Augsburg – Freiburg: Tips, Prognosis & Odds – 02/19/2022 - GERMANY: Bundesliga

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Augsburg – Freiburg: Tips, Prognosis & Odds – 02/19/2022 - GERMANY: Bundesliga
 
 
Is the dry spell over?
 
FC Augsburg has been waiting for a win against SC Freiburg since September 2018. After 6 games without a win against the Streich-Elf, FCA want to celebrate their second home win in a row. An undertaking that seems within the realm of possibility, after all, Freiburg have lost some of their consistency and did not start the year 2022 ideally.
 
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We can still well remember Steffen Baumgart's viral video from about two weeks ago, when the Billy Goats coach had to follow his team's game in isolation at home due to a positive test and, to put it affectionately, let his emotions run free. Next Saturday his colleague Markus Weinzierl is in a similar dilemma. The FCA coach will not be able to help his team from the sidelines for the same reason.
 
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The upcoming opponent from the Black Forest could only win one game from the last five games and yet the team of coach Christian Streich is in a more than respectable 6th place. However, the 34 points are not a cushion to rest on, because the direct competition from Berlin and Cologne does not sleep as is well known. Freiburg could even jump to 4th place with a win.
 
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Augsburg: form & balance check
 
For FC Augsburg it will be all about staying up in the remaining games. With Fürth, Stuttgart, Bielefeld, Hertha BSC and FC Augsburg, five teams are fighting for survival in the Bundesliga. Last weekend, FCA had the great opportunity to overtake the Foals by beating Borussia from Mönchengladbach. In the end, FCA had to admit defeat 2:3. In the end, the Augsburgers are only on the relegation place because of the worse goal difference compared to Bielefeld.
 
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When it comes to games abroad, FCA fans rarely have high hopes that their boys will come back with three points. If we take a closer look at the Bundesliga away table, we see FCA also in 16th place with seven points. With the 15 points earned in the VVK Arena, the Augsburgers ranked 12th. In the last home game there was a convincing 2-0 victory over the Irons from Berlin. Against the sports club from Freiburg, coach Weinzierl demands exactly the same commitment and the same passion from his players.
 
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Augsburg: Facts & Analysis
 
  • 16th place in the Bundesliga
  • Most recently lost 2:3 in Gladbach
  • Just one win from the last 5 games
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The Weinzierl-Elf only won one of the last seven league games (three draws, three bankruptcies) and since matchday 17 they have had the second fewest wins and points in the league comparison. Only VfB Stuttgart, which fell back to the penultimate place, was even worse in both categories. The defensive in particular has not even remotely met expectations since the turn of the year. Here, the twelve goals already conceded correspond to the weakest value of all first division clubs.
 
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A corresponding bet could be combined with the maximum number of three goals, which has only been cracked in 40% of all previous FCA home games. In terms of personnel, trainer Markus Weinzierl, who will pass on his duties to his assistant trainer Reiner Maurer, can draw on almost unlimited resources. Only Gumny, Strobl and Winther are out. Arne Maier, on the other hand, was able to free himself in time and is an option for the double six alongside Niklas Dorsch.
 
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Estimated formation of Augsburg:
 
Gikiewicz - Framberger, Gouweleeuw, Oxford, Iago - Maier, Dorsch - Hahn, Vargas - Niederlechner, Gregoritsch
 
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Freiburg: form & balance sheet check
 
It was already clear at the end of the first half of the season that SC Freiburg would not be able to keep up the good performances from the first half of the season. If we take a closer look at the team from the Black Forest's last five games, coach Christian Streich's players have only managed to win one game. On the last day of the game against FSV Mainz 05, Freiburg remained extremely pale, especially in the first half. In the end it was striker Nils Petersen who saved the point for Freiburg with his goal.
 
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Anyone who has taken a closer look at SC Freiburg's games will notice that the sports club has lost a bit of its lightness and that coach Christian Streich's men have to work hard for everything. FCA is without a doubt one of SC Freiburg's favorite opponents. Freiburg have not lost to Augsburg in six games (the longest run against a Bundesliga side) and Freiburg also won the first leg by a clear 3-0.
 
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Freiburg: Facts & Analysis
 
  • 6th place in the Bundesliga
  • Most recently played 1:1 against Mainz
  • None of the last 6 games lost against Augsburg
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Freiburg has to be careful
 
Right from the start of the season, SC Freiburg impressed with courageous and very handsome football, and since the 3rd day of play the team from Breisgau has never finished worse than 6th place. The Black and Whites currently hold this position - but there is a bit of a fear in the club's environment that the sensational autumn could still be lost and end up empty-handed. Because the field is extremely close together - Freiburg have to switch to combat mode as soon as possible. 5 points in 5 games in 2022 are not enough for the "European Cup" goal.
 
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This negative development can also be seen very well in the away record: While Sport-Club remained unbeaten in the first five guest appearances in 2021/22 and recorded an average of 2.2 points per game, four of the most recent six matches were lost away. The point average was reduced to 0.7. In the 2022 calendar year, there were defeats in Dortmund (1:5) and at 1. FC Köln (0:1). Both times, the Streich-Elf could not build on the pleasing performances of the previous year.
 
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It will be particularly important for the sixth-placed to start the match well, after all, the Black Forest team scored 24% of their total of 34 goals in the first quarter of an hour. Augsburg have meanwhile been defeated nine times in the first 15 minutes (league high!). If you want to follow this trend, you can bet 2.80 via the Unibet app for the first goal of the game to be scored between 1 and 15 minutes.
 
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Expected formation of Freiburg:
 
Flekken - Kübler, Lienhart, N. Schlotterbeck, Günter - M. Eggestein, Höfler - Sallai, Grifo - Höler - Demirovic
 
Augsburg – Freiburg: direct comparison & statistics
 
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Both teams have faced each other 33 times in their history and Freiburg have won 16 games. There are also ten draws and seven wins for FCA.
 
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Although FC Augsburg is relatively well behind in a direct comparison against SC Freiburg with four wins, seven draws and eight defeats, the home record of the Fuggerstadt team against the Black Forest team is, as already mentioned, very good. From the FCA's point of view, none of the nine home matches in the Bundesliga was lost against the Sport-Club. Three threes face six divisions of points.
 
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  • Iago has the most assists for FC Augsburg with 3 assists. Vincenzo Grifo (6) is ahead at SC Freiburg
  • The average of goals scored in a game between FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg is 2.2
  • SC Freiburg's performance over the last 5 games is better than FC Augsburg
  • SC Freiburg won the last game by 3 goals

 

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The first leg
 
SC Freiburg – FC Augsburg 3: 0 (3: 0)
Goals: 1: 0 Kübler (6th), 2: 0 Höler (25th), 3: 0 Grifo (33rd / E.);
The last 5 duels at a glance
 
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09/26/2021: SC Freiburg – FC Augsburg 3: 0
03/21/2021: SC Freiburg – FC Augsburg 2: 0
November 28, 2020: FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg 1: 1
February 15, 2020: FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg 1: 1
09/21/2019: SC Freiburg – FC Augsburg 1: 1
 
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If we look at the betting odds before the game between Augsburg and Freiburg, the bookmakers are based on the table constellation mentioned and offer slightly lower prices for the away win. In our opinion, however, the home strength of the Fuggerstadt team and the poor form of the sports club are given too little weight.
 
 

 

These tips should work for you
 
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We therefore believe that the hosts will retain at least one point in their own stadium. We also combine this assessment with the fact that a maximum of three goals are scored in the course of the game, because in view of the defensive strength of the Streich-Elf, which is the second best defense in the league, and the usually rather low-scoring home games of the southern Swabians, no offensive spectacle is to be expected. In the Augsburg versus Freiburg duel, we play the tip on 1X & under 3.5 at a top odds of 2.05 via the Bet365 app with a stake of seven units.
 
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FCA have lost just one of their last eight home games in the Bundesliga and have never lost out to their next opponents in nine attempts at home in the German Oberhaus. In addition, the Black Foresters have only scored a meager four points from the past six guest games in the league. In this period it rained four defeats.
 
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The Augsburgers want to be brave again at home and take revenge for the first-leg defeat in autumn. We expect aggressive hosts and tend to tip "both teams to score" - odds: 1.75 - in 3 of the last matches there was a 1:1 draw. Alternatively, we can well imagine that Augsburg take points from Freiburg. The tip "Double Chance 1/X" brings odds of 1.55.
 
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