Frankfurt - Barcelona: tip, prognosis & odds - 07.04.2022 - EUROPE: Europa League - final round
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Frankfurt - Barcelona: tip, prognosis & odds - 07.04.2022 - EUROPE: Europa League - final round
Historic European Cup game in Frankfurt: Eintracht has never met FC Barcelona internationally before. The quarter-final duel in the Europa League is really something very special for the SBU and its supporters.
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The Hessians really didn't get an easy draw for the Europa League quarter-finals with Barca. Something could speak for Eintracht's home advantage and the fact that Barca have struggled in the last 6 games in Germany. However, they scored in 52 out of 71 encounters with clubs from the Federal Republic. In 9 of 11 games, the Frankfurt eagles remained undefeated against Spanish representatives.
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At the same time, this game is a premiere. Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Barcelona have never met before. For the first time since the 2018/19 season, the Hessians are back in the quarter-finals of a European competition. Back then, also in the Europa League, they beat Benfica Lisbon before going down in the semi-finals to eventual winners Chelsea. In the two games against the reinvigorated FC Barcelona, the Eagles are the clear outsiders. You can find out whether we calculate something for them in the home game and what other forecasts we make for this great game in our Frankfurt vs. Barcelona tip.
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Frankfurt: form & balance check
The Frankfurt dress rehearsal before the European Cup game against the great FC Barcelona ended 0-0. None of Eintracht's 21 shots on goal found their way into the Fürth goal, which for their part only aimed at the Frankfurt goal four times. After the 0-0 draw in Leipzig before the international break, it was the second zero in a row for the Adler. They had previously won two Bundesliga games. They won 4-1 at Hertha BSC Berlin. They defeated VfL Bochum 2-1 at home. As they are in ninth place in the Bundesliga, Frankfurt would still miss the European competition next season according to the current status.
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In the round of 16, Frankfurt's Eintracht met Betis Sevilla, second in the Leverkusen group. Both in Seville and in Frankfurt the fans saw two balanced encounters. However, the Adler narrowly won the first leg 2-1 in Seville. In the second leg it looked like the next zero number for Frankfurt for a long time before Borja Iglesias (90′) saved Betis literally in the last minute into extra time. There it was Eintracht, who in turn benefited from a very late own goal by Guido Rodriguez (120'+1) and thus avoided a penalty shoot-out.
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Frankfurt: Facts & Analysis
- unbeaten in 6 competitive games
- played 0-0 twice in a row (against RB Leipzig & Greuther Fürth)
- scored in each of the 8 EL games
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The anticipation at Eintracht for this duel is of course huge, but it could have been even more - if the dress rehearsal hadn't been messed up. Actually, the SBU wanted to gain a lot of self-confidence before the difficult home game against Barça. But a supposed mandatory win against the bottom of the table and designated relegated SpVgg Greuther Fürth did not materialize on Saturday.
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The current form of harmony hardly allows any hope of victory. In the most recent game, which was also their last home game, they only managed a 0-0 draw against the bottom of the table from Fürth. Although unbeaten at home to another Spanish side, Betis Sevilla, in the Europa League, they did so only in extra time. However, there will be no such thing in the first leg. After all, they have remained unbeaten in the Europa League with 4 wins and 4 draws. They scored 1.63 times on average and conceded 1 goal.
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Of course, these numbers don't really give hope before the duel with Barça. It is therefore not surprising that Frankfurt vs. Barcelona have betting odds of 4.75 on average for the home win.
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Estimated formation of Frankfurt:
Trapp - Tuta, Hasebe, Ndicka - Knauff, Jakic, Sow, Kostic, Lindstrom, Kamada - Borré
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Barcelona: Form & Record Check
A Europa League quarter-final is unknown territory for FC Barcelona. The Champions League regular was last eliminated in the 2000/01 season in the group stage of the premier class. Since the relegation from the CL, the Catalans are hardly recognizable. They haven't lost a game in the regular 90 minutes (13 wins, six draws and two losses after overtime). They culminated on the weekend before the international break. They won the well-deserved El Clásico at Real Madrid 4-0.
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The resurgence of FC Barcelona goes hand in hand with the appointment of their new coach. Under Barca legend Xavi, the Catalans are finding their way back to their beautiful and successful attacking football. In the league, they have climbed from ninth to second place in the table since the change of coach.
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Xavi also signed three pillars of the current success in Ferran Torres, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Adama Traoré in the winter. Ex-Dortmund Ousmane Dembélé is also thriving under the 42-year-old like never before at FC Barcelona. In the last six league games he has scored one goal and provided eight more assists.
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Barcelona: Facts & Analysis
- is unbeaten in 13 competitive games (10 wins & 3 draws)
- has won 5 away games in a row
- has scored in 20 of the last 21 competitive games
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FC Barcelona left the Champions League embarrassingly after the group stage. They could only win against Kyiv 1-0 each and drew 0-0 at home against Benfica. They each suffered a 0:3 defeat against Bayern and in Lisbon. They currently have 2 wins and 2 draws in the Europa League, with the points shared at the Camp Nou. In the 4 games, they scored an average of 1.75 times and conceded 1 goal on average.
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Almost more impressive: Four of the last six victories have come without conceding a goal. Barça defeated second and first in a row in Seville (1-0) and Real Madrid (4-0) – without conceding a goal. Barça secured second place in Spain's La Liga by beating Sevilla FC in the weekend's top game.
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This impressive run naturally ensures that Barça is clearly favored in the first leg in Frankfurt. And yet at Frankfurt against Barcelona there are odds of 1.70 for the Catalans' away win - not necessarily the worst odds for a favorite tip.
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Estimated formation of Barcelona:
Ter Stegen - Araujo, Garcia, Piqué, Alba - Busquets, De Jong, Pedri - Dembélé, Aubameyang, Torres
On the FC Barcelona side, Xavi will have to do without both his first and second choices at the right-back position. Sergiño Dest is out with a hamstring injury while Dani Alves is ineligible to play in the Europa League. We therefore expect regular central defender Ronald Araújo on the right, as he did against Real Madrid. While the Catalans' midfield is shaping up on its own, Xavi has other high-quality options up front with Memphis Depay, Adama Traoré and the recovered Ansu Fati.
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Frankfurt – Barcelona: direct comparison & statistics
Eintracht Frankfurt last reached the semi-finals of the Europa League in the 2018/19 season
FC Barcelona have been eliminated from the group stage of the Champions League for the first time since the 2000/01 season
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The Blaugranas are in the Europa League for the first time ever, having mainly played for the premier league title. They were able to win this four times and were in the final five times (since 1992/93). Below we have summarized the last 5 appearances in the Champions League.
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2020/21: Round of 16
2019/20: Quarterfinals
2018/19: semi-finals
2017/18: Quarterfinals
2016/17: Quarterfinals
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In La Liga, Barca have decided 6 away games so far, recording 7 draws and 2 defeats. They finished 25 times and allowed 16 goals. 10 wins and 2 draws were possible in front of a home crowd. They gave up twice. 32:13 is the home goal record. In the Primera Division they are second with 57 points.
Betting base forecast tip: Germany Frankfurt – Barcelona Spain
"We haven't met a more renowned and successful opponent in a competitive game for almost 62 years," says Axel Hellmann, spokesman for the board of Eintracht Frankfurt, summing up the historic duel with FC Barcelona. It will be a special game for Eintracht - the Deutsche Bank Park will be completely sold out with a good 50,000 spectators. The question is: Can this special ambience inspire Eintracht on Thursday evening?
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The favorite tip is obvious, but the underdog role could be Eintracht. Stand low, be snappy and then counterattack at lightning speed – the SBU has already implemented this well in the 2-1 win against FC Bayern Munich this season. Making the game is less for Frankfurt, but the role of the rebellious underdog is much more. And: The SGE is still undefeated in this Europa League season.
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For this reason, we believe that it will be an uncomfortable game for favorites FC Barcelona - similar to the away game in Istanbul. So we don't decide on a tip after 90 minutes, but one after 45. That's our forecast for Frankfurt against Barcelona: At half-time it's a draw.
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Our prognosis
Normally, Barca will not let the victory be taken away. Since the odds for tip 2 are also attractive, we can recommend this bet. We wouldn't completely rule out a draw given the first leg and Barca's recent results against German clubs. Thus, a Tip X or a Double Chance 1/X bet is a good risk bet. We assume that both teams will score. We dare to doubt whether more than 2.5 goals will be scored, as we don't expect both to go into full force in the first leg. We therefore tend to underbet under 3.5 goals. Personally, however, we would refrain from an over/under bet here.
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