West Ham vs. Leeds United tip, prognosis & odds 03/08/2021 - Premier League Free soccer tips
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West Ham - Leeds United tip, prognosis & odds - Premier League
The 27th matchday of the current Premier League season 2020/21 will be concluded with two games on Monday in the capital. The late evening game will be played in the London Stadium - the surprise team West Ham and Leeds, the best newcomer, face each other.
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When asked about the big surprise this season, many experts and fans will probably put David Moyes' hammers first. With the best will in the world, such an explosion in performance was not to be expected. The club from the capital can even have legitimate hopes for the UEFA Champions League.
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But not only West Ham United is a positive appearance, but also the newcomer from Leeds. The Whites are definitely an asset to the English House of Lords and often convince with spectacular games. On Monday evening, however, the Bielsa-Elf is considered a relatively clear outsider by the best bookmakers. For the home win of West Ham vs. Leeds betting odds around 2.00 are offered. The game at London Stadium starts on Monday at 9 p.m.
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West Ham - Statistics & Current Form
The table position development of the Hammers is pointing steeply upwards this season. After an extremely tough start program, the Moyes-Elf was initially to be found in the lower third of the table. But the Moyes protégés surprised everyone in an extremely positive way. After 26 league games, West Ham United have 45 points on their credit side as a bear. The best point yield in the last ten years and an impressive 21 points more than at the same time in the past season.
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Defeats only against the top teams
The opening defeat against Newcastle United is an exception this season, as this was the only game the Hammers lost against a team on an equal footing. The six other defeats in the 2020/21 season each resulted from the absolute top teams in English football (Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United, Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester City).
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Especially in the home stadium, the Hammers are very strong (7-3-3 record) and have won five of the last six Premier League home games. At the three-way market between West Ham and Leeds, the tip on the host is certainly an obvious option.
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Despite the recent 2-1 defeat against Manchester City last weekend, the Moyes-Elf can compete with a wide chest and underpin their ambitions for an international ticket.
Who is in the gate?
However, David Moyes has a few tricky decisions to make on Monday evening, because the personnel situation in the capital's camp is tense. Above all, it is still unclear who is guarding the space between the posts. Number one, Lukasz Fabianski, couldn't train until Friday. His replacement Darren Randolph was also unable to be used due to a blow.
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With Angelo Ogbonna, Arthur Masuaku and the former BVB player Andriy Yarmolenko, another trio is definitely out.
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Expected formation of West Ham:
Randolph / Martin - Diop, Dawson, Cresswell - Johnson, Soucek, Rice, Coufal - Lingard, Fornals - Antonio
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Leeds - Statistics & Current Form
In contrast to the other two promoters, Leeds United was able to share the euphoria of the Premier League return and the relegation battle was never an issue for the team of head coach Marcelo Bielsa. Before the guest appearance in London, Leeds is in the current Premier League table in the secured midfield and has a large lead on the first relegation place.
Three defeats in a row
Just as the downward lead is relatively large, so is the upward lag. In the last few weeks of the season, Leeds will only be about a little bonus points and the final placement. Recently, the air seemed to be a little out, because the promoted team suffered three defeats in a row or lost four of the last five league games.
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It is also noticeable that the Whites did not celebrate a goal in the last two league games. The defense, which does not always act firmly, conceded only one goal in the games against Wolves and Aston Villa, but a defeat could not be avoided. With an average of 3.35 goals per league game, the promoted team has the highest average of all 20 PL teams.
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In this respect, the prognosis of over 2.5 seems obvious at West Ham against Leeds, but the two most recent games have shown that this bet should be treated with caution at the moment.
Sparkling wine or seltzer in a foreign country
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A look at the detailed statistics of the newcomer also shows that a bet on dividing points on Monday evening cannot be statistically proven. Altogether, only two games ended in a draw at Leeds this season (the last one at the end of November), but these two points were divided on Elland Road. In a foreign country it was accordingly a victory or defeat. With six successes and seven defeats, the balance sheet is slightly negative.
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In terms of personnel, Marcelo Bielsa is particularly hoping for the return of national player Kalvin Philipps, who recently missed four games due to a calf injury. Although the midfielder only has two assists (no goal), he is considered the most important player in Bielsa's game. As a link between offensive and defensive, it creates the balance and its lack can in no way be compensated. Bielsa will definitely have to do without German Robin Koch and attacker Rodrigo.
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Expected formation of Leeds:
Meslier - Dallas, Cooper, Llorente, Ayling - Strujik - Costa, Roberts, Klich, Raphinha - Bamford
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Direct comparison / H2H
The two teams have faced each other 105 times in the various competitions. Only the first leg of the current season is really relevant for the duel on late Monday evening, after all, this was the first duel since the 2011/12 season (at that time still in the championship).
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The promoted team from Leeds took an early lead in the home game in mid-December, but in the end the guests from London cheered and prevailed 2-1 on Elland Road.
Betting base forecast & West Ham - Leeds tip
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There are some parallels to be seen between the two teams before the duel on Monday evening. Both the Hammers and the Whites are among the positive surprises this season, suffered a defeat last weekend and are trembling about the commitment of important players.
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Nevertheless, a look at the odds comparison of the betting base shows a clear picture and, according to current odds, shows West Ham vs. Leeds as clear favorites.
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The favorite role is certainly rightly located with the Hammers, but the bet on the under 2.5 in this game seems even more interesting. Leeds is the epitome of goal spectacle under Marcelo Bielsa, but recently more emphasis has been placed on a controlled defense. The two narrow 1-0 defeats are proof of this.
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With the promoted team there will certainly still be many games with many goals and this cannot be completely ruled out on Monday, but in the end, West Ham vs. Leeds has this tip on the under 2.5 great value. Betting odds of 2.25 seem too high for this and are alluded to with six units.
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