Barcelona - Naples: tips, prognosis & odds - 02/17/2022 - EUROPE: Europa League - final round
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Barcelona - Naples: tips, prognosis & odds - 02/17/2022 - EUROPE: Europa League - final round
Not only will the first four round of 16 first leg matches be played this week in the UEFA Champions League, the first competitive games of the 2022 calendar year are also on the agenda in the second-rate Europa League and in the Conference League. Two well-known clubs, which one could certainly expect in the round of 16 in the premier class, meet in a direct duel in the Europa League.
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After a break of almost two months, top international football is finally back and in the second round of the Europa League we can look forward to an incredibly interesting duel that actually has potential for the final. The big FC Barcelona meets the SSC Napoli, which is currently well represented in the league in the fight for the title and has prevailed in the group as group runners-up.
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This round of 16 in the Europa League is of course a disappointment for the Blaugrana, as they only finished third in their group in the Champions League and therefore have to settle for the consolation prize. It's the first time in 20 years that they haven't reached the last 16 of the premier class. In this Barcelona – Napoli tip you can find out how we think the start of the Europa League is going for the Catalans.
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Will Barca remain undefeated even after the 3rd duel?
The hit of the Europa League round of 16 is FC Barcelona vs. SSC Naples. The host Catalans are favored for the bookmakers, in the first leg and for progressing. After all, the Blaugrana remained undefeated in the first two direct clashes. However, things are still not going well this season – even after the change of coach to Xavi
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Barcelona: Form & Record Check
Hardly any team was as active as FC Barcelona on the transfer market in winter and with Adama Traoré, Aubameyang and Ferran Torres 3 players were signed who massively raise the level of the Catalans. Barcelona showed against Atlético just under a week ago that they can still inspire football and beat top teams. All in all, the season so far has been disappointing and the 2-2 win against Espanyol at the weekend didn't really help in the fight for the premier class.
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Can Barcelona attack at the top of the world again in the long term?
It was actually clear to everyone involved that the upheaval at Barca would take place at some point, but very few would have expected it to be so challenging. With Messi, the figurehead and absolute top performer of the last 15 years has left the club and Barcelona cannot compensate for this loss at the moment. Financially, their hands are tied and currently almost only loan transactions or free transfers are possible. Accordingly, it may well be that the Blaugrana will be number 3 or 4 in Spain in the next few years.
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Barcelona: Facts & Analysis
- Unbeaten in 3 games
- Currently 5th in the league
- Scored consistently in 11 of their last 12 league games
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Barca have won 2 of their last 3 home appearances (1 draw), have lost only once in their last 8 home games and have scored in their last 4 home games (W2 D2). However, Barca only had to settle for a 2-2 draw in the weekend's derby against Espanyol.
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In terms of personnel, the Blaugrana still have to do without some players. Samuel Umtiti, Ansu Fati, Sergi Roberto and Ronald Araujo are injured. Dani Alves has not been called up for the Europa League. There are also question marks behind the ailing Lenglet and Depay. For that, Aubameyang could make his Barcelona debut from the start. The disgraced Dembelé would also be an option again to be able to rotate given the increasing load.
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Estimated formation of Barcelona:
Ter Stegen: Dest, Piqué, Araújo, Alba; Gavi, Busquets, Pedri; Traore, Aubameyang, Dembele
Naples: Form & Record Check
Napoli have had a rocket start this season and have been in the Serie A title race from the start. They have won 10 of their first 11 games and after a brief period of weakness towards the end of the first half of the season, the team seems to have recovered and won 4 of the last 5 league games. At the weekend there was a 1-1 draw with Inter Milan, one of the two major contenders in the fight for the championship. The gap to the top is only 2 points and a three-way battle seems to be in the offing until the end of the season.
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Napoli can continue to have legitimate hopes of winning the Serie A title. After last weekend's 1-1 draw with Inter Milan, the Neapolitans are just two points behind new leaders AC Milan. Before there are important national matches in Cagliari, Lazio Rome or San Siro against Milan in the coming weeks, coach Luciano Spalletti's team wants to cause a sensation on the European stage.
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The team from the west coast of Italy would certainly have wished for a slightly less prominent opponent for the intermediate round, but the sky blue and white missed out on taking first place in the group phase. Due to the lost direct comparison, Napoli had to settle for second place behind the surprisingly strong Russians from Spartak Moscow. Ten points were recorded in six matches.
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Can Napoli score in 6th away game in a row?
After 3 years, SCC Naples would like to reach the round of 16 of the Europa League for the 4th time. In 2019, this competition went to the quarterfinals. In the Champions League, the southern Italians have never gotten further than the first knockout round. In 1989 the Azzurri won the 2nd most important European cup competition. Coach Luciano Spalletti's side finished second in the Europa League group and are now underdogs in Barcelona.
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Internationally disappointing so far
Napoli have been one of the best teams in Italy for years, but the big successes are still missing. In the league they have often been runners-up, even though the starting position was often very promising. But above all internationally, the southern Italians have not really been able to convince so far. The highest of feelings was the victory of the UEFA Cup in 1989, since then Napoli has not contested an international final. Now it should be better this year, but with Barcelona they caught one of the supposedly toughest opponents.
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Estimated formation of Naples:
Ospina; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Koulibaly, Mario Rui; Zambo Anguissa, Fabian Ruiz; Elmas, Zieliński, Insigne; Osimhen
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Naples: Facts & Analysis
- 13 points from the last 5 league games
- 3rd place in Serie A
- Napoli have the best defense in the league (17 goals conceded)
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Direct duels Barca vs Napoli
This is only the 3rd meeting between the two clubs. Barca remained unbeaten in their first two meetings with a draw away and a win at home. The two games took place 2 years ago as part of the Champions League Round of 16. Barca won the home game 3-1. A similar number of goals could also be scored this time. In the first two duels, both teams scored goals. 1x there were less than 2.5 goals, 1x more than 3.5 goals to see.
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Barcelona – Naples: head-to-head & stats
In fact, the two have only met twice in a competitive game, almost 2 years ago in the round of 16 of the Champions League. Back then, Barcelona prevailed thanks to a strong showing from Lionel Messi, winning the first leg and drawing the second leg. This was followed by the devastating 2:8 against Bayern.
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Betting base - prognosis Spain Barcelona – Naples Italy : tip
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It can't get much better known in the Europa League than on Thursday evening at Camp Nou. There it comes in the intermediate round, i.e. in the qualifying round for the round of 16, to a clash between Barcelona and Naples. According to the betting odds, everything is open after the first and second leg. The Catalans are given a slight advantage in terms of progression, although they should set the course for this in the first leg.
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Hope from the Blaugrana's point of view is above all the rising form curve of the last few weeks in connection with the transfers made in winter, through which the team has gained enormously in quality, especially offensively. In general, there hasn't been a lack of goals scored lately. Instead, the defensive was not stable enough again and again.
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Tips and predictions
We believe both teams can score goals in this first leg. This will result in more than 2.5, possibly even more than 3.5 goals. We predict that Napoli will take something countable from Barcelona. The game will be balanced until the break, the guests can then decide the 2nd half for themselves.
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Our recommendation: Both teams score – yes
So although this is the bottom line in the first leg, in which teams traditionally do not want to take much risk, we believe that between Barcelona and Napoli the tip on the over 2.5 contains promising value. We play the top odds of 1.75 at the tested bookmaker Betway with a bet of seven units.
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