Porto - Benfica Lisbon: Tips, prognosis & odds - 23.12.2021 - PORTUGUES: Taça de Portugal
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Porto - Benfica Lisbon: Tips, prognosis & odds - 23.12.2021 - PORTUGUES: Taça de Portugal
Immediately before Christmas, which is traditionally celebrated in Portugal on December 25th, fans of national football get their money's worth again. As part of the round of 16 in the larger of the two cup competitions, the Taca de Portugal, the two top clubs Porto and Benfica Lisbon will face each other on Thursday evening.
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The team of coach Sergio Concecaio is currently the measure of all things at home and leads the Portuguese Super League thanks to the better goal difference in front of Sporting Lisbon. Benfica, meanwhile, are already four points behind their eternal rivals and must therefore make do with third place. Also with regard to the current condition, the advantages are on the part of the host, who has been able to make all of the last ten league games victorious.
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Although this round of 16, which could very well be the final, is of course about a lot and a lot of prestige is at stake, a prediction of three or more goals in the course of the game between Porto and Benfica does not seem absurd. Especially in the case of an early lead by one of the two teams, a lively exchange of blows could develop, in which no one wants to lose out a few days before the direct duel in the league on December 30th.
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Postage - statistics & current form:
The previous season of FC Porto must be assessed differently. While the blue-whites in the Champions League carelessly surrendered the round of 16 due to a 3-1 defeat against Atletico Madrid on the last matchday and will continue to play in the Europa League in the spring, things are going much better at national level.
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Of 15 games in the Portuguese Super League, the Dragões were able to make 13 victorious. The other two matches ended in a draw. Most recently, Porto celebrated ten league wins in a row, six of them with at least two goals difference. In nine out of ten cases the bet on the over 2.5 would have been successful, which is why a tip on three or more hits after 90 minutes in the cup between Porto and Benfica next Thursday looks very promising. A 1.90 at the top beckons for this.
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In general, there was only one defeat against a national competitor in 2021/22 - at 1: 3 in the group stage of the less important league cup at the underdog Santa Clara. In the more important cup competition, the Taca de Portugal, however, the men of Coach Concecaio have set themselves a lot. In contrast to the previous year, when the game ended in the semi-finals against Braga, the 18th cup win in the club's history is to be celebrated in 2022.
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One of the things that gives hope in this context is the interesting fact that the 2004 Champions League triumphant has not failed in the round of 16 of this competition since 2012. Also impressive: The last defeat after regular time came seven years ago (2014 - 1: 3 against Sporting Lisbon). The last meeting with Benfica was won in 2019/20 as part of the final. Also this time Porto against Benfica Lisbon are traded as favorites again according to the odds.
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Expected formation of Porto:
Costa; Mario, Mbemba, Cardoso, Sanusi; Otavio, Uribe, Vitinha, Diaz; Evanilson, Taremi
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Benfica - statistics & current form:
Unlike the upcoming opponents from Porto, the premier class adventure for Benfica Lisbon continues in the new year. Because the Adler qualified second behind FC Bayern for the next round and thus left FC Barcelona behind, among others, the capitals are looking forward to the matches in the round of 16 against Ajax Amsterdam.
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Before that, however, the team of coach Jorge Jesus is about to shorten the gap in the league a bit. Due to two defeats in the current season (Sporting & Portimonense), the gap to leaders Porto is already four points. In the event of another bankruptcy, the goal of 'championship' would be a long way off.
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Benfica has been waiting for the cup title since 2017
The defensive can certainly be seen as one of the biggest construction sites of the current season. While the offensive claims the best value in the super league with 46 goals scored, there have already been twelve goals conceded, significantly more than for Porto or city rival Sporting. Looking back on the last ten league games alone, only two clean sheets were achieved, which could also turn out to be problematic with regard to the cup game.
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Nevertheless, the usually high-scoring matches with the participation of the 37-time national champion are of course also a reason to predict many hits between Porto and Benfica. Meanwhile, we don't believe that the guests will progress either, especially since the Lisbon team have only won one away game against their long-term title competitor since 2014. The somewhat more modest form with only five wins from the last eight league games justifies the blue-whites' favorite role.
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Expected formation of Benfica:
Vlachodimos; Almeida, Otamendi, Vertonghen; Gilberto, Weigl, Mario, Grimaldo; Rafa, Yaremchuk, Nunez
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Porto - Benfica Direct Comparison:
Porto versus Benfica Lisbon is of course one of the classics in Portuguese club football. Both clubs have won 66 national championships and 43 cup wins together in their long history.
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In recent years, the direct duels have been mostly competitive. The record of the last six league games is, for example, absolutely balanced with two wins for both teams and two draws. The last cup game was the final of the 2019/20 season, which Porto just won 2-1. The bottom line is that the head-to-head has little effect on the upcoming match. Nevertheless, we dare the steep thesis that experience has shown that the home team always claims slight advantages for themselves.
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Betting base forecast & Portugal Porto - Benfica Portugal tip
Two days before the Christmas presents in Portugal, the ball will roll again on December 23rd. In the round of 16 of the Taca de Portugal there will be a top match between Porto and Benfica Lisbon. Betting odds of 2.15 on the home win imply slight advantages for the host, who on the one hand is in better shape and on the other hand builds on the home advantage.
KEY-FACTS - POSTAGE VS. BENFICA TIP:
- Porto have emerged victorious ten times in a row in the league
- Benfica have only won once in Porto since 2014
- The Lisboners have not taken the Taca de Portugal since 2017; Postage for the last time in 2020
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Because we cannot imagine, for the reasons mentioned, that the Jesus-Elf will make it to the quarter-finals, we try in the duel Porto vs. Benfica Lisbon with the tip that the Dragoes will advance. On the "To-Qualify" market we get a 1.57, which we would logically allude with a more confident stake than the home win after regular playing time, which is offered by the tested bookmaker Betway with a 2.15 as top odds.
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However, if you don't want to give up a tendency in which direction this classic is going, you have the chance to bet on over 2.5 goals. After all, the two best offensives in the country face each other. For both teams, over games have recently been the rule rather than the exception. At least three hits in the course of the game should therefore be within the realm of possibility.
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