Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Tips, prognosis & odds 04/10/2021 - SPAIN La Liga Free soccer tips
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Real Madrid - Barcelona: tips, prognosis and odds - SPAIN La Liga
Three teams quarrel in La Liga nine game days before the end of the league table and thus the championship - two of them face each other in a direct duel. This could hardly be more explosive, because it is also the game of the games in Spain: El Clasico between Real Madrid and FC Barcelona.
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So it's about a small preliminary decision in the title race, because: The winner jumps (in the meantime) to first place in the table, as Atletico Madrid will not play their game at Betis until Sunday evening. El Clasico takes place on Saturday evening at prime time at 9 p.m. There is a lot going on for both of them, both are in excellent shape - so it is not surprising that the odds are extremely even at Real Madrid against Barcelona.
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If you want to find out more about El Clasico, we recommend the new episode of our Talk & Tips podcast. This not only talks in detail about the 28th matchday of the Bundesliga, but also about the dazzling duel between the two Spanish arch-rivals, El Clásico between Real Madrid and Barcelona, including tip, prognosis and a lot of professional competence.
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Direct comparison / H2H
The fact that there are traditionally no real favorites in El Clásico, at least in recent years and decades, should hardly be news. This is reflected in the betting odds before Real Madrid vs. Barcelona.
In this historical duel between the two arch-rivals, people like to duel at eye level. In La Liga alone, this traditional duel has already taken place 181 times, the balance could hardly be much more balanced. 74 wins for Real, 72 for Barcelona, 35 draws - that's the yield so far.
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Barça can and wants to shorten the thin deficit - and at the same time extend their lead in the La Ligas table, Barça has two points here over Blancos. In addition, revenge should be taken for the 1: 3 in the first half of the season at Camp Nou.
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This is also important because in La Liga, as is well known, the direct comparison including the European Cup away goals rule is used, provided that two teams should be tied at the end of the season.
By the way, it is striking how often there were last away wins in this duel: In the last 20 clashes there have been no less than ten away wins. Perhaps that is also a reason why the odds at Real Madrid vs. Barcelona turn out slightly in favor of the Catalans and level off at 2.30.
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Real Madrid stats & current form
Real Madrid have been undefeated for twelve competitive games, the last bankruptcy was in La Liga on January 30th - a surprising 1: 2 at the Estadio Francesco Di Stefano against the UD Levante. Since then, Real has had ten wins and two draws, and they have won their last three games in the league. If these were mandatory victories in the fight for the championship against Elche, Celta Vigo and Eibar, the home win during the week cannot be put into this category.
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In the Champions League there was a 3-1 first leg in Di Stefano against Liverpool - a very good result for the Madrilenians. This success against the reigning English champions should give coach Zinedine Zidane's team an enormous boost in self-confidence ahead of the upcoming Clasico against Barça.
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Strong odds when betting on Real Madrid to win
Real should have enough self-confidence anyway through the series, but a big win in the premier class, Los Blancos' favorite competition, will of course continue to contribute considerably. It is therefore quite surprising that Real Madrid vs. Barcelona offers whopping odds averaging 2.90 on the tip of a home win.
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As a result, Real even enters the race as a slight outsider in the home game against arch rivals Barça, at least as far as the notations of the best bookmakers are concerned.
One of the reasons for this is certainly the Madrilenians' loss of injury in defense: In Sergio Ramos (muscle injury) and Raphael Varane (Corona), both regular central defenders are out. Even with the regular right-back Dani Carvajal (training after a thigh injury) it shouldn't be anything, but recently representative Lucas Vazquez did his job well on the right back.
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Expected formation of Real Madrid:
Courtois - Vazquez, Militao, Fernandez, Mendy - Casemiro, Modric, Kroos - Asensio, Benzema, Mendy
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Barcelona - statistics & current form
Anyone wondering why before the Clasico between Real Madrid and Barcelona the prognosis for the victory of the guests "only" results in an average of 2.30 will not only find the reason for the failure of Real's core central defense.
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Because FC Barcelona has been unbeaten in La Liga for 19 games and has won 16 games. There were six wins in a row recently, with a goal difference of 18: 2.
However, they tortured themselves for a long time on Monday evening last matchday against the relegation candidate Valladolid, who bravely countered and unnerved the favored Catalans. Messi and Co. did not think of much against the well-organized Valladolid, it took until the 90th minute to score the redeeming winning goal - which means that you now hold the championship chances in your own hands.
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Barcelona have championship in La Liga in their own hands
Because Barça are only one point behind leaders Atlético Madrid before match day 30 - but also the direct duel with Atletico in front of their chest. This top game will rise on the 36th matchday, which means: If Barça wins all of their remaining games, they are the new champions in La Liga.
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Even a draw against Real Madrid would be enough if you then beat Atletico and win all other games as well. But the guest appearance in the Spanish capital will be difficult enough. The second best away team (Barça) plays on the fourth best home team (Real). That alone promises pure excitement.
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Expected formation of Barcelona:
Ter Stegen - Dest, Araujo, Lenglet, Alba - Busquets, De Jong, Pedri - Messi, Dembélé, Griezmann
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Bet base forecast & Spain Real Madrid - Barcelona Spain tip
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No matter which tip you give in three-way for this game - the odds are always lucrative. As the record in the last Clasico duels also shows, surprises are always possible - in the form of away wins, which you may not always have on the bill.
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The outstanding form of the last few months speaks for Barça, but Madrid are also strong - and they gained a lot of self-confidence in the Champions League on Tuesday.
Given how much is at stake and how well both teams are currently in shape, there are a lot of arguments in favor of the draw, which we will ultimately decide on. So both series remain, a preliminary decision in the title fight, it is also postponed - and La Liga remains extremely exciting.
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