Rome – Lazio: Tip, Prognosis & Odds – 03/20/2022 - ITALY: Serie A

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Rome – Lazio: Tip, Prognosis & Odds – 03/20/2022 - ITALY: Serie A
 
 
AS Roma has not lost for eight consecutive league games. For the first time since May 2019 (then still under Claudio Ranieri), the Giallorossi could now remain unbeaten nine times in a row, for which José Mourinho's team must survive the Derby della Capitale against city rivals Lazio intact.
 
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The Derby della Capitale is coming up in Serie A! For the 158th time, AS Roma and Lazio are fighting for the city championship and thus for supremacy in the Italian capital. In addition, the derby is an extremely explosive game for both teams, as both José Mourinho's team and coach Maurizio Sarri's team are still worried about participating in the Europa League next season. Before kick-off, both capital clubs are separated by only one point in the table. It is the Laziali, which is ranked 5th in the table and is ahead of the unloved neighbor. Lazio recently celebrated two wins in a row.
 
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AS is currently 7th in the table and couldn't confirm last week's win over Atalanta Bergamo. Once again, Roma acted far too defensively and only played a draw. The draw against Udinese was not enough to claim 5th place. But where there is negativity, there must also be positivity. Mourinho's side are unbeaten in eight straight games. This series should not tear in the capital derby.
 
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Rome: Form & Balance Check
 
AS Roma are not convincing in terms of football. Coach José Mourinho's team only rarely reveals why the Wolves can hope to finish fifth in the table at the end of the season. Again the wolves had some problems in the last game. In this, Roma had to catch up from a 0:1 deficit against Udinese. In the end it was only enough for a 1:1 draw. Thus, the Associazione Sportiva could not confirm the previous victory over Bergamo. After all, Mourinho's side are unbeaten in eight games in a row.
 
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Even if the Roma are not always completely convincing in terms of sport, AS has a great strength. The most recent draw was already the third of the last five games in which the wolves were able to successfully catch up from a deficit. Against Sassuolo, Verona and Udinese the point came from behind. This is another reason why the Romans are still fighting for 5th place. Before the start of the match day, AS shares 7th place in the table with 48 points, tied with Atalanta.
 
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AS Roma: Facts & Analysis
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  • AS Roma is 48 points on the 7th place in the table.
  • Wolves are unbeaten in 8 games in a row.
  • 3 of the last 5 games ended in a draw.
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Despite a curious 1:6 at FK Bödo/Glimt, "La Lupa” (in German: the she-wolf) won the group and now also bought the ticket for the round of the top eight teams in the round of 16 against Vitesse Arnheim.
 
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Meanwhile, the home record at the Stadio Olimpico is positive, where "La Lupa" has only lost three of the previous 15 home games. Only Inter Milan and city rivals Lazio lost less often at home.
 
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While the Giallorossi also had home advantage in the Derby della Capitale, they have not lost to the Biancocelesti for five years now. Accordingly, there is a lot of value in AS Roma against Lazio Roma in the tip that the Mourinho team can also avoid defeat in this duel.
 
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Lazio: form & record check
 
Lazio Roma will go into the upcoming derby in fifth place. The 5th place in the table entitles you to directly participate in the Europa League. This is the aim of coach Maurizio Sarri's team. 4th place is already seven points away. Only recently the Eagles were eliminated from the Europa League by FC Porto. This is one of the reasons why Laziali wants to be part of the European business again in the coming season. The Romans have collected good arguments for this project in the last two weeks. After losing 2-1 to Napoli, Lazio beat Cagliari 3-0 and Venice 1-0.
 
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Lazio Roma have already scored 58 goals this season. This makes the Eagles the second most successful offensive in Serie A. Only Inter has scored more times so far. However, Juventus, Napoli and Milan scored fewer goals than the Laziali, who are ahead of Lazio in the table. It is efficiency that has so far prevented the Romans from getting involved in the fight for the top four places. With 42 goals conceded, the Adler nevertheless conceded more goals of all teams in the top eight ranks.
 
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Lazio: Facts & Analysis

 

  • Lazio is 5th in the table with 49 points.
  • Most recently, the Eagles won twice in a row.
  • The Laziali only lost one of the last 5 games.
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The Aquile don't have an unbeaten streak as long as the Giallorossi. But Maurizio Sarri's men have won their last two league games in a row with zero.
 
In general, in the five top European leagues in the 2022 calendar year, only Real Sociedad kept more clean sheets (seven times) than the Biancocelesti, who were able to avoid conceding in six of their eight league games in the new year.
 
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Of course, the Biancocelesti hope again for superstar Ciro Immobile, who with six goals in the city derby is the historically second most dangerous Lazio player of all time in this prestigious duel behind Silvio Piola (seven derby goals).
 
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Estimated formation of Lazio Rome:
 
Strakosha - Marusic - Acerbi - Felipe - Lazzari - Alberto - Leiva - Milinkovic-Savic - Pedro - Anderson - Immobile
 
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AS Roma vs Lazio: head-to-head & stats
 
AS Roma and Lazio have already met 157 times. In this duel, the AS worked out the more positive balance. Because the wolves won 56 games, whereas the Laziali could only win 41 matches. Another 60 fixtures ended in a draw. The last meeting was whistle 3-2 for Lazio.
 
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2 of the last 5 derbies have ended in a draw.
The last time AS Roma played the derby, AS won 2-0.
There have been more than 2 goals in 2 of the last 5 derbies.
Only 2 of all derbies have been in the Italian Cup.
 
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Head to head: 66-63-48
 
The Derby della Capitale has already taken place a total of 177 times and the Giallorossi lead the direct comparison with 66 victories. Most recently, however, AS Roma was only able to win one of the last six city duels. The first leg also went 3-2 to Aquile.
 
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Betting base prediction: AS Roma – Lazio Roma tip
 
For AS Roma against Lazio Roma, the forecast must take into account the Giallorossi's unbeaten streak, who have not lost any of their last eight league games. On the other hand, in-form Biancocelesti have kept six of their eight league games in 2022 without conceding a goal and have only lost one of the last six derbies against "La Lupa". It is correspondingly difficult to see an advantage for one of the two teams.
 
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Of course, anything can happen, especially in a derby. In a potentially very balanced game, however, a lot of value can be found in the tip on the division of points, which already yields a positive expected value from a probability of occurrence of 29%.
 
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For Tip X, betting odds of 3.45 are available for AS Roma against Lazio Roma, which we allude to with four units at the ADMIRALBET bookmaker tested by Wettbasis.

 

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Expected line-up of AS Roma:
 
Patricio - Zalewski - Ibanez - Smalling - Mancini - Karsdorp - Mkhitaryan - Cristante - Pellegrini - Zaniolo - Abraham
 
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