead over Atletico is already 7 points.
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The goal difference is 15: 4 goals. In every previous game they managed to score at least 2 goals. Each of these games ended with more than 2.5 goals. In the last 3 games they conceded at least one goal.
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Results so far:
1st matchday: Bayern Munich - Atletico Madrid 4-0
2nd matchday: Lokomotiv Moscow - Bayern Munich 1: 2
3rd matchday: Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich 2: 6
4th matchday: Bayern Munich - Red Bull Salzburg 3-1
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In the German Bundesliga, the team is also in first place in the table. They have won 7 of their 9 league games so far. The only defeat was received away from Hoffenheim. With 31 goals the offensive works more than well, but in return they have already conceded 13 goals in 9 games. In the past 4 games you have conceded at least one goal per game.
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Duels against Atletico Madrid
This season they won their home game against Atletico Madrid clearly 4-0. Before that, the two teams met in the 2015/16 and 2016/17 seasons in the Champions League. In these 4 duels, the home team could just prevail. In Madrid they lost 2 times with a 1-0. Therefore, Bayern have never scored a goal at Atlteico Madrid. 3 of the last 5 duels therefore ended with under 2.5 goals.
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Betting tip and forecast
Atletico Madrid is still struggling this Champions League season and was only able to win one game. Bayern, on the other hand, are at the top of the table with 12 points. This can no longer be taken from them, which is why we could imagine that coach Hansi Flick spares some top performers.
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In addition, Bayern have never been able to win away against Atletico Madrid. We are therefore more inclined towards a home win for Atletico. These are once again among the best defensive teams in the world. In the league they conceded only one goal in their home stadium. We therefore think that it will definitely fall below 3.5 goals.
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