Man City vs Atletico: Tip, Prognosis & Odds – 05.04.2022 - EUROPE:Champions League - final round

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Man City vs Atletico: Tip, Prognosis & Odds – 05.04.2022 - EUROPE:Champions League - final round
 
 
The 2021/22 season is slowly but surely turning onto its home stretch and it is now getting correspondingly exciting in the respective competitions. The fans can look forward to the first leg of the quarter-finals of the Champions League on Tuesday and Wednesday. Exciting games were played again and we can look forward to the match between Manchester City and Atlético Madrid with great anticipation. Even if the Sky Blues go into the game as a slight favorite, we don't see Atletico without a chance. You can read what we think about these two teams in detail in our Man City – Atletico tip.
 
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Shortly after the draw, everyone at Atlético Madrid quickly realized that one of the best teams in Europe was waiting for the Rojiblancos in the two games against City. The reigning champions from Spain secured second place behind Liverpool FC in the group stage before being eliminated in the round of 16 by Manchester United. Man City, on the other hand, won their group comfortably and the Sky Blues did not show any weaknesses in the round of 16 against Sporting Lisbon.
 
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This game is actually more like an endgame, especially if you read the coaches like Pep Guardiola and Diego Simeone. The Citizens has been one of the most in-form teams in Europe for half a year, with Atlético Madrid having lost only 2 games and conceding 1 draw since the beginning of February, so they decided 8 games. Furthermore, they are always good for surprises. A game at eye level is probably to be expected.
 
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Man City: Form & Record Check
 
Is it enough for the big hit this year? After the final defeat against Chelsea FC last season, coach Pep Guardiola's men want to take the pot with them to Manchester this season. City traditionally continue to dance at two weddings at this point in the season and as a result coach Guardiola has to be cautious about the question of power. Last weekend there was a comfortable 2-0 win over Burnley FC and City defended their lead in front of Liverpool FC. Next Sunday there will be the championship duel against the Reds at Etihad Stadium.
 
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In recent years, Pep Guardiola has been able to put together a team that can basically only beat itself. From goalkeeper Ederson through to Foden or Jesus at the top, Man City's entire squad has double, if not triple, excellence in every position. City was able to flex its muscles again and again, especially in the premier class. Especially in the round of 16 first leg against Sporting there was an outstanding 5-0 win. Even if a much more defensive opponent is expected in Atletico, we still believe that City will have the edge thanks to their great individual players.
 
Man City: Facts & Analysis
 
  • Most recently won 2-0 against Burnley
  • City are first in the Premier League with 73 points
  • Last CL game against Sporting 0:0
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Man-City have been a bit weaker than the Rojiblancos in the last 10 games, because they also lost 2 draws. They also lost 1 in their last 5 home games and most recently they were content with a 0-0 draw against Sporting. In the Champions League they have so far celebrated 5 wins and suffered 2 defeats and 1 draw. On average, they scored 2.88 goals and only conceded 1.25 goals. 2 times they are spared from a goal.
 
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For many years, Manchester City have been striving for the greatest possible triumph at club level. Despite the fact that the Citizens regularly start the Champions League season as one of the most promising candidates, the long-awaited title win has never jumped out. In 2021, the Citizens were closer than ever, but ultimately lost the all-English final against Chelsea just 0-1.
 
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Nevertheless, the record of the Sky Blues in the premier class reads very well: Of the last nine knockout games in the Champions League, only one was lost. Instead, there were seven wins and one draw. Since Pep Guardiola took office in the industrial city in 2016/17, no other club has had such a high win rate in the knockout phase (from the round of 16) as Manchester City. 14 of the 22 matches were victorious.
 
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Expected line-up of Manchester City:
 
Ederson; Cancelo, Laporte, Stones, Zinchenko; Silva, Rodri, De Bruyne; Mahrez, Foden, Sterling
 

 

Atlético: form & record check
 
Atlético Madrid officials will certainly not have jumped for joy after the draw for the quarter-finals of the premier class. With Manchester City, Bayern and Liverpool, Madrid is currently facing what is probably the most difficult task in European club football. But even against the supposed super team from the island, coach Diego Simeone will not allow anything to change the way he plays football. Struggle, dedication, passion and a tick of madness should be the keys to success.
 
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Luis Suárez was the forward at Atlético Madrid last season. After moving from Barcelona to the capital, the Uruguayan really thrived under Simeone. There seems to be a bit of a hack and pinch this season, and yet Suárez is still a red-hot threat in front of goal. Together with whirlwind Joao Felix and returnee Antoine Griezmann, Suárez should provide the goals against City. Atletico should go back to Madrid with at least one goal scored, because then anything can happen in front of their own fans in the second leg.
 
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Atlético: Facts & Analysis
 
Knocked out Man United in the round of 16
Most recently won 4:1 against Alaves
Build on a compact defense
 
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Can Atletico Madrid win the Champions League title in 2021/22? If you look at the betting odds for the overall victory in the premier class, the betting providers consider such a scenario to be rather unlikely. If the Spaniards won the pot, 26 euros would be paid out for one euro bet. From the eight remaining teams, the capital city ranks only in sixth place in the corresponding ranking.
 
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But anyone who has followed European football in recent years also knows that there is hardly a more uncomfortable team than the "Rojiblancos” at this level. Mentality, willingness to run and strength in duels paired with an irrepressible ambition and a crazy coach on the sidelines have already led the reigning Spanish champions to the final twice in the Simeone era. Both times, however, Real Madrid were the lucky winners.
 
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With the exception of the suspended Yannick Carrasco and the injured Hector Herrera, everyone is on board. Offensive hopes rest on the one hand on the in-form Joao Felix and on the other hand on Antoine Griezmann, who has been involved in six goals in his last six CL games (four goals, two assists) and with 25 goals in 55 games the internal top scorer list at the Spanish capital club in leading this competition.
 
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Expected line-up of Atletico Madrid:
 
Oblak; Savic, Gimenez, Reinildo; Llorente, De Paul, Kondogbia, Koke, Lodi; Griezmann, Felix
 
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Man City vs Atlético: head-to-head & stats
 
Both teams meet for the first time in their history.
 
 
Manchester City haven't lost in their last 7 games
Atlético Madrid haven't lost in their last 8 matches
Atlético Madrid have scored consistently in their last 8 games
Manchester City's recent performance in the UEFA Champions League is better than Atlético Madrid.
 
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As previously mentioned, these two teams have never faced each other. However, both coaches already know each other from 3 games. 2 of them should have been particularly memorable for Pep Guardiola, because they were the Champions League semi-finals in the 2015/16 season when the Spaniard coached Bayern. The game in Madrid was won by Diego Simeone with Atlético and the match in Munich was decided by Pep 2-1. At that time, the away goals rule still applied, which is why the Rojiblancos entered the final with Simeone.
 
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It is also interesting to note that City, under Guardiola, won three out of four matches against Spanish clubs. Atletico's overall record against English teams, however, does not read quite so well with just 15 wins from 40 attempts. But the "Rojiblancos" could win two consecutive away games on the island for the first time in the club's history.
 
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Diego Simeone has never won the Champions League. With the Rojiblancos, however, he has already reached the final twice. 2013/14 and 2015/16. Below we have listed the past 5 participations in the premier class:
 
2020/21: Round of 16
2019/20: Quarterfinals
2018/19: Round of 16
2017/18: group stage
2016/17: semi-finals
 
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Simeone will probably have to do without 3 players against City. Among them are left winger Ferreira Carrasco Yannick, midfielder Héctor Herrera and probably central defender José María Giménez.
 
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Our prognosis
 
Manchester City are clearly the favorites in this game. The odds for tip 1 are no longer attractive in this respect. The Rojiblancos have won 15 games and drawn 16 against teams from England in 40 games so far. The Citizens have decided 8 games and suffered 4 draws in 23 meetings with Spanish clubs. So you could definitely consider a double chance X/2 as a risk bet, whereby we decided on a handicap (0:2) tip 2 bet. We assume that both teams will score and, due to the strong defenses of both, assume that less than 3.5 goals will be scored.
 
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