Leicester - Chelsea: Tips, Prediction & Odds - 11/20/2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League
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Leicester - Chelsea: Tips, Prediction & Odds - 11/20/2021 - ENGLAND: Premier League
With a real treat, the English Premier League will resume play after the last international break in 2021/22. During the twelfth day of the match, Leicester and Chelsea will face each other on Saturday afternoon from 1.30 p.m. in the King Power Stadium. In the last two seasons, both teams fought for the CL qualification until the last matchday, each with the better end for the Blues.
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After playing eleven games this season, the teams are not necessarily on an equal footing. The Tuchel protégés from the capital lead the Premier League, while Leicester, twelfth in the table, has lagged behind expectations so far. Therefore, in the top game between Leicester and Chelsea, according to current betting odds, the guests are seen as very clear favorites.
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However, the Foxes are a team that can basically be described as very strong at home. At first glance, there is no value to be found in a bet on Chelsea. An assessment that is wrong? The following article examines this question.
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Foxes in search of shape
At the beginning of the season, the Foxes won the national Supercup (Community Shield) 1-0 against ManCity. One was quickly tempted to see the Foxes in the absolute top field again this season. But the disillusionment followed promptly and the start in the league was pretty bumpy. 3 losses in the first 5 games are clear evidence of this. There shouldn't be any improvement, the Rodgers-Elf acts too inconsistently for that.
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Even in the Europa League things are not going well - 5 points after 4 game days are rather mild for the ambitions of the Foxes.
Only 12th place in the league
After 11 match days, Leicester City has collected 15 points. That doesn't seem like much, given the balance in the league, but it can quickly go up in the table. So on the sixth ManUnited only 2 points are missing. It would be all the more important to win a point against Chelsea in order to stay with the top teams. So far they have got 4 wins and 3 draws - the goal difference is modest at 16:18. Especially on the defensive you show major weaknesses. So you could only stay without a goal in the first game of the season in a 1-0 win against Wolverhampton.
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Leicester - statistics & current form
Soberly speaking, Leicester City is playing its weakest season since the 2017/18 season. After playing eleven games, there are just 15 meager points on the credit side. Compared to the previous year, this means a minus of six points, compared to 2019/20 even a minus of eight points.
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Head coach Brendan Rodgers is not criticized for this, but is repeatedly brought up in the media as a Manchester United coach. However, the ex-Liverpool coach cannot gain anything from these speculations and concentrates on his job at Leicester.
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Defensive worries
The reasons for the mixed start to the season can be found in particular on the defensive. The defense around Kasper Schmeichel has apparently forgotten how to play to zero in the last few weeks and months. In the last 17 Premier League games, they managed to fail to concede a goal only once - in the 1-0 win against the Wolves on matchday one.
This means that the Foxes have conceded at least one goal in each of the last ten games. The last time there was a longer series was between October and December 2016. This series will most likely be discontinued on Saturday, because with 73 percent "Both teams to score" games between Leicester and Chelsea, this tip is absolutely obvious.
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Life insurance Vardy, Daka in the league still without impact
After two wins in a row on matchday eight and nine, Leicester was brought back to earth in the games against Arsenal (0: 2) and Leeds (1: 1). The enormous dependence on Jamie Vardy is also extremely striking. The veteran has seven goals this season and he is now only two goals short of Ian Wright's PL record. He has scored 93 PL goals after his 30th birthday, Vardy currently holds 91.
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Königstransfer Patson Daka only had a meager hit in the league. The African was recently able to make headlines with his four-pack in the Europa League and is getting along better and better in the figure-hugging Premier League.
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Expected formation of Leicester:
Schmeichel - Castagne, Evans, Söyüncü, Pereira - Ndidi - Barnes, Tielemans, Maddison, Lookman - Vardy
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Tuchel and Chelsea - that fits!
Since the German took over the Londoners at the end of January 2021, the blues have been on the upswing. In the league they finished in 4th place, the coronation followed in the Champions League with the second title win after 2012. Thomas Tuchel has formed a team that is very difficult to crack - and so Chelsea is one of the this year hottest title contenders. In the Premier League you are deservedly in first place. In addition to the second best offensive, you can also rely on the strongest defensive in the league.
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Chelsea's results this season
The Blues won 8 out of 11 games. Particularly impressive: 7 of the 8 wins were won without conceding a goal. The only points left were the 1-1 draw against Liverpool and the 1-0 defeat against ManCity. Most recently, surprisingly, they did not get beyond a 1-1 draw against Burnley FC.
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Chelsea stats & current form
The anniversary is getting closer and next Tuesday's Champions League game against Juventus Turin will be Thomas Tuchel's 50th competitive game as head coach of the Blues. So far, the relationship between Chelsea and Thomas Tuchel has been a pure love story that couldn't have gone better.
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Chelsea with a strong defense
The Blues have got an average of 2.23 points per game in their 48 competitive games so far. In the current 2021/22 season, this cut is even higher. Across all competitions, Chelsea has an outstanding 2.44 points this season.
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The defense is absolutely impressive. Chelsea doesn't play unsightly defensive football, but still leaves little opportunity. In the domestic championship, Chelsea have only conceded four goals in eleven games so far. Seven times they managed to "zero”, not once did the Tuchel-Elf have to cope with more than one goal against.
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Chelsea have won the last three away games in the league without conceding a goal. There was a long series of away wins without conceding a goal 13 years ago, when Chelsea under Felipe Scolari celebrated six such successes.
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Chelsea is smart
If you play for Thomas Tuchel, you have to be extremely flexible, because Germans can change their tactics in no time at all. A certain basic intelligence is essential for this, but Chelsea is also proving a lot of brains this season. Chelsea have already scored four headed goals in 2021/22, more than any other PL team.
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Expected formation of Chelsea:
Mendy - Thiago Silva, Rüdiger, Christensen - Chilwell, Kante, Jorginho, James - Barkley - Hudson-Odoi, Havertz
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Leicester and Chelsea in direct comparison
The two clubs have faced each other in 79 competitive games so far. The balance clearly speaks in favor of the blues from London. The capitals were able to record 38 wins, Leicester City, however, only 16. Another 25 times they separated with a draw. The goal difference with 151: 99 speaks clearly for Chelsea. On average, 3.16 goals were scored in this game - the last 5 duels were clearly below that with 2.20 goals per game.
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The last 5 encounters at a glance:
May 18, 2021: Chelsea FC 2-1 Leicester City
May 15, 2021: Chelsea 0-1 Leicester City
19/01/2021: Leicester City 2-0 Chelsea FC
06/28/2020: Leicester City 0-1 Chelsea FC
02/01/2020: Leicester City 2-2 Chelsea FC
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Leicester v Chelsea head-to-head comparison
In direct comparison, the Blues are clearly ahead, after all, Leicester has only won three of the last 18 Premier League games. The trips to King Power Stadium have not been crowned with success in recent years, Chelsea have not won any of their last three guest appearances at Leicester (two draws, one win for the Foxes).
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In addition to the league victory this January, the Rodgers-Elf could also win the FA Cup final. With a third win early on Saturday afternoon, Leicester would only be the second team to beat the Blues three times in a calendar year in the last ten years (Manchester United 2019).
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Tip-relevant information about the blues
- The Blues have a goal difference of 27: 4 after 11 games
- On average, there are 2.82 hits per game
- 80% of the away games were won to zero
- In not a single game they were behind at halftime
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These tips could be worthwhile
A look at the last duels reveals that the games between Leicester City and Chelsea FC are mostly fierce and end with close results. The Londoners are very strong in defense and hardly allow any goals. That is why we tended to bet "under 2.5 goals” - odds: 1.85. Anyone who believes in Chelsea's eighth "to zero victory" this season can triple their stake.
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Bet base forecast & Leicester - Chelsea tip
The Rodgers protégés cannot match the results of previous years this season, but the quality of the Leicester squad is undisputed. This is one of the reasons why a tip on the leaders in the top game between Leicester and Chelsea appears to be too risky. Betting odds of less than 1.80 are by no means lucrative for the Tuchel-Elf, because the starting situation is by no means that clear.
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OPTA-FACTS - LEICESTER VS. CHELSEA TIP:
- Chelsea have not won any of their last three PL games at King Power Stadium (one loss, two draws)
- That said, the Blues have only lost three of their last 18 Premier League games against the Foxes
- Leicester beat the Blues in the league and the FA Cup in 2021 - only Manchester United (2019) had three wins against Chelsea in the last ten years
- Goals conceded guaranteed - Leicester only with a "clean sheet” in the last 17 games
- Chelsea with three away wins in a row - goal difference 7-0
- Tuchel-Elf shows brains - four goals per head, highest value in this PL season
- 91 goals since he was 30 - Vardy on the trail of Ian Wright's PL record (93 goals)
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A bet on the double chance 1X is quite an option. Even more interesting, however, is the tip that both teams will score at least once. The home side are currently struggling with defensive problems and keep conceding goals. Even if Lukaku and / or Werner may still not be fit, Chelsea have a number of players who can score. Thanks to Jamie Vardy, a Leicester goal is also a given. Therefore, at Leicester against Chelsea, the prediction of hits from both teams with six units is recommended.
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