Real Madrid – Man City: tip, prognosis & odds – 04.05.2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round
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Real Madrid – Man City: tip, prognosis & odds – 04.05.2022 - EUROPE: Champions League - Final round
What was that for an incredibly entertaining football game? The expectations of the first Champions League semi-final between Manchester City and Real Madrid were high anyway, but they were exceeded in the first leg. We were offered a total of seven goals in this game. Whether it was a header, a long-range shot, a penalty or a solo run – there was a bit of everything in this top game. Our Real vs Man City tip will tell you whether we are expecting a similarly entertaining encounter in the second leg at 9:00 p.m.
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In the first leg a week ago, it was clear from the first minute that this would not be an ordinary football game. Kevin De Bruyne headed City ahead just 94 seconds after kick-off – the fastest goal in a UEFA Champions League semi-final. Gabriel Jesus made it 2-0 in the 11th minute – never before had Real conceded two goals so quickly in a European game. After Karim Benzema's goal, it was 2-1 at the break before the second half even offered an increase with two goals each on both sides.
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It was only the second semi-final first leg in the Champions League in which the seven-goal mark was broken. From a neutral point of view, we can only hope that the two top teams will seamlessly continue this spectacle next Wednesday.
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Man City: Form & Record Check
Manchester City's players were mainly responsible for the fireworks of entertainment last Tuesday. After just eleven minutes, the hosts were 2-0 up and at first it looked as if the Skyblues were currently a house number too big for Real. But the royals fought back in the course of the game and thus also forced the citizens to keep their concentration high and not to stop playing football, which will never happen with Pep Guardiola as a coach anyway. In the end there was a 4-3 win on the scoreboard, which, given Real's winning mentality and comeback qualities, is miles away from a preliminary decision.
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The fact that the English are in top form for the most important phase of the season speaks for a place in the final. The Skyblues have all won the last four competitive games. In the Premier League there were even three clear wins with at least three goals difference. The most conspicuous man in recent weeks was Gabriel Jesus. He has always scored in the last three competitive games, six times in total. The Skyblues also have the most statistics on their side ahead of Wednesday's second leg.
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Man City have won all of their last three meetings with Real after not being able to win a single one of the first four meetings. Only two clubs have ever managed to win against Real Madrid four times in a row - Ajax Amsterdam between 1973 and 1995 and FC Bayern between 2000 and 2002. In addition, Man City have progressed nine times out of ten when they beat the first leg of a knockout. -won round. The only exception was the elimination against Monaco in the 16/17 season (1:3 after a 5:3 win in the first leg).
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Man City : Facts & Analysis
Scored at least 3 times in each of the last 4 competitive games
Advance 9 times out of 10 when winning the first leg of a knockout round
Could become 4th English club to reach CL final for 2nd consecutive year
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For many, the Skyblues are the best team in the world with the best coach in the world. However, he has been waiting for a triumph in the premier class for over 10 years. Last season, this was within reach, but in the final they lost out. Now you could make it into the final again, after all you could win the first leg. In contrast to the opponent, however, City still has to prove itself in 2 competitions, because the championship fight in the Premier League also requires their full attention.
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The former Bayern coach can also fall back on right-back Joao Cancelo. The Portuguese was suspended in the first leg, so Vinicius jr. made a very strong impression on the left offensive side. With the regular back four on board, we are convinced that the Galactics will not get as many offensive chances as they did last Tuesday.
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Expected line-up of Manchester City:
Ederson; Cancelo, Dias, Laporte, Zinchenko; Silva, Rodri, De Bruyne; Mahrez, Jesus, Foden
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Real Madrid : Form & Record Check
After losing 4-3 in the first leg in Manchester, Real Madrid face a difficult task of winning the second leg by at least a goal against top-flight England. The statistics here are not on the side of the Royal. So far they have never made it to the premier class final if they lost the first leg in the semifinals (5 times). But it only looks that bad in the semifinals. The result could be reversed in two out of three cases when the first leg was lost - in 2015/16 in the round of 16 against Wolfsburg and this season in the round of 16 against PSG.
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The dress rehearsal for the most important game of the season to date has already been a success at the weekend. In the end, Carlo Ancelotti's team beat fourteenth-placed Espanyol Barcelona 4-0. In addition to Rodrygo (2x) and Marco Asensio, Karim Benzema also contributed a goal that day. The hopes of all Madrilenians rest on his shoulders again on Wednesday. He has contributed at least one goal in six of the last eight competitive games. In total, he scored an impressive 10 times during this period.
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In the Champions League, he's even on track to equal two of Cristiano Ronaldo's records that were supposed to last forever. On the one hand, it's about the record for most goals in a Champions League season, set by CR7 in 2013/14 with an incredible 17 goals. To level that mark, Benzema would have to net three more times in the remaining game or maybe two. Even more likely is the record for most goals in a single UEFA Champions League knockout stage, also set by CR7, at ten. Benzema currently has nine goals in the finals of the current season.
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Real Madrid: Facts & Analysis
Alaba is expected to be out
Benzema has scored 10 goals in the last 8 competitive games
Last 3 duels with Man City all lost
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The only reason speaking against it is Karim Benzema's name and he's playing the season of his life. In the knockout phase of the current CL round alone, the Frenchman has already scored nine goals! Only Cristiano Ronaldo scored more in knockout games in 2016/17 (ten).
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On Wednesday, Benzema will lead his team onto the pitch and do everything in his power to ensure that Real does not concede three CL bankruptcies in a row for the second time in their own club history. Whether David Alaba can also participate in this undertaking will probably only be decided at short notice. The defense chief is still struggling with muscular problems. Casemiro, on the other hand, seems ready for action again. At the weekend, the Brazilian was in the starting XI in contrast to the rested Benzema, Kroos, Vinicius, Carvajal and Mendy.
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Estimated line-up of Real Madrid:
Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Alaba, Mendy; Kroos, Casemiro, Modric; Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius Jr
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Real Madrid vs Manchester City Direct Comparison
Real Madrid and Manchester City meet for the eighth time in the Champions League on Wednesday. All encounters date from the period since 2012/13. With four wins, two draws and two defeats, the Citizens lead the direct comparison. Of the three away games at the Bernabéu, however, only one was won (two bankruptcies). Also interesting: Only in two of the eight duels mentioned would the bet on the over 3.5 have been correct. Only in two out of eight cases did Real Madrid score more than one goal in the game.
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The white ballet want to reach the final of the UEFA Champions League for the first time since 2018. Last season they narrowly failed at Chelsea. Now you're dueling again with a top English team. The first leg against Manchester City was lost spectacularly 4:3. But now you have the home advantage on your side and can still turn the game around. Of course, the Citizens want to prevent this and also want to win in Madrid. For the guests it would be the 2nd final participation in a row after they did it last season. The second leg kicks off on Wednesday at 21:00.
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Real Madrid
Champions in the Spanish League
defeated Chelsea in the last round
more experience and home field advantage
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Manchester City
Won first leg 4-3
in the finals last year
last 3 wins in a row against Real Madrid
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However, because in the second leg Real Madrid vs. Manchester City the betting odds on the final of the favorite contain no value, we have decided to combine two other betting markets. On the one hand, we are convinced that De Bruyne and Co. will not lose out after 90 minutes. On the other hand, we believe in a maximum of one Real goal.
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Tip and prognosis
Real Madrid may have won the first leg 4-3, but now have the home field advantage on their side. We trust them to turn the game around, but with two such good teams, the day's condition will decide, which is why we don't place a win bet. However, we see hits on both sides again. This was always the case in the last direct duels. Another recommendation would be a goalscorer bet on Karim Benzema. After all, the Frenchman is something like Real Madrid's life insurance policy.
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