Barnsley vs. Swansea: Tipp, Prognose & Quoten - 17.05.2021 - ENGLAND: Championship - Play Offs
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Barnsley vs. Swansea: Tipp, Prognose & Quoten - 17.05.2021 - ENGLAND: Championship - Play Offs
The three relegated in the Premier League are already some
Match days before the end of the season, but the three promoted players not yet. Although the championship has already completed the regular 46-game season, the third promoted player will only be determined in the playoffs. On Monday, the first leg of the playoff semi-finals are on the program - there will be a duel between Barnsley and Swansea at Oakwell Stadium.
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In the final table of the toughest second division in the world, the teams finished fifth and fourth and were only separated by two points. Although head coach Valerien Ismael's Tykes were ranked behind the Wales team, victory at the home side is seen as the most likely outcome given the home advantage.
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For the first leg between Barnsley and Swansea only betting odds of 2.15 for the home win are offered. At first glance, these betting odds do not seem particularly lucrative. You can read whether this impression is wrong in the following lines. The game starts on Monday evening at 9:15 p.m.
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Barnsley - Statistics & Current Form
Football sometimes writes crazy stories - the Barnsley Tykes' last twelve months definitely fall into that category. Before the last two games of last season, hardly anyone would have thought staying up in the league possible, but as if by a small miracle, Barnsley saved himself.
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Catching up thanks to nine wins in a row
Secretly, the fans were expecting a season in the lower third of the table again this season and staying in the league was again the declared goal. After all, Barnsley has one of the smallest budgets in the Championship and can't make big leaps in the transfer market.
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After 16 match days, Valerien Ismael's team - who replaced the emigrated Austrian Gerhard Struber - was in 17th place and was therefore right on target. Subsequently, the underdog got into a frenzy and got constant points.
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The time between mid-February and mid-March was outstanding, when Barnsley won nine league games in a row and fought their way towards promotion. On matchday 35, the underdog climbed to a top six for the first time and defended it until the end of the season.
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Young no-name team
The almost relegated last season had nobody on the bill. In contrast to many other clubs, there is actually no really well-known player to be found in the Tykes line-up. According to current market values, only five teams had a lower market value than Barnsley.
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Barnsley has a very young team. The two Austrian legionaries Michael Sollbauer (31) and Dominik Frieser (27) are the two oldest players in the squad. Most of the actors are between 20 and 24 years old and have little experience at this level.
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But as a team, Barnsley is very compact and is therefore an extremely unpleasant opponent. Nevertheless, in the first leg between Barnsley and Swansea, a tip on the home win seems too risky. In terms of quality, the Welsh should be rated higher.
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Expected formation of Barnsley:
Collins - Helik, Andersen, Sibbick - Styles, Palmer, Mowatt, Brittain - Chaplin, Dike, Woodrow
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Swansea - stats & current form
The club from Wales was already represented in the promotion play-offs last season, but had to draw the short straw in the semifinals against the "Bees" from Brentford with a total score of 2: 3.
In the regular season 2020/21, Steve Cooper's team presented itself more successfully than in the previous season and collected a total of ten points more. However, direct ascent was again denied.
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The results were recently manageable
The direct return to the PL was possible for a long time, after all, Swansea was still in the coveted second place in the table after 36 match days. But in the last two months the team slipped into the crisis and gambled away this opportunity.
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Of the last ten games in the championship, Swansea could only win two games. In the meantime, the Cooper-Elf had to cope with four to zero defeats in a row.
However, the last games should be enjoyed a little with caution, because at the latest when it became clear that direct promotion was no longer possible, the team rotated. With 46 match days there were almost exclusively English weeks and the strain was accordingly enormous. Due to the load control in the last few weeks, the top players should be rested in order to make the really big goal a reality.
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Average of 2.07 goals per game
It is not for nothing that the second division in England has the reputation of being "the toughest second division in the world”. This is due to the game plan on the one hand, but also to the way the championship plays on the other. Fighting and passion come first, the level is often manageable in terms of play.
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Accordingly, betting on under 2.5 in the championship is always a good choice. Only 40.9 percent of the games ended with three or more goals, at Swansea it was only 30 percent of the games. Due to the very good defense (only 39 goals conceded in 46 games), often only one goal was enough for success. 56 goals are the lowest of the four playoff participants.
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In the first leg between Barsnley and Swansea there are enough arguments to be found both for the prognosis of the under 2.5 and that not both teams will score.
Expected formation of Swansea:
Woodman - Bidwell, Guehi, Bennett, Roberts - Fulton, Grimes - Hourihane - Lowe, Cullen, Ayew
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Direct comparison / H2H
In the 2005/06 season, the two teams also faced each other in a playoff game. At that time, however, it was "only" about promotion to the second-rate championship, in which Barnsley had the better end in a highly dramatic game on penalties.
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Since then, "The Tykes" have had no good memories of their competitor from Wales. Since then, there are twelve games in the database, but Barnsley has not won any of them. Swansea had the upper hand seven times, the five remaining games ended in a draw. Accordingly, the prognosis for the double chance X2 appears to be lucrative at Barnsley vs. Swansea.
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Betting base forecast & Barnsley - Swansea tip
Participation in the Premier League would have resulted in a real rain of money thanks to the lavish TV contract - income of almost 200 million euros is waiting for the climber. Accordingly, both teams will choose little risk and a game with many scoring chances is not to be expected. Not surprisingly, relatively low odds are offered for the first leg between Barnsley and Swansea for the forecast of under 2.5.
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The clear favorite role for the host is, however, quite surprising. Both the 2020/21 season duels as well as the experience and the basic quality speak for the guests.
At Barnsley against Swansea, a prognosis on the guests is very lucrative. However, Swansea would be quite happy with a draw and therefore the "Draw No Bet” bet on the Welsh guests with a stake of six units is recommended to minimize the risk.
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