Liverpool - Atletico Madrid: Tips, prognosis & odds - 03.11.2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - Group stage

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Liverpool - Atletico Madrid: Tips, prognosis & odds - 03.11.2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - Group stage

 

Liverpool are favorites to win at home in the Champions League against Atletico Madrid. The Reds have already won the first leg. We bet on a repetition of this result - we also expect another scoring game with goals on both sides.

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After the first three match days in the group stage, the "group of deaths B” of this year's UEFA Champions League degenerated into a three-tier society. Already on the fourth match day Liverpool could fix the round of 16 ticket mathematically against Atletico Madrid.

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Will the 4th match in Liverpool also end in a draw?

Atletico Madrid will challenge Jurgen Klopps Liverpool on matchday four of the UEFA Champions League. The first leg went 3-2 to the Reds, with Antoine Griezmann initially being able to equalize a 0-2 and then seeing the red card. Now the English want to book the ticket for the knockout round. The game at Anfield Road in Liverpool starts on Wednesday, November 3rd, 2021 at 9 p.m. Central European Time.

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Liverpool FC

  • won first 3 group games
  • 23 competitive games without defeat
  • 12 home games unbeaten
  • last 2 duel victories

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Atletico Madrid

  • 1 S, 1 U, 1 N from 3 group games
  • only 1 win out of 4 competitive games
  • 4 wins from 6 away games
  • 2+ goals in 6 games

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Will Liverpool also win the 4th group game?

Liverpool FC could make the last 16 of the UEFA Champions League clear with a home win over Atletico. The Reds won the first 3 group games. In general, Jürgen Klopp's team has been unbeaten for 23 competitive games, even if there was only a disappointing 2-2 home match against Brighton at the weekend after Liverpool had already led 2-0.

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The Klopp-Elf dominates the group with three wins and already has five points ahead of the Rojiblancos, who are fighting for the second round of 16 place with the same points FC Porto. With a home win, Liverpool would not only keep the clean slate, but would have already booked the place in the knockout phase.

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Liverpool have been unbeaten for 12 home games. The last home bankruptcy was in March in the Premier League against Fulham. In this championship, the LFC is currently second behind Chelsea, 3 points behind. From the first 10 league games there were 6 successes and 4 draws. The Klopp-Elf scored an average of 2.90 goals per game with only 0.80 goals against.

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Liverpool stats & current form

Jürgen Klopp's Reds don't even know the feeling of defeat this season. Liverpool have now played 15 games across all competitions, celebrating eleven wins and only had to be content with a draw four times.

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After the last two league games were won 5-0, the dress rehearsal for the Atletico game was disappointing; despite a 2-0 lead against Brighton, Liverpool had to settle for a draw. This means that the deficit on leaders Chelsea after ten rounds in the Premier League is now three points.

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Liverpool could only win 3 of the 12 home duels against Spanish teams, with 5 draws and 4 defeats. Under Klopp, the team lost only one of the 22 home appearances in the premier class, with 16 successes and 5 draws. In the past 12 LFC games there were over 2.5 goals, in the last 8 games there were 7 times over 3.5 goals. Both teams failed to score in 3 of the last 5 Liverpool games.

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Only two CL home games lost under Klopp

Now the focus is on the premier class and the Klopp-Elf has the great opportunity to secure the ticket to the round of 16 early on, but a home win is a prerequisite for this. The chances for this can be classified as very good, because in 22 CL home games under Jürgen Klopp they have 15 wins, five draws and only two defeats. However, Liverpool conceded one of these two bankruptcies against Atletico Madrid in the 2019/20 season.

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This once again confirmed the statistics that LaLiga opponents are a kind of red rag for the Reds. Of 13 home games in the premier class, Liverpool only won twice against Spanish teams. The last win, the 4-0 win against Barcelona in May 2019, was one of the biggest wins in recent Reds history.

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Salah the towering man

In the home game against the Rojiblancos, the 29-year-old Egyptian Mohamed Salah could write history again. So far, the right winger has scored 15 times in 13 competitive appearances and has also provided six more assists. For "Kloppo” the Egyptian is currently the best player in the world; should he score on Wednesday, it would be his 14th CL home goal and he would be level with club icon Steven Gerrard. In Liverpool against Atletico Madrid, betting odds of 1.80-1.85 are offered when betting on a Salah hit - in view of his overform, definitely a bet with potential.

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Expected formation of Liverpool:

Alisson - Robertson, van Dijk, Matip, Alexander-Arnold - Keita, Fabinho, Henderson - Mane, Firmino, Salah

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Can Atletico keep 2nd place in the group?

Atletico Madrid were able to win 3-0 over Betis again at the weekend after 3 unsuccessful games (2 U, 1 N). In the Champions League group, the Colchoneros are currently in 2nd place, tied with Porto, 5 points behind Liverpool. Coach Diego Simeone's team couldn't get past a goalless draw against Porto at home, winning at AC Milan and losing to Liverpool at home.

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The Rojiblancos have won 4 (1 U, 1 N) from their last 6 away games in all competitions. In the Primera Division, the capital city club is in 4th position, with a game less than 3 points behind the leading Real. In 11 league games, the Simeone-Elf only conceded 10 goals in 18 goals scored. In 5 of Atletico's last 6 away games, there were over 2.5 goals, most recently they scored a 2-2 at Levante.

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Attack Furioso from Atletico

In the last 6 games the Colchoneros managed 2 or more goals, but they could only get 3 wins and even lost one (2 draws). Atletico are currently unusually aggressive, but not always efficient and like to neglect their defense. That's one of the reasons why we believe in many goals on Anfield Road.

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Atletico Madrid - statistics & current form

While the Reds stumbled during the dress rehearsal, Atletico Madrid was able to make a real exclamation mark. On Sunday afternoon, the home game against Real Betis Sevilla was on the program, which the Simeone-Elf won 3-0. The Andalusians were previously in excellent shape (15 points in six games), but had no chance against the Colchoneros in the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium.

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Rojiblancos with staying power

After two 2-2 split points, Atletico Madrid was able to set the course for victory early on. Internationally, however, the Rojiblancos are specialists in late goals, which is particularly confirmed by a look at the most recent away games. Atletico Madrid scored seven of the last nine CL away goals from minute 84. At the bookmaker Betway we tested, Liverpool against Atletico Madrid offered odds of 2.00 for the tip that at least one hit was scored from minute 76. In the 2-1 away win in Milan, it took until the 97th minute before Luis Suarez kept his nerve from the penalty spot and scored the winning goal.

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Griezmann becomes a top performer

The Spanish champions will continue to have to do without Marcos Llorente and Thomas Lemar on the island due to injuries. Diego Simeone has been missing the duo for the past few weeks. On the other hand, the form curve of the 30-year-old returnee Antoine Griezmann has clearly been pointing upwards in recent weeks. At the Rojiblancos he is playing an increasingly important role and has contributed four goals and one assist in the last four games. Diego Simeone was also full of praise for his star newcomer after the 3-0 success and also praised his hard work against the ball.

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His rising form curve is considered a glimmer of hope to survive again on Anfield. Atletico's memories of the motherland of football are consistently positive, with Atletico Madrid only losing one of their last six guest appearances on the island. For the double chance X2 between Liverpool and Atletico Madrid odds of over 2.00 are offered.

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Expected formation of Atletico Madrid:

Oblak - Hermoso, Gimenez, Savic - Carrasco, de Paul, Koke, Trippier - Correa, Griezmann - Suarez

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Liverpool v Atletico Madrid head-to-head comparison

In the first leg two weeks ago, the Egyptian Mohamed Salah once again underlined his outstanding form. In the Wanda Metropolitano, he led the Reds to their very first win against Diego Simeone's Colchoneros. In the four previous games, there were two draws and two defeats for Liverpool. This also means that Atletico Madrid have never lost at Anfield Road.

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Atletico won the last two away games in the group stage. 3 such successes have only been achieved once under Simeone. Therefore, an Atleti win in Liverpool would be a surprise.

Direct duels Liverpool vs Atletico

In the first leg, Liverpool won against Atletico for the first time on the 7th attempt. So far, the Madrilenians have won twice in a direct comparison, 4 games ended in a draw. In Liverpool, all three games were drawn after 90 minutes. Both teams scored goals in 5 duels, including all 3 games in England.

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In the first 5 games, fewer than 2.5 hits were scored in the regular 90 minutes. In the two most recent meetings, however, there were over 3.5 goals each. The first two encounters on the Mersey each fell under 2.5 goals. The two clubs separated 3 times with a 1: 1, 2 times there was a 1: 0.

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Betting base - forecast & Liverpool - Atletico Madrid Spain tip

In view of the still intense time ahead at the end of 2021, the Reds would be happy to have the ticket to the round of 16 in their pockets early on. Accordingly, the Klopp-Elf will certainly not start a rotary machine on Wednesday evening despite the comfortable situation. The role of favorites is certainly justified by the strong performances and results, but the tip on a home win at Liverpool against Atletico Madrid is not particularly lucrative.

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OPTA-FACTS - LIVERPOOL VS. ATLETICO MADRID TIP

  • In the first leg, Liverpool won against Atletico Madrid for the first time
  • Liverpool won only two of their 13 international home games against Spanish teams
  • Atletico Madrid have only lost one of their last six appearances on the island
  • However, under Jürgen Klopp, Liverpool only lost two of 22 CL home games
  • Seven of the last nine Atletico goals in CL away games were scored from the 84th minute
  • Mo Salah can draw level with club legend Steven Gerrard with his next CL goal at Anfield (14)
  • James Milner has recorded twelve assists in the CL - best value together with Gerrard

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There are enough interesting betting options, for example Atletico Madrid has lost its incredible defensive strength a little this season and therefore there are relatively many hits to be seen. The over 2.5 is accordingly a good option. The best choice for Liverpool against Atletico Madrid seems to be the prediction of a late hit - from minute 76 onwards. An intense, close game with a heated final phase is to be expected. Atletico is already known for late hits and a 2-point rate is therefore very interesting.

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