Real Sociedad - Sturm Graz: Tips, prognosis & odds - 04.11.2021 - EUROPA: Europa League - Group stage
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Real Sociedad - Sturm Graz: Tips, prognosis & odds - 04.11.2021 - EUROPA: Europa League - Group stage
From an Austrian point of view, Thursday will once again be the day of major international combat. Three teams are in action, two of which have realistic chances of wintering. On the other hand, SK Sturm Graz has relatively no chance in the very difficult Europa League Group B. On Thursday evening, the difficult away game in the Basque Country is on the program. The game between Real Sociedad and Sturm Graz will kick off at 6:45 p.m.
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The Spanish hosts are in excellent shape this season and are currently even leaders in the Spanish LaLiga. In the Europa League, the Basques are in second place behind AS Monaco (two points behind) and are only one point ahead of PSV Eindhoven. In the fight for entry into the EL-KO phase, the home win against the bottom of the league without points from Styria is a must. The bookmakers only offer odds of 1.25 in the duel between Real Sociedad and Sturm Graz.
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The Spaniards are the clear favorites in the game against Sturm Graz
For the second time in a row, the top Spanish club is in the group stage of the UEFA Europa League. Last season they made it into the knockout phase and again this year they are in 2nd place behind AS Monaco after 3rd match days. With one win and two draws they are still unbeaten. They were able to win the first duel in Graz just 0: 1. If they win in the second duel too, they have the chance to take the lead. For Sturm Graz it's probably only about prestige, because they are already 4 points short of 3rd place. A win in Spain would be a bit of a sensation. Kick-off is on Thursday at 6:45 p.m.
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Real Sociedad
- 2 wins, 1 draw after 3 games
- not lost in 14 games
- 2.- best defense in Spain
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SK Sturm Graz
- 3 losses in 3 games
- first duel only just lost 0: 1
- not won for 4 games
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Real Sociedad - the Spanish league leaders
It's a tailor-made start to the season for Spanish club Real Sociedad. After taking 5th place last season, they are at the top of the table this year after 12 matchdays. The club is developing more and more into a top team in Spain. At least they are currently leaving FC Barcelona, Real Madrid and FC Sevilla behind. The balance stands at 7 wins, 4 draws and one defeat. With a goal difference of 17:10 goals, the defensive rather than strength is more likely to be identified. After all, they conceded the 2nd fewest goals against all teams. 6th time they managed to stay without conceding a goal in the league.
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The Graz team were the big outsiders in this group B and, despite some good performances, could not yet reward themselves with a point win. This is unlikely to change in Spain either.
In their own stadium, they generally only conceded a goal in one game. After 5 home games, they hold a goal difference of 5: 1 goals. Not a single home game has ended with more than 2.5 goals. Unsurprisingly, with 4 wins and 2 draws they are still unbeaten. In general, the team have not suffered a defeat since their defeat against Barcelona on matchday 1. The team is already unbeaten for 14 games.
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The performances in the Europa League group stage
The team is still unbeaten in the Euro League, but 2 of 3 games ended in a draw. With 5 points you are in second place in Group B. League leaders Monaco are 2 points ahead of the top. With 4: 3 goals, the defensive is the great strength of the team in this competition as well. The away win against Sturm Graz was the only game where you could keep the zero. The only home game so far ended with a 1-1 draw against Monaco.
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Real Sociedad - stats & current form
This is the third time that Real Sociedad de San Sebastian has made it into the group stage of the UEFA Europa League. In the first two appearances, the club survived the group stage in second place and had to admit defeat in the round of 32. Last year it ended against finalist Manchester United.
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14 games without defeat
The team of head coach Imanol Aguacil is currently brimming with self-confidence, because the only defeat of the season was conceded by the blue-whites on the first LaLiga matchday against FC Barcelona. After the 2: 4 defeat at Camp Nou, the club played itself into a real frenzy and is currently even leading the table in the Spanish upper house of football. After losing points, Real Madrid and Sevilla could still overtake due to a catch-up game, but this does not change the very strong condition of the Basques. In the meantime, RSSS has been unbeaten for no less than 14 competitive games.
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In Aneota, RSSS is stingy with goals
What is striking about the Basques this season is that, despite the successful streak, most of the games are very close. The Basques have already celebrated seven wins in the league, but only in the away game at Cadiz and Celta Vigo celebrated a victory by more than one goal (both 2-0). The five remaining successes were each one goal ahead.
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No less than four times, even just one league goal was enough for the Basques to win. The home games at the Aneota Stadium are generally characterized by very few hits. After six league home games, Real Sociedad have a goal difference of 5: 1. All home games ended with an under 2.5 - including the game in the Europa League against AS Monaco. With these numbers, a forecast of under 2.5 between Real Sociedad and Sturm Graz is definitely an option.
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Expected formation of Real Sociedad:
Remiro - Munoz, le Normand, Zubeldia, Gorosabel - Zubimendi, Merino - Januzaj, Silva, Portu - Isak
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Sturm Graz - statistics & current form
In recent years SK Sturm Graz has always been the Austrian team that embarrassed itself to the bone in qualifying. This season, however, the expected triumph against NS Mura succeeded and the Blackies were finally able to reward themselves once again with an international group stage.
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Paid a lot of hard work
It was already clear after the draw that the chances of international wintering would only be of a theoretical nature. In addition to Sturm Graz, there are three teams in Group B that are entitled to compete in the Champions League. This results in a great experience for the mostly young Sturm-Elf, but the defeats were to be expected to a certain extent.
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At times, the Ilzer-Elf presented themselves as an unpleasant opponent even in the difficult international games, but this was mostly due to the defensive work. In the game forward, Graz can hardly set accents, accordingly only succeeded in scoring in the clear 1: 4 defeat against PSV Eindhoven. Due to the defensive strength of the home side, the tip at Real Sociedad against Sturm Graz is that not both teams will score.
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Sturm Graz - performance slump after a strong start to the season
For the first time since the 2011/12 season, the team qualified for international business. At that time you failed in the group stage of the UEFA Europa League. This time too, this will probably be the case, after all, after 3 games with 0 points, they are in last place in the table. The 3rd placed PSV is already 4 points ahead. The goal difference of Graz stands at 1: 6 goals. The only hit they achieved in the 1: 4 defeat against PSV. After all, they managed to keep both Monaco and Sociedad with just one goal.
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The form curve in the league is pointing downwards
Sturm Graz is still in second place in the Austrian Bundesliga and is therefore still the first pursuer of Red Bull Salzburg. After 3 defeats in the last 4 games, however, the deficit also grew 12 points. The balance is now only 7 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. With 28 goals they are still the 2nd most dangerous offensive in the league, but they have already conceded 20 goals. In the past 4 games alone, 10 goals were conceded.
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The momentum was lost
Christian Ilzer's team had to cope with setbacks not only internationally in recent weeks, but also in the domestic championship. The already comfortable lead over the competition is now almost lost, because the Graz team have suffered three defeats in the last four league games. Despite this weak form, the Styrians are still the first "pursuer” of Red Bull Salzburg, but they are already twelve points behind the Bulls.
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After Sturm Graz was last able to appear broadly at the international appearances, the opposite is now the case. The Blackies have nothing to lose anyway and without pressure it might be a little easier in the Europa League. The suspension of Jon-Gorenc Stankovic, who has to watch the first leg due to the yellow-red card, is definitely not an advantage. With captain Stefan Hierländer and Otar Kiteishvili, Christian Ilzer is still missing two other important players.
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Expected formation of Sturm Graz:
Siebenhandl - Dante, Wüthrich, Affengruber, Gazibegovic - Prass, Ljubic, Kuen - Niangbo - Jantscher, Yeboah
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Real Sociedad - Sturm Graz Direct comparison
The first leg two weeks ago was also the first duel between the two teams. The Austrian outsider lost the point through a gross goalkeeper mistake by Jörg Siebenhandl and had to admit defeat just 0: 1. The narrow defeat can be seen as a success compared to previous games against Spanish teams, previously the Blackies conceded no fewer than 18 goals in four games (against Valencia and Real Madrid).
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Bet base forecast & Spain Real Sociedad - Sturm Graz Austria tip
The starting situation could hardly be more different, the Basques had to accept a last-minute compensation in the big derby at the weekend, but are still full of self-confidence. The guests, on the other hand, are recently in free fall and have virtually no chance in Group B of the Europa League. With the expected home win, Real Sociedad can push the door wide open towards the knockout phase. However, this forecast is by no means lucrative at Real Sociedad against Sturm Graz.
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KEY-FACTS - REAL SOCIEDAD VS. STURM GRAZ TIP
- All Real Sociedad home games in 2021/22 ended with an under 2.5
- A gross goalkeeper mistake cost Sturm Graz a possible point gain in the first leg
- Sturm's strong form is a thing of the past - three defeats in the last four league games
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At first glance, a bet on handicap success seems obvious due to the large differences in quality. However, if you take a closer look at the RSSS results this season, you should keep your hands off that. The Basques are very successful, but by no means dominant, and there are very few goals to be seen in the home games. Due to the recent misery, Sturm Graz will also act very defensively and destructively, which also speaks for an under 2.5. At Real Sociedad against Sturm Graz, betting odds at 2.30 for the tip on the under 2.5 are certainly associated with value.
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Away they conceded 2 defeats in a row. After all, they managed to score in these two games, which means that Sturm has scored a goal in every away game this year. In return, however, they only missed a single goal.
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Tip and forecast
Real Sociedad has been unbeaten in 14 games. In our opinion that will not change in the duel against Sturm Graz, but a simple win bet is not too lucrative. The defensive stability of the Spaniards and the fact that they were able to win the first duel away with 0: 1, let us tend to a "to zero" victory. It is also conceivable that this game will end with a narrow 1: 0 or 2: 0. A low over / under bet on under 2.5 goals would be well suited for this.
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