Man City – Liverpool: Tip, Prognosis & Odds – 04/10/2022 - ENGLAND: Premier League
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Man City – Liverpool: Tip, Prognosis & Odds – 04/10/2022 - ENGLAND: Premier League
The defending champions, Manchester City, are currently one point clear at the top of the Premier League table. However, the lead over Liverpool is only a single point. The Reds are also by far the most in-form team in the league. So there is no real favourite.
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This season, the two top clubs in England are again the measure of all things. For a long time it looked as if the Citizens would march relatively undisturbed towards the eighth championship in the club's history. The past few weeks and months have made the title fight really exciting again. While Liverpool have reaped the full haul of 30 points in their last ten league games, City have had to settle for two draws alongside the 3-2 defeat by Spurs. The 0-0 draw at Crystal Palace on the penultimate day saw the lead over the Reds dwindle to a single point.
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Before the direct duel at the Etihad Stadium, the two teams are only separated by a point. Can City keep the Reds at bay? Or will Jürgen Klopp laugh from the top of the table for the first time since October 1, 2021? A prerequisite for this is an away win for the Klopp protégés. The bookmakers offer odds of up to 3.50 for this prediction in the top match between Manchester City and Liverpool.
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The reigning champion pulled away so impressively at the beginning of the season that by December it was thought that the champions in England would be certain. In contrast to previous years, City could not maintain this level this year and so it is that they lost 10 points to Liverpool in the last few months. Even in the recent past, the performances are not always satisfactory, after all, they "only" won 3 of the last 5 league games and also in the Champions League they struggled against Atletico Madrid for a long time.
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Man City: Form & Record Check
The fact that the championship fight in the Premier League is actually getting exciting again is something that the Citizens basically have themselves to blame for. Of course you can't expect a top team like Manchester City to win every single game, but after twelve wins in a row it came as a bit of a surprise that Pep Guardiola's team have seven points in the last eight games left the way. Between the two draws at Southampton (1-1) and Crystal Palace (0-0), the Skyblues had to admit defeat to Tottenham Hotspur 2-3 in their own stadium. Curiously, the Citizens have now conceded two of the three season defeats against the Spurs.
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Even if the lead over Liverpool has shrunk to one point, the defending champions still have everything in their own hands. If Man City wins on Sunday, it's four points away again, which should normally be enough with seven games left. If they lose, Phil Foden and his colleagues slip into the role of chasing for the rest of the season. A look into the past should give the hosts courage.
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Liverpool's last Premier League away win at Manchester City was on November 21, 2015 (1-4). Since then, there have been three wins for City and two draws in this clash at the Etihad Stadium. In any case, the preparations for the top game have already been successful. In the league there was a 2-0 win at FC Burnley, in the Champions League the Guardiola team beat Atlético Madrid 1-0 in the first leg of the quarter-finals.
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Man City" Facts & Analysis
73 points from 30 games
Most recently won 2-0 at Burnley
Lost just 1 of their last 12 home league games against Liverpool
Only 1 goal conceded in the last 5 competitive games
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A small trend towards the Citizens is therefore understandable, but it is hardly as clear as the current betting odds suggest. At Manchester City against Liverpool, a prediction for the home side has no value to offer.
Expected line-up of Manchester City:
Ederson - Cancelo, Stones, Laporte, Ake - de Bruyne, Rodri, Gundogan - Foden, Bernardo Silva, Sterling
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Liverpool: Form & Record Check
After an almost perfect Premier League year 2022 so far, Liverpool FC's title hopes are alive again! Only the very first league game of the year (2-2 at Chelsea on January 2nd) was not won by the Reds. It was the last game of a very short phase of weakness around the turn of the year, at least if you look at the points. The 2-2 draw at Tottenham Hotspur was followed by a 1-0 defeat at Leicester City before the LFC also drew in the game at Chelsea.
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Since then, however, the balance sheet of Jürgen Klopp's team has been flawless. With ten wins in a row (on a goal difference of 25:2), the Reds are in the best phase of the season by far. The vice-championship is already in the bag, but of course Sadio Mané & Co. don't want to be satisfied with that. However, a win in a direct duel is a must, because Man City tends to have the better cards for the title, not only because of the current table situation, but also with regard to the rest of the program.
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While Liverpool still has to deal with Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur for the rest of the season, the Citizens from the top half of the table only have to play against West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanders. But regardless of that, we believe that whoever wins Sunday's duel will be at the top of the table at the end of the season.
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Liverpool: Facts & Analysis
72 points from 30 games
Most recently lost 2-0 against Watford
Won the last 10 league games
Only 2 goals conceded in the last 10 games
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Liverpool have conceded 20 goals so far this season and are on a similarly strong level as the Citizens. The importance of Virgil van Dijk is impressive. After he was absent for long stretches of the season last year, stability was lost. Now he's back again and is causing many "to zero". Last year Liverpool had conceded 36 goals after 30 league games.
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So not only do the two best offensive lines face each other on Sunday, but also the best defensive lines. While both teams have the quality to score out of thin air, given the importance of this summit, expect a game where the defensive lines will be more of a focus. That's why the odds for a under 2.5 between Manchester City and Liverpool seem relatively high.
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Expected line-up of Liverpool:
Alisson - Robertson, van Dijk, Matip, Alexander-Arnold - Thiago, Fabinho, Keita - Luis Diaz, Mane, Salah
Manchester City and Liverpool are fighting for the league title
A few months ago Manchester City already looked like the sure champions this season, after all they were more than 10 points clear of second place. After a few slips and an incredible winning streak for the Reds, the visitors managed to get back to a point. The championship could now be decided in a direct duel between the two. With a point behind in the table, Liverpool in particular need the win, while City could probably live with a draw. There is no clear favorite, but City are unbeaten against Liverpool in 4 games.
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Manchester City – Liverpool Head-to-Head Comparison
The Guardiola protégés can rely on their strength at home, as Manchester City have only lost one of their last twelve Premier League home games against the Reds (seven wins, four draws). "Kloppo" celebrated a brilliant 4-1 victory against the Skyblues in their first appearance at the Etihad Stadium, but has not been completely successful since then. More stats in favor of the champions - Liverpool haven't won their last four league games against the Citizens (draw two and lose two) and were last able to keep a clean sheet at the Etihad in February 2010. At least one goal seems to be guaranteed.
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Manchester City
- 1st place in the table
- best defensive in England
- Won 11 of 14 home games
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Liverpool FC
- 2nd place in the table
- best offensive in England
- won the last 10 league games
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Man City – Liverpool: direct comparison & statistics
The two clubs have already played each other 171 times. With 81 to 47 wins, the direct comparison speaks clearly for Liverpool FC. In recent years, however, City has just been ahead. The Skyblues have won two of their last five meetings, while Liverpool have only won once in that period. The last two duels were played at Anfield Road and ended first with 1:4 for City and in the first half of the current season with 1:1. The Reds won their last away win in the Premier League in November 2015 (1:4). Since then, there has only been one away win at Etihad Stadium in the 2017/18 Champions League quarter-finals (1-2).
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It would not be surprising if the title question is not settled in a direct duel and the two great powers share the points fraternally. A certain risk is of course present with the X bet. Quite risky but significantly better chances of success than the betting odds suggest, the tip on the under 2.5 at Manchester City against Liverpool. Offense wins games, but defense wins titles – and on Sunday it's all about winning the title. Accordingly, the defensive is important and three goals are not necessarily to be expected. A 2.20 for the sub 2.5 is extremely tempting here.
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Tip and prognosis
The two best teams in the Premier League by far meet each other. The current form speaks clearly for Liverpool, the direct duels and the home advantage speak for Manchester City. A winning bet can hardly be predicted, it will probably depend on the condition of the day. However, City can certainly live better with a draw than Liverpool FC. Therefore, and also because of the good odds, we decide on a double chance X/2. However, we consider the "Both teams to score YES” betting market to be the safest betting option.
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